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Nashville Predators at Buffalo Sabres

Mar 21, 2023 · KeyBank Center

Team Goals Shots
Nashville Predators 7 27
Buffalo Sabres 3 31

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
1st Period
11:45 NSH Philip Tomasino (4) Matt Duchene (33) 1 - 0
18:43 NSH Matt Duchene (20) Philip Tomasino (9), Jeremy Lauzon (8) 2 - 0
2nd Period
03:36 BUF Dylan Cozens (27) JJ Peterka (18), Jack Quinn (19) 2 - 1
04:00 NSH Tommy Novak (14) Luke Evangelista (3), Tyson Barrie (36) 3 - 1
09:21 NSH Luke Evangelista (4) Tommy Novak (18), Juuse Saros (1) 4 - 1
10:01 NSH Luke Evangelista (5) Kiefer Sherwood (5) 5 - 1
15:52 NSH Ryan McDonagh (2) Luke Evangelista (4) 6 - 1
17:17 BUF Tage Thompson (43) PP Rasmus Dahlin (50), Victor Olofsson (10) 6 - 2
3rd Period
07:45 BUF Jeff Skinner (30) Alex Tuch (35) 6 - 3
17:37 NSH Matt Duchene (21) Ryan McDonagh (15) 7 - 3

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
1st Period
04:54 NSH Ryan McDonagh Delaying game puck over glass 2
14:42 BUF Tage Thompson Holding 2
2nd Period
01:14 NSH Mark Jankowski Hooking 2
04:02 NSH Kiefer Sherwood Fighting 5
04:02 BUF Tage Thompson Fighting 5
06:19 BUF Craig Anderson Tripping 2
16:46 NSH Dante Fabbro Hooking 2
17:03 NSH Colton Sissons Throwing equipment 2
3rd Period
04:31 BUF Henri Jokiharju High sticking 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Nashville Predators 49 40 27 7 3.9 45.7
Buffalo Sabres 56 48 31 3 3.6 54.3

How the game went

505Start2nd3rdBuffalo Sabres aheadNashville Predators ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Buffalo Sabres had taken more, and below it and blue while Nashville Predators had.

Expected goals

Nashville Predators: 3.9 expected, 7 scored · Buffalo Sabres: 3.6 expected, 3 scored

0123Start2nd3rdEndNSH goal, 11:45 of 1st, a 10% chanceNSH goal, 18:43 of 1st, a 8% chanceNSH goal, 4:00 of 2nd, a 19% chanceNSH goal, 9:21 of 2nd, a 8% chanceNSH goal, 10:01 of 2nd, a 11% chanceNSH goal, 15:52 of 2nd, a 7% chanceNSH goal, 17:37 of 3rd, a 45% chanceBUF goal, 3:36 of 2nd, a 15% chanceBUF goal, 17:17 of 2nd, a 8% chanceBUF goal, 7:45 of 3rd, a 14% chanceNSH 3.9BUF 3.6

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

Where the attempts came from

Nashville Predators
Buffalo Sabres

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Nashville Predators

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Colton Sissons · Yakov Trenin · Cole Smith10:0842.937.10-0
Mark Jankowski · Rasmus Asplund · Egor Afanasyev8:3833.319.90-0
Tommy Novak · Kiefer Sherwood · Luke Evangelista8:0669.286.34-0
Matt Duchene · Cody Glass · Philip Tomasino7:3347.449.12-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Jeremy Lauzon · Cal Foote14:3940.052.44-1
Tyson Barrie · Jordan Gross13:0832.023.31-1
Ryan McDonagh · Dante Fabbro13:0470.068.51-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
77 Luke Evangelista R 2 2 4 4 0 7 0 15:49 0.78 12-8 0.97-0.28
95 Matt Duchene C 2 1 3 3 0 3 1 14:35 0.66 10-12 0.71-0.81
18 Tommy Novak C 1 1 2 3 0 4 0 15:30 0.44 12-9 1.06-0.69
27 Ryan McDonagh D 1 1 2 2 2 1 0 17:08 0.08 14-6 1.07-0.49
53 Philip Tomasino R 1 1 2 2 0 6 0 13:18 0.52 11-13 0.78-0.80
5 Jeremy Lauzon D 0 1 1 3 0 0 1 20:11 0.08 13-18 0.97-0.88
8 Tyson Barrie D 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 19:33 0.05 9-18 0.37-1.27
44 Kiefer Sherwood L 0 1 1 4 5 0 0 12:08 13-5 1.19-0.34
12 Cody Glass C 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 15:49 0.08 9-13 0.62-0.72
13 Yakov Trenin C 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 18:11 0.29 8-9 0.47-0.64
15 Colton Sissons C 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 17:45 0.16 9-12 0.44-0.98
15 Dante Fabbro D 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 20:02 14-8 1.07-0.55
22 Cole Smith R 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 17:13 0.07 9-11 0.49-0.64
46 Jordan Gross D 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19:04 10-19 0.40-1.43
52 Cal Foote D 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 18:15 12-19 0.97-1.07
70 Egor Afanasyev L 0 0 0 -2 0 1 3 12:51 0.00 7-14 0.14-0.97
74 Rasmus Asplund C 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11:59 0.18 6-12 0.19-0.77
77 Mark Jankowski L 0 0 0 -1 2 0 1 14:10 0.09 7-14 0.28-0.89
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
74 Juuse Saros W 31 28 3 59:58 3.59 +0.59

Buffalo Sabres

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Dylan Cozens · Jack Quinn · JJ Peterka10:1961.163.20-0
Victor Olofsson · Tyson Jost · Casey Mittelstadt10:0468.864.80-1
Jeff Skinner · Alex Tuch · Tage Thompson8:4645.052.81-3
Kyle Okposo · Zemgus Girgensons · Peyton Krebs7:2272.749.10-1
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Henri Jokiharju · Rasmus Dahlin14:2965.469.10-1
Ilya Lyubushkin · Owen Power9:2750.049.40-1
Kale Clague · Riley Stillman5:2250.026.30-1

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
24 Dylan Cozens C 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 18:42 0.26 14-11 0.88-0.59
53 Jeff Skinner L 1 0 1 -2 0 3 0 14:56 0.58 9-16 0.73-0.90
72 Tage Thompson C 1 0 1 -2 7 3 3 14:50 0.38 9-15 0.73-0.89
10 JJ Peterka R 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 15:44 0.52 14-10 0.88-0.59
22 Jack Quinn R 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 17:55 0.20 12-11 0.66-0.69
26 Rasmus Dahlin D 0 1 1 -2 0 2 2 25:44 0.05 18-16 1.26-0.89
89 Alex Tuch R 0 1 1 -3 0 2 0 17:31 0.29 9-12 0.73-0.68
95 Victor Olofsson L 0 1 1 -2 0 2 0 15:48 0.14 11-6 0.66-0.36
8 Kyle Okposo R 0 0 0 -3 0 1 1 11:17 0.04 10-7 0.58-0.58
11 Casey Mittelstadt C 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 16:18 0.45 15-7 1.11-0.58
17 Tyson Jost C 0 0 0 -2 0 1 1 14:52 0.13 12-6 0.75-0.49
19 Peyton Krebs C 0 0 0 -1 0 2 4 12:27 0.28 10-6 0.58-0.49
20 Henri Jokiharju D 0 0 0 -2 2 1 0 20:13 0.05 20-13 1.45-0.97
25 Owen Power D 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 21:58 13-14 0.75-0.94
28 Zemgus Girgensons C 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 10:57 0.11 8-4 0.31-0.43
38 Kale Clague D 0 0 0 -2 0 1 1 13:28 0.04 8-10 0.46-0.69
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 18:48 0.06 17-12 1.07-0.71
61 Riley Stillman D 0 0 0 -1 0 0 5 13:17 0.04 11-9 0.65-0.70
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
41 Craig Anderson L 20 14 6 35:52 2.22 -3.78
1 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen 6 6 0 23:23 1.24 +1.24