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Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres

Mar 4, 2023 · KeyBank Center

Team Goals Shots
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 36
Buffalo Sabres 5 34

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
1st Period
13:28 TBL Brayden Point (39) PP Nikita Kucherov (65), Steven Stamkos (38) 1 - 0
16:15 BUF Tage Thompson (42) PP Rasmus Dahlin (49) 1 - 1
2nd Period
05:35 BUF Vinnie Hinostroza (2) Casey Mittelstadt (29), Dylan Cozens (30) 1 - 2
12:30 BUF Tyson Jost (6) Unassisted 1 - 3
19:46 BUF Jack Quinn (12) Tage Thompson (40), Jeff Skinner (36) 1 - 4
3rd Period
00:53 BUF Jeff Skinner (26) PP Unassisted 1 - 5
02:55 TBL Alex Killorn (16) Nick Perbix (15), Nick Paul (13) 2 - 5
13:18 TBL Alex Killorn (17) SH Tanner Jeannot (11), Victor Hedman (36) 3 - 5

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
1st Period
09:03 BUF Mattias Samuelsson Tripping 2
11:37 BUF Rasmus Dahlin Hooking 2
15:04 TBL Nick Paul Holding 2
2nd Period
06:21 BUF Riley Stillman Tripping 2
10:30 TBL Patrick Maroon Roughing 2
11:02 BUF Rasmus Dahlin Kneeing 2
11:02 TBL Anthony Cirelli Roughing 2
11:02 BUF Jeff Skinner Roughing 2
14:03 TBL Tanner Jeannot Fighting 5
14:03 BUF Riley Stillman Fighting 5
3rd Period
00:27 TBL Michael Eyssimont Holding 2
08:23 BUF Owen Power Tripping 2
08:44 TBL Corey Perry Tripping 2
12:12 TBL Mikhail Sergachev Kneeing 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Tampa Bay Lightning 62 49 36 3 3.1 45.0
Buffalo Sabres 58 46 34 5 3.6 55.0

How the game went

1050510Start2nd3rdBuffalo Sabres aheadTampa Bay Lightning ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Buffalo Sabres had taken more, and below it and blue while Tampa Bay Lightning had.

Expected goals

Tampa Bay Lightning: 3.1 expected, 3 scored · Buffalo Sabres: 3.6 expected, 5 scored

0123Start2nd3rdEndTBL goal, 13:28 of 1st, a 14% chanceTBL goal, 2:55 of 3rd, a 11% chanceTBL goal, 13:18 of 3rd, a 14% chanceBUF goal, 16:15 of 1st, a 5% chanceBUF goal, 5:35 of 2nd, a 11% chanceBUF goal, 12:30 of 2nd, a 15% chanceBUF goal, 19:46 of 2nd, a 6% chanceBUF goal, 0:53 of 3rd, a 9% chanceBUF 3.6TBL 3.1

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

Where the attempts came from

Tampa Bay Lightning
Buffalo Sabres

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Patrick Maroon · Ross Colton · Michael Eyssimont5:240.00.00-0
Alex Killorn · Nick Paul · Brandon Hagel5:2170.079.61-0
Nikita Kucherov · Brayden Point · Brandon Hagel5:0962.557.40-0
Corey Perry · Patrick Maroon · Ross Colton4:2972.778.10-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Ian Cole · Nick Perbix11:5163.659.31-1
Zach Bogosian · Mikhail Sergachev7:0338.526.20-0
Victor Hedman · Darren Raddysh6:0642.947.60-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
17 Alex Killorn L 2 0 2 1 0 2 1 18:18 0.31 13-7 0.40-0.38
21 Brayden Point C 1 0 1 -2 0 7 0 14:34 0.80 6-4 0.20-0.21
20 Nick Paul L 0 1 1 1 2 3 5 15:59 0.23 8-10 0.35-0.24
48 Nick Perbix D 0 1 1 -1 0 1 1 17:20 0.04 16-12 0.70-0.81
77 Victor Hedman D 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 19:50 0.13 8-22 0.22-0.93
84 Tanner Jeannot L 0 1 1 1 5 1 3 12:52 0.11 7-10 0.33-0.29
86 Nikita Kucherov R 0 1 1 -1 0 2 0 16:38 0.37 7-9 0.31-0.55
91 Steven Stamkos C 0 1 1 -3 0 1 1 13:28 0.08 7-7 0.18-0.75
24 Zach Bogosian D 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 16:41 0.05 11-18 0.63-1.03
28 Ian Cole D 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 22:52 0.17 19-11 0.78-0.51
38 Brandon Hagel L 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 18:25 12-7 0.50-0.22
43 Darren Raddysh D 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 12:20 0.01 9-12 0.29-0.42
71 Anthony Cirelli C 0 0 0 -1 2 0 1 15:45 11-10 0.39-0.74
77 Patrick Maroon L 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 14:28 10-20 0.46-1.23
79 Ross Colton C 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 15:08 0.39 11-19 0.57-1.08
81 Michael Eyssimont C 0 0 0 0 2 1 4 12:20 0.13 6-20 0.29-0.92
90 Corey Perry R 0 0 0 -1 2 1 0 13:23 0.20 11-9 0.54-0.33
98 Mikhail Sergachev D 0 0 0 -1 2 2 1 24:32 0.12 8-13 0.39-0.92
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
1 Brian Elliott L 34 29 5 57:30 3.57 -1.43

Buffalo Sabres

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Vinnie Hinostroza · Casey Mittelstadt · Dylan Cozens8:5668.468.61-0
Jeff Skinner · Tage Thompson · Jack Quinn8:2925.036.21-0
Victor Olofsson · Peyton Krebs · JJ Peterka8:1261.167.10-1
Kyle Okposo · Zemgus Girgensons · Tyson Jost6:3245.559.50-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Henri Jokiharju · Owen Power9:5362.561.01-0
Mattias Samuelsson · Rasmus Dahlin9:3350.066.31-0
Riley Stillman · Ilya Lyubushkin5:4383.396.10-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
53 Jeff Skinner L 1 1 2 1 2 1 0 16:56 0.16 5-12 0.26-0.44
72 Tage Thompson C 1 1 2 0 0 1 0 18:15 0.06 8-12 0.36-0.45
17 Tyson Jost C 1 0 1 1 0 4 1 13:55 0.49 9-9 0.54-0.40
22 Jack Quinn R 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 14:16 0.06 7-10 0.27-0.35
24 Vinnie Hinostroza C 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 12:04 0.13 16-7 0.85-0.45
11 Casey Mittelstadt C 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 14:43 0.47 18-9 1.02-0.56
24 Dylan Cozens C 0 1 1 2 0 5 2 15:27 0.88 13-7 0.73-0.45
26 Rasmus Dahlin D 0 1 1 0 4 0 1 15:43 8-10 0.41-0.32
8 Kyle Okposo R 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 14:16 0.13 7-9 0.49-0.29
10 JJ Peterka R 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 11:51 0.14 15-8 0.77-0.32
19 Peyton Krebs C 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 16:45 0.11 14-9 0.68-0.32
20 Henri Jokiharju D 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 20:26 0.08 15-13 0.73-0.73
23 Mattias Samuelsson D 0 0 0 2 2 3 4 24:22 0.14 16-19 0.73-0.55
25 Owen Power D 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 24:54 0.07 17-13 0.79-0.68
28 Zemgus Girgensons C 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 11:36 0.04 6-7 0.26-0.18
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 23:17 0.01 17-15 1.01-0.58
61 Riley Stillman D 0 0 0 0 7 0 2 07:57 0.02 15-3 0.95-0.15
95 Victor Olofsson L 0 0 0 -2 0 3 0 13:32 0.60 14-8 0.71-0.31
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
1 Eric Comrie W 36 33 3 59:54 3.10 +0.10