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Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 13, 2023 · Scotiabank Arena

Team Goals Shots
Buffalo Sabres 4 29
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 28

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
2nd Period
01:11 TOR Auston Matthews (31) Alexander Kerfoot (20), Mitch Marner (60) 0 - 1
04:13 TOR Calle Jarnkrok (15) Mitch Marner (61), Auston Matthews (35) 0 - 2
14:58 BUF Jack Quinn (13) JJ Peterka (16), Owen Power (21) 1 - 2
3rd Period
03:39 BUF Alex Tuch (29) Tage Thompson (45), Owen Power (22) 2 - 2
09:39 BUF Dylan Cozens (26) Riley Stillman (6), JJ Peterka (17) 3 - 2
11:19 BUF Alex Tuch (30) PP Jeff Skinner (38), Dylan Cozens (31) 4 - 2
18:58 TOR William Nylander (35) Auston Matthews (36) 4 - 3

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
1st Period
17:12 BUF Kyle Okposo High sticking 2
2nd Period
07:10 TOR Alexander Kerfoot Tripping 2
12:52 TOR Mark Giordano Tripping 2
3rd Period
10:07 TOR William Nylander High sticking 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Buffalo Sabres 55 40 29 4 3.7 52.9
Toronto Maple Leafs 49 39 28 3 2.0 47.1

How the game went

105051015Start2nd3rdToronto Maple Leafs aheadBuffalo Sabres ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Toronto Maple Leafs had taken more, and below it and blue while Buffalo Sabres had.

Expected goals

Buffalo Sabres: 3.7 expected, 4 scored · Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.0 expected, 3 scored

0123Start2nd3rdEndBUF goal, 14:58 of 2nd, a 20% chanceBUF goal, 3:39 of 3rd, a 14% chanceBUF goal, 9:39 of 3rd, a 22% chanceBUF goal, 11:19 of 3rd, a 23% chanceTOR goal, 1:11 of 2nd, a 13% chanceTOR goal, 4:13 of 2nd, a 9% chanceTOR goal, 18:58 of 3rd, a 8% chanceBUF 3.7TOR 2.0

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

Where the attempts came from

Buffalo Sabres
Toronto Maple Leafs

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Buffalo Sabres

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Jeff Skinner · Alex Tuch · Tage Thompson12:4269.675.61-0
Dylan Cozens · Jack Quinn · JJ Peterka8:2452.973.01-0
Kyle Okposo · Zemgus Girgensons · Tyson Jost7:1540.052.90-0
Jordan Greenway · Tyson Jost · Casey Mittelstadt5:5733.344.50-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Henri Jokiharju · Owen Power17:4540.059.82-0
Jacob Bryson · Rasmus Dahlin10:5625.04.90-2
Riley Stillman · Ilya Lyubushkin9:5373.779.01-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
89 Alex Tuch R 2 0 2 1 0 5 3 20:23 0.53 19-7 0.80-0.24
24 Dylan Cozens C 1 1 2 0 0 4 0 15:55 0.52 11-11 0.60-0.46
10 JJ Peterka R 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 12:56 0.16 12-10 0.95-0.28
25 Owen Power D 0 2 2 2 0 0 1 26:31 15-17 0.85-0.41
22 Jack Quinn R 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 14:00 0.28 12-10 0.95-0.28
53 Jeff Skinner L 0 1 1 1 0 2 1 20:22 0.15 18-7 0.73-0.24
61 Riley Stillman D 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 12:43 18-6 0.92-0.20
72 Tage Thompson C 0 1 1 1 0 7 0 20:56 0.70 19-7 0.84-0.24
8 Kyle Okposo R 0 0 0 -2 2 3 0 12:38 0.12 8-8 0.20-0.29
11 Casey Mittelstadt C 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 14:45 8-17 0.40-0.84
12 Jordan Greenway L 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 13:50 0.01 6-15 0.19-0.78
17 Tyson Jost C 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 15:42 0.10 9-10 0.25-0.21
19 Peyton Krebs C 0 0 0 -2 0 1 1 08:43 0.01 4-10 0.10-0.63
20 Henri Jokiharju D 0 0 0 2 0 2 4 27:00 0.05 18-18 0.82-0.45
26 Rasmus Dahlin D 0 0 0 -3 0 1 2 21:18 0.02 16-17 0.43-0.98
28 Zemgus Girgensons C 0 0 0 -2 0 1 7 12:50 0.11 9-8 0.19-0.29
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 15:36 0.03 16-7 0.90-0.23
78 Jacob Bryson D 0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 11:53 7-15 0.21-0.90
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
41 Craig Anderson W 28 25 3 60:00 2.02 -0.98

Toronto Maple Leafs

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Noel Acciari · Zachary Aston-Reese · David Kampf10:1646.232.30-0
John Tavares · William Nylander · Michael Bunting7:2380.082.60-0
Alexander Kerfoot · Mitch Marner · Auston Matthews7:0275.093.01-0
Calle Jarnkrok · William Nylander · Sam Lafferty3:450.00.00-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Justin Holl · Jake McCabe8:5772.265.50-0
TJ Brodie · Morgan Rielly7:4640.031.60-0
Mark Giordano · Timothy Liljegren5:2642.931.01-1

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
34 Auston Matthews C 1 2 3 3 0 5 1 23:20 0.25 15-19 0.49-0.49
93 Mitch Marner R 0 2 2 2 0 1 0 22:30 0.02 12-10 0.45-0.39
19 Calle Jarnkrok C 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 12:41 0.14 4-12 0.24-0.64
88 William Nylander R 1 0 1 0 2 5 1 22:24 0.41 18-20 0.81-0.89
14 Alexander Kerfoot C 0 1 1 -1 2 2 1 12:13 0.01 7-8 0.28-0.49
4 Justin Holl D 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 17:19 18-17 0.86-0.55
22 Jake McCabe D 0 0 0 -1 0 2 2 15:59 0.09 14-9 0.57-0.58
24 Sam Lafferty C 0 0 0 -2 0 0 5 12:59 2-15 0.01-0.85
27 Zachary Aston-Reese L 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 11:08 0.09 6-7 0.18-0.38
27 Timothy Liljegren D 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 15:58 7-17 0.37-1.15
44 Morgan Rielly D 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 18:34 0.06 7-12 0.11-0.53
52 Noel Acciari C 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 15:19 0.08 6-8 0.18-0.40
55 Mark Giordano D 0 0 0 -1 2 0 1 13:54 0.01 14-14 0.69-0.84
58 Michael Bunting L 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 16:51 0.45 22-9 1.01-0.58
64 Erik Gustafsson D 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14:33 0.10 16-7 0.53-0.31
64 David Kampf C 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 15:16 7-9 0.18-0.40
78 TJ Brodie D 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 17:55 6-17 0.19-0.45
91 John Tavares C 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 19:40 0.32 21-16 0.93-0.40
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
30 Matt Murray L 29 25 4 56:15 2.77 -1.23