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Justin Dowling

#37 · Centre · New York Rangers

Born Oct 1, 1990 in Calgary, Alberta, CAN (age 36) · 5'10", 182 lb · Shoots left

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2024-25. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Noah Gregor SJS · 7 P in 52 GP Samuel Helenius LAK · 7 P in 50 GP Mikael Pyyhtia CBJ · 7 P in 47 GP Christian Fischer CBJ · 7 P in 46 GP Sam Lafferty BUF · 7 P in 60 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02462016-17: 2 points216-172018-19: 1 points118-192019-20: 6 points619-202020-21: 5 points520-212021-22: 4 points421-222023-24: 1 points123-242024-25: 7 points724-252025-26: 0 points025-26

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2016-17 DAL 9 0 2 2 0 2 11 1 0.22 $625K
2018-19 DAL 11 0 1 1 -4 0 9 11 0.09 $650K
2019-20 DAL 29 3 3 6 -3 8 29 25 0.21 $750K
2020-21 DAL 27 1 4 5 -4 6 27 17 0.19 $750K
2021-22 VAN 22 2 2 4 -3 2 17 10 0.18 $750K
2023-24 NJD 2 1 0 1 -2 0 3 1 0.50 $775K
2024-25 NJD 52 2 5 7 -6 6 34 51 0.13 $775K
2025-26 NYR 2 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 0.00 $775K
8 seasons Career 154 9 17 26 -23 24 131 119 0.17

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2018-19 DAL 13 0 2 2 -6 0 10 14 0.15
2019-20 DAL 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0.00
2024-25 NJD 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 12 0.00
3 seasons Playoffs 20 0 2 2 -6 0 14 34 0.10

2024-25 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
52 2 5 7 -6 6 34 51 0.13 5.9 10:13

Contract

$775KCap hitends in 2025, then UFA
$111KCap dollars per point7 points in 52 games
$29KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$746KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 698 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the New Jersey Devils on Jul 1, 2023, as a new contract: 2 years and $1.55M, beginning in 2023-24. It runs through 2024-25, so this is its last season, after which he is an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2023-24 $775K $775K $0 $775K
2024-25 $775K $775K $0 $775K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 1, 2025 New York Rangers New contract 2025-26 to 2026-27 2 $1.625M $775K
Jul 1, 2023 New Jersey Devils New contract 2023-24 to 2024-25 2 $1.55M $775K
Jul 28, 2021 Vancouver Canucks New contract 2021-22 to 2022-23 2 $1.5M $750K
Mar 9, 2019 Dallas Stars Extension 2019-20 to 2020-21 2 $1.5M $750K
May 8, 2017 Dallas Stars Extension 2017-18 to 2018-19 2 $1.3M $650K
May 31, 2016 Dallas Stars Extension 2016-17 to 2016-17 1 $625K $625K
Mar 26, 2014 Dallas Stars Entry-level 2014-15 to 2015-16 2 $1.22M $610K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2024-25 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2024-25 playoff analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

-0.8Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
-0.1Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-1.0Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence-0.6Even-strength defence-0.3Power play0.0Penalty kill0.0Penalties+0.0

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. A playoff run is too short to rank anyone on.

-1-0.500.512016-172018-192019-202020-212021-222023-242024-252025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

28.2Corsi for %31 attempts for, 79 against
-19.7CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
33.7Expected goals for %1.4 expected for, 2.7 against
-18.0xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
30.0Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
0.0Goals for %0 for, 0 against
100.0PDO0.0% shooting + 100.0% saves
7Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Tomas Tatar · Justin Dowling · Nathan Bastian428:5722.636.40-0
Justin Dowling · Nathan Bastian · Paul Cotter56:4927.332.90-0
Justin Dowling · Ondrej Palat · Nathan Bastian26:2140.019.90-0
Justin Dowling · Stefan Noesen · Paul Cotter31:420.00.00-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.4Expected goalsfrom 6 unblocked attempts
-0.4Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.44 expected goals per 60 minutes10th
Shot quality 6.9% chance per attempt39th
Finishing -0.4 goals above expected46thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 83 who played at least a quarter as much as the busiest in these playoffs.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.4Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took in these playoffs, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 16, 2025 vs DET L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 14:59
Apr 13, 2025 vs NYI L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 09:08
Apr 8, 2025 vs BOS L 2-7 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 11:15
Apr 5, 2025 vs NYR W 4-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 12:25
Mar 31, 2025 vs MIN W 3-2 (SO) 0 1 1 -1 0 0 1 11:30
Mar 29, 2025 @ MIN W 5-2 0 1 1 0 0 3 2 13:02
Mar 28, 2025 @ WPG L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 13:24
Mar 26, 2025 @ CHI W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 12:50
Mar 24, 2025 vs VAN L 3-4 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 08:10
Mar 7, 2025 vs WPG L 1-6 0 0 0 -1 0 2 3 11:41
Mar 4, 2025 @ DAL L 3-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 09:50
Feb 26, 2025 @ COL L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 08:35
Feb 23, 2025 @ NSH W 5-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 11:23
Feb 8, 2025 @ MTL W 4-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14:06
Feb 6, 2025 vs VGK L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 11:04
Feb 4, 2025 @ PIT W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11:13
Feb 2, 2025 @ BUF L 3-4 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 11:38
Jan 29, 2025 vs PHI W 5-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 12:45
Jan 27, 2025 @ PHI L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 12:04
Jan 25, 2025 @ MTL W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 11:31
Jan 22, 2025 vs BOS W 5-1 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 12:45
Jan 19, 2025 vs OTT L 1-2 0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 09:50
Jan 16, 2025 @ TOR L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 10:04
Jan 14, 2025 vs FLA L 1-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10:50
Jan 11, 2025 vs TBL W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 11:57
Jan 9, 2025 @ NYR L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 13:47
Jan 6, 2025 @ SEA W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 12:30
Dec 27, 2024 vs CAR W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 09:42
Dec 23, 2024 vs NYR W 5-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13:27
Dec 21, 2024 vs PIT W 3-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 07:17
Dec 19, 2024 @ CBJ L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 08:29
Dec 14, 2024 vs CHI W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 09:39
Dec 12, 2024 vs LAK W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 07:00
Dec 10, 2024 vs TOR L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 07:44
Dec 8, 2024 vs COL L 0-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 08:11
Dec 6, 2024 vs SEA W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12:18
Dec 2, 2024 @ NYR W 5-1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 10:47
Nov 30, 2024 vs WSH L 5-6 1 0 1 1 0 2 3 06:47
Nov 29, 2024 @ DET W 5-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 06:05
Nov 27, 2024 vs STL L 0-3 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 07:13
Nov 25, 2024 vs NSH W 5-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 09:25
Nov 23, 2024 @ WSH W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 10:34
Nov 21, 2024 vs CAR W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 08:43
Nov 16, 2024 @ TBL L 0-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 07:07
Nov 14, 2024 @ FLA W 6-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 07:55
Nov 12, 2024 @ FLA W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 08:55
Nov 10, 2024 vs SJS L 0-1 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 07:04
Nov 9, 2024 @ NYI W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -2 0 1 1 05:45
Nov 7, 2024 vs MTL W 5-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 05:54
Nov 4, 2024 @ EDM W 3-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10:04
Nov 1, 2024 @ CGY L 0-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 09:28
Oct 30, 2024 @ VAN W 6-0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 11:46