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Tampa Bay Lightning at Carolina Hurricanes

Feb 26, 2026 · Lenovo Center

Team Goals Shots
Tampa Bay Lightning 4 28
Carolina Hurricanes 5 33

Scoring

Time Team Goal Assists Score
1st Period
01:43 CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (15) K'Andre Miller (20), Jordan Martinook (12) 0 - 1
02:56 CAR Logan Stankoven (11) Taylor Hall (16), Jalen Chatfield (13) 0 - 2
06:41 CAR Taylor Hall (13) Jackson Blake (18), Logan Stankoven (16) 0 - 3
16:30 TBL Brandon Hagel (28) Scott Sabourin (3), Jake Guentzel (35) 1 - 3
17:05 TBL Nikita Kucherov (31) Brayden Point (21), J.J. Moser (15) 2 - 3
2nd Period
01:58 TBL Dominic James (6) Jake Guentzel (36), Ryan McDonagh (7) 3 - 3
07:21 CAR Seth Jarvis (26) Andrei Svechnikov (29), Mark Jankowski (9) 3 - 4
14:02 TBL Brayden Point (14) PP Jake Guentzel (37), Darren Raddysh (36) 4 - 4
3rd Period
07:17 CAR Sebastian Aho (21) PP Seth Jarvis (19), Andrei Svechnikov (30) 4 - 5

Penalties

Time Team Player Penalty Min
2nd Period
13:56 CAR Sebastian Aho Holding the stick 2
15:33 TBL Nikita Kucherov Slashing 2
3rd Period
02:34 CAR Jackson Blake Holding 2
06:43 TBL Gage Goncalves Tripping 2

Shot attempts

Team Attempts (Corsi) Unblocked (Fenwick) On goal Goals Expected goals 5-on-5 CF%
Tampa Bay Lightning 57 40 28 4 3.5 50.0
Carolina Hurricanes 62 41 33 5 3.0 50.0

How the game went

202468Start2nd3rdCarolina Hurricanes aheadTampa Bay Lightning ahead

The gap in shot attempts as the game went on: how many more one team had taken than the other. The line is above the middle and red while Carolina Hurricanes had taken more, and below it and blue while Tampa Bay Lightning had.

Expected goals

Tampa Bay Lightning: 3.5 expected, 4 scored · Carolina Hurricanes: 3.0 expected, 5 scored

0123Start2nd3rdEndTBL goal, 16:30 of 1st, a 9% chanceTBL goal, 17:05 of 1st, a 10% chanceTBL goal, 1:58 of 2nd, a 16% chanceTBL goal, 14:02 of 2nd, a 20% chanceCAR goal, 1:43 of 1st, a 6% chanceCAR goal, 2:56 of 1st, a 23% chanceCAR goal, 6:41 of 1st, a 11% chanceCAR goal, 7:21 of 2nd, a 16% chanceCAR goal, 7:17 of 3rd, a 3% chanceTBL 3.5CAR 3.0

Each line climbs with every chance a team had: a small step for a shot from far out, a big one for a dangerous chance. A dot is a goal. Expected goals adds up how likely each shot was to go in, judged by where it was taken from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. Blocked shots and the shootout are not counted.

Where the attempts came from

Tampa Bay Lightning
Carolina Hurricanes

There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Nikita Kucherov · Brayden Point · Gage Goncalves11:2242.943.91-1
Jake Guentzel · Brandon Hagel · Dominic James10:2253.385.41-1
Yanni Gourde · Zemgus Girgensons · Pontus Holmberg9:2447.867.30-0
Zemgus Girgensons · Scott Sabourin · Oliver Bjorkstrand1:560.00.00-0
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Darren Raddysh · J.J. Moser17:1463.637.31-1
Ryan McDonagh · Erik Cernak12:2165.471.92-0
Victor Hedman · Charle-Edouard D'Astous6:2115.429.70-1

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

xG is the expected goals of a skater's own shots. CF-CA and xGF-xGA are the shot attempts and the expected goals for and against while he was on the ice at five-on-five. For a goalie, xGA is what the shots he faced were expected to produce, and the last column is how many of those he saved. What these numbers mean

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
59 Jake Guentzel C 0 3 3 1 0 4 1 22:03 0.66 12-10 0.74-0.26
21 Brayden Point C 1 1 2 0 0 2 1 22:06 0.62 14-17 0.64-0.77
17 Dominic James C 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 16:55 0.73 15-10 0.95-0.34
38 Brandon Hagel L 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 20:42 0.14 13-12 0.77-0.43
86 Nikita Kucherov R 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 25:07 0.32 16-18 0.68-0.76
27 Ryan McDonagh D 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 15:43 0.19 19-11 1.35-0.49
43 Darren Raddysh D 0 1 1 -1 0 4 0 26:01 0.15 17-16 0.39-0.70
46 Scott Sabourin R 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 05:00 2-5 0.09-0.36
90 J.J. Moser D 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 19:42 0.02 17-9 0.39-0.43
28 Zemgus Girgensons C 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 14:53 15-15 0.52-0.53
28 Oliver Bjorkstrand R 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13:01 0.06 10-7 0.57-0.31
29 Pontus Holmberg R 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 14:01 0.29 18-15 0.90-0.78
37 Yanni Gourde C 0 0 0 -2 0 3 4 16:04 0.21 15-19 0.62-0.95
51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D 0 0 0 -3 0 0 0 13:19 6-24 0.34-1.19
72 Declan Carlile D 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 11:04 0.01 8-9 0.34-0.38
77 Victor Hedman D 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 14:21 7-13 0.41-0.46
81 Erik Cernak D 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 15:26 0.08 20-11 1.38-0.57
93 Gage Goncalves C 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 14:55 0.03 11-14 0.45-0.83
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
31 Jonas Johansson L 33 28 5 57:03 2.43 -2.57

Carolina Hurricanes

Lines and pairings

Forward lineTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Sebastian Aho · Andrei Svechnikov · Seth Jarvis12:4547.439.80-0
Taylor Hall · Logan Stankoven · Jackson Blake11:5568.472.02-0
Jordan Staal · Jordan Martinook · Nikolaj Ehlers9:4745.528.71-1
Mark Jankowski · William Carrier · Eric Robinson7:1856.558.90-1
Defence pairTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Jaccob Slavin · Jalen Chatfield17:2342.956.32-1
Sean Walker · K'Andre Miller16:3148.040.42-2
Shayne Gostisbehere · Alexander Nikishin14:5758.141.10-0

The forwards and the defencemen who were on the ice together most at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out.

Players

# Skater Pos G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI xG CF-CA xGF-xGA
22 Logan Stankoven C 1 1 2 1 0 2 2 16:02 0.40 14-12 0.83-0.59
24 Seth Jarvis R 1 1 2 1 0 3 0 18:21 0.37 12-12 0.52-0.53
71 Taylor Hall L 1 1 2 2 0 2 1 16:01 0.23 14-12 0.83-0.63
37 Andrei Svechnikov R 0 2 2 1 0 3 1 18:36 0.15 13-12 0.58-0.44
20 Sebastian Aho C 1 0 1 0 2 3 0 19:43 0.24 11-13 0.30-0.51
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L 1 0 1 -1 0 3 0 14:58 0.21 5-11 0.17-0.70
5 Jalen Chatfield D 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 20:17 12-16 0.88-0.68
19 K'Andre Miller D 0 1 1 0 0 1 5 20:42 0.02 14-14 0.43-0.58
48 Jordan Martinook L 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 14:31 0.00 6-7 0.17-0.48
53 Jackson Blake R 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 17:48 0.05 16-16 0.78-0.91
77 Mark Jankowski L 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 09:45 0.09 16-15 0.69-0.73
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 18:45 0.04 21-17 0.83-1.00
11 Jordan Staal C 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 15:19 0.13 6-7 0.30-0.48
21 Alexander Nikishin D 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 16:13 0.15 19-13 0.50-0.65
26 Sean Walker D 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 18:12 12-14 0.36-0.63
28 William Carrier L 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 09:50 0.28 14-12 0.53-0.54
50 Eric Robinson L 0 0 0 -1 0 2 1 09:20 0.14 14-12 0.65-0.39
74 Jaccob Slavin D 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 23:31 0.02 16-20 1.23-1.07
# Goalie Decision Shots against Saves Goals against TOI xGA Saved above xG
32 Brandon Bussi W 28 24 4 60:00 3.38 -0.62