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Nashville Predators at Buffalo Sabres

Feb 28, 2017 · KeyBank Center

Team Goals Shots
Nashville Predators 5 41
Buffalo Sabres 4 32

Decided in overtime.

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
1st Period
15:52 BUF Brian Gionta (13) Zach Bogosian (6), Jack Eichel (23) 0 - 1
17:26 BUF Kyle Okposo (19) Jake McCabe (12), Matt Moulson (12) 0 - 2
18:49 NSH Mike Fisher (16) Austin Watson (10), Matt Irwin (9) 1 - 2
2nd Period
02:09 NSH Colin Wilson (11) PP Ryan Johansen (39), Roman Josi (26) 2 - 2
05:35 BUF Evander Kane (22) Brian Gionta (16), Cody Franson (14) 2 - 3
3rd Period
00:56 BUF Jake McCabe (2) Kyle Okposo (22), Ryan O'Reilly (26) 2 - 4
11:16 NSH Ryan Johansen (10) Filip Forsberg (23), Matt Irwin (10) 3 - 4
17:37 NSH Filip Forsberg (25) Viktor Arvidsson (24) 4 - 4
Overtime
02:45 NSH Filip Forsberg (26) Roman Josi (27) 5 - 4

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
1st Period
08:01 BUF Evander Kane Hooking 2
10:54 NSH Mattias Ekholm High sticking 2
2nd Period
01:02 BUF Rasmus Ristolainen Roughing 2
16:30 BUF Evander Kane Interference 2
3rd Period
00:39 BUF Evander Kane Roughing 2
00:39 NSH P.K. Subban Roughing 2
04:42 BUF Evan Rodrigues Holding 2
19:57 NSH Viktor Arvidsson Boarding 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Nashville Predators 69 57 41 5 2.9 57.4
Buffalo Sabres 56 44 32 4 2.5 42.6

How the game went

201510505Start2nd3rdOTBuffalo Sabres aheadNashville Predators ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Buffalo Sabres had taken more, and below it and blue while Nashville Predators had.

Expected goals

Nashville Predators: 2.9 expected, 5 scored · Buffalo Sabres: 2.5 expected, 4 scored

012Start2nd3rdOTNSH goal, 18:49 of 1st, a 18% chanceNSH goal, 2:09 of 2nd, a 19% chanceNSH goal, 11:16 of 3rd, a 2% chanceNSH goal, 17:37 of 3rd, a 8% chanceNSH goal, 2:45 of overtime, a 8% chanceBUF goal, 15:52 of 1st, a 18% chanceBUF goal, 17:26 of 1st, a 17% chanceBUF goal, 5:35 of 2nd, a 7% chanceBUF goal, 0:56 of 3rd, a 22% chanceNSH 2.9BUF 2.5

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

Where the attempts came from

Nashville Predators
Buffalo Sabres

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Nashville Predators

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Ryan Johansen · Filip Forsberg · Viktor Arvidsson12:3268.060.32-0
James Neal · Colin Wilson · Calle Jarnkrok12:3053.858.80-2
Mike Fisher · Craig Smith · Kevin Fiala8:1271.477.40-0
Vernon Fiddler · Austin Watson · Harry Zolnierczyk4:2433.328.80-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Roman Josi · Ryan Ellis19:5856.865.31-0
P.K. Subban · Mattias Ekholm14:3357.648.91-2
Yannick Weber · Matt Irwin8:2264.352.01-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
9 Filip Forsberg L 2 1 3 2 0 4 0 19:59 0.32 20-11 0.60-0.64
12 Ryan Johansen C 1 1 2 2 0 2 0 20:58 0.03 21-10 0.62-0.49
52 Matt Irwin D 0 2 2 0 0 1 0 10:30 0.03 11-7 0.35-0.48
59 Roman Josi D 0 2 2 1 0 6 2 30:55 0.13 23-19 0.85-0.53
12 Mike Fisher C 1 0 1 1 0 3 1 16:29 0.46 12-6 0.58-0.15
22 Colin Wilson C 1 0 1 -2 0 3 1 18:51 0.43 15-14 0.79-0.53
24 Austin Watson L 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 09:35 6-8 0.27-0.31
33 Viktor Arvidsson L 0 1 1 0 2 5 0 20:54 0.36 20-11 0.58-0.62
3 Yannick Weber D 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 09:39 9-5 0.30-0.27
14 Mattias Ekholm D 0 0 0 -2 2 3 0 20:13 0.21 21-19 0.77-1.07
15 Craig Smith C 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 12:14 0.11 12-8 0.32-0.27
19 Calle Jarnkrok C 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 19:09 0.07 17-14 0.80-0.59
22 Kevin Fiala L 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 13:00 0.17 16-6 0.53-0.21
26 Harry Zolnierczyk L 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 06:15 0.03 3-8 0.07-0.27
76 P.K. Subban D 0 0 0 -1 2 0 1 22:54 0.02 21-14 0.84-0.73
81 James Neal L 0 0 0 -2 0 3 0 18:20 0.32 17-15 0.74-0.68
83 Vernon Fiddler C 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 07:05 0.04 3-9 0.07-0.48
94 Ryan Ellis D 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 27:34 0.14 23-16 0.86-0.41
# Goalie Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
35 Pekka Rinne 32 28 4 62:45 2.48 -1.52

Buffalo Sabres

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Brian Gionta · Evander Kane · Jack Eichel11:2642.338.72-1
Kyle Okposo · Ryan O'Reilly · Justin Bailey8:4634.835.80-0
Marcus Foligno · Sam Reinhart · Evan Rodrigues6:2937.526.80-0
Matt Moulson · Tyler Ennis · Zemgus Girgensons4:4366.790.20-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Jake McCabe · Rasmus Ristolainen16:0433.343.81-2
Zach Bogosian · Dmitry Kulikov15:1541.946.31-1
Josh Gorges · Cody Franson14:2150.045.81-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
8 Kyle Okposo R 1 1 2 0 0 5 1 20:49 0.40 16-23 0.76-0.71
12 Brian Gionta R 1 1 2 1 0 2 1 16:10 0.30 12-15 0.61-0.80
22 Jake McCabe D 1 1 2 0 0 3 1 21:53 0.27 12-26 0.61-0.89
91 Evander Kane L 1 0 1 -1 6 2 1 18:21 0.21 13-22 0.69-1.04
9 Jack Eichel C 0 1 1 1 0 4 0 22:04 0.24 14-20 0.75-0.91
11 Cody Franson D 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 19:43 0.02 12-11 0.36-0.50
24 Zach Bogosian D 0 1 1 -1 0 0 3 18:08 0.17 15-19 0.70-0.70
26 Matt Moulson L 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 06:35 0.10 7-3 0.49-0.05
90 Ryan O'Reilly C 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 22:13 0.03 14-22 0.60-0.70
4 Josh Gorges D 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 17:55 12-9 0.45-0.31
7 Dmitry Kulikov D 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 17:42 15-19 0.60-0.79
13 Sam Reinhart C 0 0 0 -1 0 5 0 14:28 0.24 8-9 0.32-0.25
17 Marcus Foligno L 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 16:32 0.01 8-11 0.13-0.45
17 Evan Rodrigues C 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 13:05 0.11 5-12 0.19-0.45
28 Zemgus Girgensons C 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11:32 0.09 8-6 0.23-0.07
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D 0 0 0 0 2 5 4 25:18 0.19 13-24 0.69-0.78
63 Tyler Ennis R 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 08:43 0.11 6-4 0.33-0.10
90 Justin Bailey R 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 10:16 0.02 10-15 0.26-0.43
# Goalie Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
90 Robin Lehner 41 36 5 62:45 2.85 -2.15