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Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 17, 2023 · Scotiabank Arena

Team Goals Shots
Carolina Hurricanes 2 34
Toronto Maple Leafs 5 24

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
1st Period
02:54 TOR Zachary Aston-Reese (6) Erik Gustafsson (32), Calle Jarnkrok (17) 0 - 1
12:30 TOR Mitch Marner (25) Michael Bunting (24), John Tavares (36) 0 - 2
14:37 CAR Brady Skjei (14) Jordan Martinook (18), Brett Pesce (22) 1 - 2
17:38 TOR Auston Matthews (32) PP John Tavares (37), Morgan Rielly (31) 1 - 3
2nd Period
10:45 CAR Martin Necas (26) Teuvo Teravainen (24), Jesperi Kotkaniemi (20) 2 - 3
14:59 TOR Zachary Aston-Reese (7) Sam Lafferty (13) 2 - 4
3rd Period
08:56 TOR Morgan Rielly (4) Calle Jarnkrok (18), TJ Brodie (9) 2 - 5

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
1st Period
16:57 CAR Jordan Staal Boarding 2
19:57 TOR Calle Jarnkrok Interference goalkeeper 2
3rd Period
10:14 TOR Zachary Aston-Reese Tripping 2
13:03 TOR Michael Bunting Holding 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Carolina Hurricanes 79 57 34 2 3.2 66.7
Toronto Maple Leafs 40 31 24 5 2.3 33.3

How the game went

3020100Start2nd3rdToronto Maple Leafs aheadCarolina Hurricanes ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Toronto Maple Leafs had taken more, and below it and blue while Carolina Hurricanes had.

Expected goals

Carolina Hurricanes: 3.2 expected, 2 scored · Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.3 expected, 5 scored

0123Start2nd3rdEndCAR goal, 14:37 of 1st, a 3% chanceCAR goal, 10:45 of 2nd, a 4% chanceTOR goal, 2:54 of 1st, a 8% chanceTOR goal, 12:30 of 1st, a 6% chanceTOR goal, 17:38 of 1st, a 19% chanceTOR goal, 14:59 of 2nd, a 12% chanceTOR goal, 8:56 of 3rd, a 9% chanceCAR 3.2TOR 2.3

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

Where the attempts came from

Carolina Hurricanes
Toronto Maple Leafs

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Carolina Hurricanes

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Teuvo Teravainen · Martin Necas · Jesperi Kotkaniemi11:4965.060.01-3
Jordan Staal · Jesper Fast · Jordan Martinook11:3652.933.01-0
Sebastian Aho · Jesse Puljujarvi · Seth Jarvis11:1666.765.20-0
Derek Stepan · Stefan Noesen · Jack Drury8:3261.156.80-1
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Brent Burns · Jaccob Slavin18:4674.370.31-0
Brady Skjei · Brett Pesce16:5958.146.01-3
Shayne Gostisbehere · Jalen Chatfield13:0073.163.90-1

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
76 Brady Skjei D 1 0 1 -2 0 1 0 18:29 0.04 19-15 0.61-0.73
88 Martin Necas C 1 0 1 -2 0 2 1 17:38 0.33 16-7 0.71-0.36
22 Brett Pesce D 0 1 1 -2 0 0 1 19:50 21-16 0.55-0.73
48 Jordan Martinook L 0 1 1 1 0 3 1 14:52 0.23 15-8 0.51-0.27
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C 0 1 1 -2 0 2 3 17:15 0.22 22-8 0.69-0.39
86 Teuvo Teravainen C 0 1 1 -2 0 2 0 17:34 0.08 15-8 0.65-0.47
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 16:00 0.04 22-8 0.96-0.39
5 Jalen Chatfield D 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 14:45 0.01 22-10 0.75-0.46
11 Jordan Staal C 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 13:28 0.10 10-8 0.15-0.27
11 Stefan Noesen R 0 0 0 -1 0 2 1 14:12 0.24 15-8 0.96-0.48
18 Jack Drury C 0 0 0 -1 0 4 0 13:22 0.51 17-8 1.06-0.48
20 Sebastian Aho C 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 17:43 0.41 23-12 1.12-0.65
20 Jesse Puljujarvi R 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 17:46 0.35 28-13 1.11-0.67
21 Derek Stepan C 0 0 0 -1 0 2 2 10:36 0.09 15-7 0.77-0.46
24 Seth Jarvis R 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 17:51 0.46 31-11 1.21-0.56
71 Jesper Fast R 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 13:18 10-9 0.15-0.29
74 Jaccob Slavin D 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 20:12 0.09 29-10 1.67-0.58
84 Brent Burns D 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 24:28 0.03 30-14 1.45-0.70
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
52 Pyotr Kochetkov L 24 19 5 60:00 2.33 -2.67

Toronto Maple Leafs

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Calle Jarnkrok · Mitch Marner · Auston Matthews9:1554.579.30-0
John Tavares · William Nylander · Michael Bunting7:2022.218.00-0
Sam Lafferty · Zachary Aston-Reese · David Kampf6:3942.945.31-0
Alexander Kerfoot · Sam Lafferty · Noel Acciari3:5250.057.10-1
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
TJ Brodie · Morgan Rielly9:1145.075.91-0
Jake McCabe · Timothy Liljegren6:0455.645.91-0
Mark Giordano · Erik Gustafsson6:0231.332.61-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
27 Zachary Aston-Reese L 2 0 2 2 2 3 4 13:38 0.28 10-12 0.57-0.60
44 Morgan Rielly D 1 1 2 0 0 4 3 17:14 0.13 13-24 0.52-0.68
19 Calle Jarnkrok C 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 16:46 0.01 12-12 0.72-0.26
91 John Tavares C 0 2 2 -1 0 0 2 16:25 0.08 6-29 0.18-1.57
34 Auston Matthews C 1 0 1 2 0 5 0 18:57 0.71 13-10 0.79-0.24
93 Mitch Marner R 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 20:43 0.06 9-21 0.42-0.83
24 Sam Lafferty C 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 17:52 0.11 13-23 0.67-0.96
58 Michael Bunting L 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 16:08 0.02 10-27 0.40-1.28
64 Erik Gustafsson D 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 15:13 0.02 14-23 0.74-1.20
78 TJ Brodie D 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 21:04 11-19 0.47-0.34
2 Luke Schenn D 0 0 0 -1 0 0 4 13:56 5-25 0.25-0.76
14 Alexander Kerfoot C 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 13:14 7-25 0.25-0.79
22 Jake McCabe D 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 19:13 10-23 0.53-1.27
27 Timothy Liljegren D 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 16:14 0.03 10-12 0.51-0.79
52 Noel Acciari C 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 05:39 0.21 6-9 0.25-0.23
55 Mark Giordano D 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16:34 9-18 0.55-0.99
64 David Kampf C 0 0 0 2 0 3 1 17:35 0.28 11-23 0.57-1.14
88 William Nylander R 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 17:32 0.40 11-24 0.55-1.12
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
35 Ilya Samsonov W 34 32 2 60:00 3.23 +1.23