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Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 2, 2019 · Scotiabank Arena

Team Goals Shots
Buffalo Sabres 2 37
Toronto Maple Leafs 5 32

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
1st Period
04:20 TOR John Tavares (37) Mitch Marner (54), Martin Marincin (3) 0 - 1
06:00 BUF Jason Pominville (15) Zemgus Girgensons (11), Marco Scandella (7) 1 - 1
07:34 BUF Conor Sheary (12) Kyle Okposo (14) 2 - 1
19:40 TOR Morgan Rielly (16) Auston Matthews (30), Ron Hainsey (15) 2 - 2
2nd Period
15:02 TOR Nic Petan (1) Trevor Moore (4) 2 - 3
19:05 TOR Nikita Zaitsev (3) Mitch Marner (55), John Tavares (33) 2 - 4
3rd Period
18:03 TOR Mitch Marner (23) John Tavares (34), Jake Muzzin (24) 2 - 5

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
1st Period
11:21 BUF Kyle Okposo Hooking 2
14:08 TOR Mitch Marner Slashing 2
2nd Period
11:40 TOR Kasperi Kapanen Fighting 5
11:40 BUF Evan Rodrigues Fighting 5
12:00 BUF Brandon Montour Cross checking 2
3rd Period
02:22 TOR John Tavares Hooking 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Buffalo Sabres 58 45 37 2 2.8 50.0
Toronto Maple Leafs 61 44 32 5 3.6 50.0

How the game went

0510Start2nd3rdToronto Maple Leafs aheadBuffalo Sabres ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Toronto Maple Leafs had taken more, and below it and blue while Buffalo Sabres had.

Expected goals

Buffalo Sabres: 2.8 expected, 2 scored · Toronto Maple Leafs: 3.6 expected, 5 scored

0123Start2nd3rdEndBUF goal, 6:00 of 1st, a 28% chanceBUF goal, 7:34 of 1st, a 3% chanceTOR goal, 4:20 of 1st, a 30% chanceTOR goal, 19:40 of 1st, a 2% chanceTOR goal, 15:02 of 2nd, a 14% chanceTOR goal, 19:05 of 2nd, a 1% chanceTOR goal, 18:03 of 3rd, a 34% chanceTOR 3.6BUF 2.8

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

Where the attempts came from

Buffalo Sabres
Toronto Maple Leafs

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Buffalo Sabres

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Jeff Skinner · Sam Reinhart · Jack Eichel12:4948.582.80-1
Jason Pominville · Johan Larsson · Zemgus Girgensons9:4458.887.61-0
Kyle Okposo · Conor Sheary · Evan Rodrigues9:0250.010.81-1
Scott Wilson · Tage Thompson · Casey Mittelstadt8:4758.339.90-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Zach Bogosian · Rasmus Dahlin13:0154.269.20-1
Marco Scandella · Brandon Montour10:3330.426.11-1
Jake McCabe · Rasmus Ristolainen7:5244.417.51-1

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
29 Jason Pominville R 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 11:45 0.28 10-8 0.58-0.08
43 Conor Sheary L 1 0 1 -2 0 1 0 15:39 0.10 10-17 0.26-1.79
6 Marco Scandella D 0 1 1 -1 0 2 0 15:34 0.04 11-19 0.40-1.15
8 Kyle Okposo R 0 1 1 -1 2 2 1 16:16 0.07 13-11 0.28-1.53
28 Zemgus Girgensons C 0 1 1 0 0 2 4 15:02 0.25 14-10 0.64-0.43
9 Jack Eichel C 0 0 0 -1 0 3 4 19:32 0.20 17-18 1.13-0.23
11 Casey Mittelstadt C 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 12:52 10-7 0.22-0.39
13 Sam Reinhart C 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 18:36 0.23 21-22 1.56-0.46
17 Evan Rodrigues C 0 0 0 -2 5 1 3 15:39 0.12 12-17 0.56-1.85
20 Scott Wilson C 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 10:38 0.11 8-5 0.13-0.18
22 Johan Larsson L 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 14:05 0.05 12-8 0.63-0.22
22 Jake McCabe D 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 13:48 0.04 9-11 0.23-0.82
24 Zach Bogosian D 0 0 0 -1 0 4 4 22:35 0.12 19-15 1.14-0.39
26 Rasmus Dahlin D 0 0 0 -2 0 3 3 22:31 0.09 23-17 1.21-0.68
53 Jeff Skinner L 0 0 0 -1 0 7 0 17:49 1.05 19-19 1.51-0.31
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D 0 0 0 -2 0 2 6 23:27 0.04 24-21 1.18-1.32
62 Brandon Montour D 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 20:30 0.01 16-19 0.93-1.06
72 Tage Thompson C 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 10:46 7-11 0.12-0.64
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
35 Linus Ullmark L 31 27 4 58:56 3.20 -0.80

Toronto Maple Leafs

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
John Tavares · Zach Hyman · Mitch Marner13:2851.441.92-0
Andreas Johnsson · Kasperi Kapanen · Auston Matthews11:2635.341.70-1
Patrick Marleau · Connor Brown · William Nylander9:3960.079.40-0
Nic Petan · Frederik Gauthier · Trevor Moore6:1440.030.51-1
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Ron Hainsey · Morgan Rielly14:5148.627.31-1
Jake Muzzin · Nikita Zaitsev13:3737.558.30-1
Martin Marincin · Igor Ozhiganov12:2454.273.12-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
91 John Tavares C 1 2 3 3 2 3 0 19:44 0.80 21-21 0.99-1.47
93 Mitch Marner R 1 2 3 3 2 4 0 19:37 0.20 20-19 0.99-1.38
19 Nic Petan C 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 07:45 0.14 4-6 0.17-0.39
22 Nikita Zaitsev D 1 0 1 1 0 2 2 20:24 0.04 15-16 0.61-0.40
44 Morgan Rielly D 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 24:32 0.07 22-25 0.90-1.76
8 Jake Muzzin D 0 1 1 0 0 1 3 20:19 0.04 12-20 0.85-0.45
12 Trevor Moore L 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 08:35 5-6 0.18-0.39
34 Auston Matthews C 0 1 1 0 0 4 1 18:27 0.32 11-13 0.42-0.33
52 Martin Marincin D 0 1 1 2 0 2 2 15:30 0.08 15-11 1.06-0.38
81 Ron Hainsey D 0 1 1 1 0 0 6 19:31 0.01 23-18 0.78-1.61
12 Patrick Marleau C 0 0 0 1 0 4 3 14:18 0.72 18-11 1.34-0.30
16 Connor Brown R 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16:07 16-13 1.12-0.53
18 Zach Hyman L 0 0 0 3 0 1 1 18:42 0.03 20-20 0.99-1.41
18 Andreas Johnsson L 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 15:50 0.14 7-13 0.17-0.33
38 Frederik Gauthier C 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 08:31 0.02 5-8 0.18-0.49
42 Kasperi Kapanen R 0 0 0 0 5 2 0 17:08 0.34 11-13 0.44-0.24
88 William Nylander R 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 15:05 0.26 15-10 1.13-0.35
92 Igor Ozhiganov D 0 0 0 2 0 1 4 15:55 0.03 15-12 1.21-0.48
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
31 Frederik Andersen W 37 35 2 60:00 2.76 +0.76