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Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres

Feb 21, 2023 · KeyBank Center

Team Goals Shots
Toronto Maple Leafs 6 29
Buffalo Sabres 3 32

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
1st Period
03:51 TOR Ryan O'Reilly (13) Mitch Marner (47), John Tavares (32) 1 - 0
04:28 TOR Ryan O'Reilly (14) Mitch Marner (48), John Tavares (33) 2 - 0
07:14 TOR John Tavares (26) Ryan O'Reilly (9), Mitch Marner (49) 3 - 0
12:09 TOR Michael Bunting (19) Morgan Rielly (27), William Nylander (36) 4 - 0
2nd Period
14:36 TOR William Nylander (32) PP John Tavares (34), Mitch Marner (50) 5 - 0
3rd Period
05:12 BUF Jack Quinn (9) Casey Mittelstadt (25) 5 - 1
08:01 BUF Alex Tuch (27) Tage Thompson (36), Henri Jokiharju (8) 5 - 2
16:29 BUF Jeff Skinner (22) Rasmus Dahlin (46), Alex Tuch (34) 5 - 3
18:50 TOR Ryan O'Reilly (15) Mitch Marner (51) 6 - 3

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
2nd Period
14:11 BUF Jacob Bryson Tripping 2
3rd Period
01:59 TOR Conor Timmins Cross checking 2
13:51 BUF Henri Jokiharju Hooking 2
15:25 TOR Michael Bunting Unsportsmanlike conduct 2
15:25 BUF Tyson Jost Unsportsmanlike conduct 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Toronto Maple Leafs 41 34 29 6 4.0 38.6
Buffalo Sabres 56 38 32 3 2.5 61.4

How the game went

5051015Start2nd3rdBuffalo Sabres aheadToronto Maple Leafs ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Buffalo Sabres had taken more, and below it and blue while Toronto Maple Leafs had.

Expected goals

Toronto Maple Leafs: 4.0 expected, 6 scored · Buffalo Sabres: 2.5 expected, 3 scored

0123Start2nd3rdEndTOR goal, 3:51 of 1st, a 12% chanceTOR goal, 4:28 of 1st, a 10% chanceTOR goal, 7:14 of 1st, a 19% chanceTOR goal, 12:09 of 1st, a 7% chanceTOR goal, 14:36 of 2nd, a 16% chanceTOR goal, 18:50 of 3rd, a 50% chanceBUF goal, 5:12 of 3rd, a 6% chanceBUF goal, 8:01 of 3rd, a 5% chanceBUF goal, 16:29 of 3rd, a 3% chanceTOR 4.0BUF 2.5

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

Where the attempts came from

Toronto Maple Leafs
Buffalo Sabres

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Ryan O'Reilly · John Tavares · Mitch Marner11:3138.156.03-0
William Nylander · Michael Bunting · Auston Matthews11:2933.353.21-1
Calle Jarnkrok · Pierre Engvall · David Kampf11:1141.234.30-0
Alexander Kerfoot · Noel Acciari · Zachary Aston-Reese9:5128.648.20-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Justin Holl · Morgan Rielly14:3932.040.32-1
Mark Giordano · Timothy Liljegren13:2739.163.21-0
TJ Brodie · Conor Timmins11:5261.969.21-1

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
93 Mitch Marner R 0 5 5 4 0 0 0 16:48 8-14 0.56-0.51
90 Ryan O'Reilly C 3 1 4 3 0 5 0 16:38 0.42 11-14 0.80-0.47
91 John Tavares C 1 3 4 4 0 3 0 15:14 0.53 9-13 0.56-0.44
88 William Nylander R 1 1 2 0 0 7 0 15:53 0.95 10-18 0.78-0.69
58 Michael Bunting L 1 0 1 0 2 1 0 13:51 0.09 10-18 0.78-0.69
44 Morgan Rielly D 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 21:34 9-20 0.65-1.32
4 Justin Holl D 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 21:10 9-25 0.77-0.96
14 Alexander Kerfoot C 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 14:20 0.44 8-10 0.59-0.35
18 Pierre Engvall L 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 15:53 10-12 0.74-0.89
19 Calle Jarnkrok C 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 14:48 0.04 7-11 0.42-0.87
21 Conor Timmins D 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 14:51 13-10 0.94-0.51
27 Zachary Aston-Reese L 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 10:44 0.15 4-11 0.32-0.40
27 Timothy Liljegren D 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 20:32 9-18 0.64-0.80
34 Auston Matthews C 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 15:54 0.36 9-18 0.78-0.69
52 Noel Acciari C 0 0 0 -1 0 0 7 13:19 8-11 0.70-0.38
55 Mark Giordano D 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 19:53 0.02 11-22 0.77-0.59
64 David Kampf C 0 0 0 -1 0 3 1 15:36 0.37 8-12 0.54-0.93
78 TJ Brodie D 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 21:02 0.13 17-13 1.30-0.71
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
35 Ilya Samsonov W 32 29 3 60:00 2.50 -0.50

Buffalo Sabres

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Jeff Skinner · Alex Tuch · Tage Thompson12:0270.869.51-2
Kyle Okposo · Zemgus Girgensons · Tyson Jost8:2846.226.10-0
Victor Olofsson · Dylan Cozens · JJ Peterka8:1264.763.70-0
Casey Mittelstadt · Peyton Krebs · Jack Quinn8:0020.09.70-1
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Henri Jokiharju · Rasmus Dahlin18:4771.077.81-1
Mattias Samuelsson · Owen Power12:2364.047.90-1
Jacob Bryson · Ilya Lyubushkin8:2950.032.31-1

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
89 Alex Tuch R 1 1 2 -2 0 2 3 18:28 0.42 18-10 0.97-0.81
22 Jack Quinn R 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 13:29 0.20 4-8 0.20-0.49
53 Jeff Skinner L 1 0 1 -2 0 3 0 16:27 0.17 22-10 1.15-0.73
11 Casey Mittelstadt C 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 16:03 0.04 7-9 0.30-0.61
20 Henri Jokiharju D 0 1 1 -1 2 3 1 23:22 0.23 25-12 1.16-0.60
26 Rasmus Dahlin D 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 26:04 0.12 26-13 1.13-0.59
72 Tage Thompson C 0 1 1 -1 0 3 1 18:01 0.24 19-9 0.98-0.66
8 Kyle Okposo R 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 15:10 0.16 18-7 0.55-0.53
10 JJ Peterka R 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11:44 0.15 14-7 0.69-0.52
17 Tyson Jost C 0 0 0 -2 2 0 1 14:40 11-8 0.34-0.66
19 Peyton Krebs C 0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 15:08 10-9 0.43-0.57
23 Mattias Samuelsson D 0 0 0 -2 0 1 1 17:41 0.11 19-10 0.93-0.86
24 Dylan Cozens C 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 14:32 0.31 14-8 0.70-0.64
25 Owen Power D 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 23:51 0.04 21-16 0.90-1.51
28 Zemgus Girgensons C 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 13:55 0.19 12-8 0.33-0.62
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 14:32 0.10 9-7 0.38-0.60
78 Jacob Bryson D 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 12:05 8-11 0.38-1.08
95 Victor Olofsson L 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 13:45 0.05 13-8 0.69-0.58
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
41 Craig Anderson 18 17 1 46:29 2.13 +1.13
1 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen L 10 6 4 12:09 1.33 -2.67