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Buffalo Sabres at Ottawa Senators

Jan 1, 2023 · Canadian Tire Centre

Team Goals Shots
Buffalo Sabres 1 34
Ottawa Senators 3 33

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
1st Period
00:47 OTT Tim Stützle (13) Claude Giroux (18) 0 - 1
2nd Period
06:51 BUF Zemgus Girgensons (4) Mattias Samuelsson (2), Ilya Lyubushkin (3) 1 - 1
11:45 OTT Jake Lucchini (1) PP Derick Brassard (5), Claude Giroux (19) 1 - 2
3rd Period
18:49 OTT Tim Stützle (14) Thomas Chabot (13) 1 - 3

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
1st Period
18:14 OTT Nick Holden Tripping 2
18:34 OTT Travis Hamonic Hooking 2
2nd Period
04:13 OTT Thomas Chabot Tripping 2
09:59 BUF Dylan Cozens Hooking 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Buffalo Sabres 71 53 34 1 3.1 57.0
Ottawa Senators 50 43 33 3 3.8 43.0

How the game went

201510505Start2nd3rdOttawa Senators aheadBuffalo Sabres ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Ottawa Senators had taken more, and below it and blue while Buffalo Sabres had.

Expected goals

Buffalo Sabres: 3.1 expected, 1 scored · Ottawa Senators: 3.8 expected, 3 scored

0123Start2nd3rdEndBUF goal, 6:51 of 2nd, a 19% chanceOTT goal, 0:47 of 1st, a 19% chanceOTT goal, 11:45 of 2nd, a 16% chanceOTT goal, 18:49 of 3rd, a 77% chanceOTT 3.8BUF 3.1

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

Where the attempts came from

Buffalo Sabres
Ottawa Senators

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Buffalo Sabres

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Jeff Skinner · Alex Tuch · Tage Thompson11:1766.761.20-1
Kyle Okposo · Zemgus Girgensons · Peyton Krebs11:1077.858.51-0
Dylan Cozens · Jack Quinn · JJ Peterka6:5316.713.70-0
Victor Olofsson · Tyson Jost · Casey Mittelstadt6:3261.529.80-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Mattias Samuelsson · Rasmus Dahlin14:5463.056.90-1
Kale Clague · Owen Power12:4859.141.30-0
Jacob Bryson · Ilya Lyubushkin5:5936.414.00-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
28 Zemgus Girgensons C 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 15:05 0.26 16-7 0.60-0.43
23 Mattias Samuelsson D 0 1 1 0 0 3 2 23:41 0.03 28-15 1.39-0.98
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 07:45 5-7 0.24-0.33
8 Kyle Okposo R 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 15:24 0.04 16-7 0.58-0.44
10 JJ Peterka R 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 12:20 0.22 8-15 0.38-0.87
11 Casey Mittelstadt C 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 13:36 0.03 14-9 0.52-0.76
17 Tyson Jost C 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 11:36 0.13 14-10 0.52-0.61
19 Peyton Krebs C 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 14:26 0.22 15-4 0.56-0.39
22 Jack Quinn R 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 11:33 0.09 7-14 0.32-0.83
24 Dylan Cozens C 0 0 0 -1 2 2 1 16:42 0.30 8-18 0.80-1.15
25 Owen Power D 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 25:15 0.01 28-23 0.96-1.53
26 Rasmus Dahlin D 0 0 0 -2 0 2 1 29:29 0.18 30-18 1.75-1.20
38 Kale Clague D 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 17:22 0.10 20-12 0.82-0.74
53 Jeff Skinner L 0 0 0 -2 0 3 1 19:39 0.52 24-15 1.34-0.67
72 Tage Thompson C 0 0 0 -2 0 2 0 18:34 0.41 25-15 1.33-0.61
78 Jacob Bryson D 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12:10 9-17 0.15-0.69
89 Alex Tuch R 0 0 0 -2 0 3 1 19:47 0.40 25-13 1.44-0.66
95 Victor Olofsson L 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 14:53 0.20 13-11 0.50-0.78
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
41 Craig Anderson L 32 30 2 58:57 3.02 +1.02

Ottawa Senators

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Claude Giroux · Brady Tkachuk · Tim Stützle12:4746.455.21-0
Alex DeBrincat · Drake Batherson · Shane Pinto11:2752.472.80-0
Dylan Gambrell · Parker Kelly · Jake Lucchini9:2473.378.80-0
Derick Brassard · Austin Watson · Mark Kastelic5:3050.065.60-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Thomas Chabot · Artem Zub17:1662.572.91-0
Travis Hamonic · Jake Sanderson16:3948.560.80-0
Nick Holden · Jacob Bernard-Docker9:3729.243.50-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
18 Tim Stützle C 2 0 2 1 0 2 0 21:21 0.43 15-25 0.99-1.36
28 Claude Giroux R 0 2 2 2 0 2 1 16:57 0.22 15-19 0.96-1.00
21 Jake Lucchini C 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 13:39 0.34 11-8 0.66-0.25
61 Derick Brassard C 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 07:21 0.08 5-6 0.30-0.24
72 Thomas Chabot D 0 1 1 1 2 3 2 23:35 0.11 22-19 1.29-1.23
2 Artem Zub D 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 23:20 0.01 22-18 1.28-1.04
5 Nick Holden D 0 0 0 1 2 0 2 15:15 7-23 0.48-0.79
8 Brady Tkachuk L 0 0 0 1 0 5 3 17:27 0.43 14-23 0.99-1.39
12 Shane Pinto C 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 14:01 0.18 12-11 0.66-0.27
17 Parker Kelly C 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 15:30 0.08 13-10 0.69-0.57
19 Drake Batherson R 0 0 0 -1 0 5 2 18:09 0.48 13-21 0.79-0.80
24 Austin Watson L 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 09:44 7-12 0.32-0.78
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 12:49 0.01 7-22 0.48-0.82
27 Dylan Gambrell C 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 14:14 0.32 12-12 0.76-0.45
47 Mark Kastelic C 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 08:12 0.21 6-11 0.30-0.39
52 Travis Hamonic D 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 21:58 0.03 18-24 0.99-1.27
85 Jake Sanderson D 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 21:39 0.02 17-19 0.97-0.90
93 Alex DeBrincat R 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 18:49 0.10 14-22 0.77-0.63
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
31 Anton Forsberg W 34 33 1 60:00 3.12 +2.12