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Brock Nelson

#11 · Centre · Colorado Avalanche

Born Oct 15, 1991 in Warroad, Minnesota, USA (age 34) · 6'4", 205 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 30th overall in 2010 by NYI (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2023-24. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Jonathan Marchessault VGK · 69 P in 82 GP Ryan O'Reilly NSH · 69 P in 82 GP Matt Boldy MIN · 69 P in 75 GP Dylan Larkin DET · 69 P in 68 GP Anze Kopitar LAK · 70 P in 81 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02040602013-14: 26 points2613-142014-15: 42 points4214-152015-16: 40 points4015-162016-17: 45 points4516-172017-18: 35 points3517-182018-19: 53 points5318-192019-20: 54 points5419-202020-21: 33 points3320-212021-22: 59 points5921-222022-23: 75 points7522-232023-24: 69 points6923-242024-25: 56 points5624-252025-26: 65 points6525-262026-27: 5 points526-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2013-14 NYI 72 14 12 26 -10 12 132 74 0.36 $900K
2014-15 NYI 82 20 22 42 6 24 190 99 0.51 $900K
2015-16 NYI 81 26 14 40 -3 30 165 59 0.49 $2.5M
2016-17 NYI 81 20 25 45 -6 36 173 50 0.56 $2.5M
2017-18 NYI 82 19 16 35 -4 43 138 50 0.43 $2.5M
2018-19 NYI 82 25 28 53 20 28 181 51 0.65 $4.25M
2019-20 NYI 68 26 28 54 6 32 175 49 0.79 $6M
2020-21 NYI 56 18 15 33 -5 14 121 36 0.59 $6M
2021-22 NYI 72 37 22 59 -5 33 171 31 0.82 $6M
2022-23 NYI 82 36 39 75 13 24 222 50 0.91 $6M
2023-24 NYI 82 34 35 69 -5 28 250 38 0.84 $6M
2024-25 NYI 61 20 23 43 2 14 162 26 0.70 $6M
2024-25 COL 19 6 7 13 6 4 31 9 0.68
2025-26 COL 81 33 32 65 15 36 186 38 0.80 $7.5M
2026-27 COL 5 2 3 5 -1 2 7 3 1.00 $7.5M
14 seasons Career 1006 336 321 657 29 360 2304 663 0.65

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2012-13 NYI 1 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 0.00
2014-15 NYI 6 2 0 2 1 2 8 6 0.33
2015-16 NYI 11 1 4 5 -5 6 28 14 0.45
2018-19 NYI 8 4 0 4 -2 2 22 7 0.50
2019-20 NYI 22 9 9 18 4 12 57 38 0.82
2020-21 NYI 19 7 5 12 -1 4 35 22 0.63
2022-23 NYI 6 2 3 5 4 4 15 5 0.83
2023-24 NYI 5 2 2 4 -2 10 7 3 0.80
2024-25 COL 7 0 4 4 2 2 13 9 0.57
2025-26 COL 13 2 1 3 -1 10 24 16 0.23
10 seasons Playoffs 98 29 28 57 -1 52 209 121 0.58

2023-24 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
82 34 35 69 -5 28 250 38 0.84 13.6 18:05

Contract

$6MCap hitends in 2025, then UFA
$87KCap dollars per point69 points in 82 games
$590KCap dollars per goal above replacement10.2 goals above replacement
$8.3MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$2.3MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 718 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the New York Islanders on May 23, 2019, as an extension of the contract he was on: 6 years and $36M, beginning in 2019-20. It runs through 2024-25, with 1 season left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2019-20 $6M $6M $2M $8M NTC
2020-21 $6M $5.2M $0 $5.2M NTC
2021-22 $6M $8M $0 $8M M-NTC
2022-23 $6M $5.2M $0 $5.2M M-NTC
2023-24 $6M $5.6M $0 $5.6M M-NTC
2024-25 $6M $4M $0 $4M M-NTC

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jun 4, 2025 Colorado Avalanche Extension 2025-26 to 2027-28 3 $22.5M $7.5M
May 23, 2019 New York Islanders Extension 2019-20 to 2024-25 6 $36M $6M
Jul 23, 2018 New York Islanders New contract 2018-19 to 2018-19 1 $4.25M $4.25M
Sep 16, 2015 New York Islanders New contract 2015-16 to 2017-18 3 $7.5M $2.5M
Apr 3, 2012 New York Islanders Entry-level 2012-13 to 2014-15 3 $8.475M $900K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2023-24 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2023-24 playoff analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

-0.7Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
-0.1Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-1.0Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence-0.5Even-strength defence-0.4Power play-0.2Penalty kill0.0Penalties+0.2

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. A playoff run is too short to rank anyone on.

-50510152013-142015-162017-182019-202021-222023-242025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

32.2Corsi for %55 attempts for, 116 against
-12.1CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
28.4Expected goals for %1.7 expected for, 4.4 against
-20.7xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
31.6Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
50.0Goals for %2 for, 2 against
103.9PDO8.0% shooting + 95.9% saves
11Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Kyle Palmieri · Brock Nelson · Hudson Fasching437:1936.745.81-1
Kyle Palmieri · Brock Nelson · Simon Holmstrom216:2124.318.31-0
Kyle Palmieri · Brock Nelson · Kyle MacLean35:4927.314.50-0
Anders Lee · Brock Nelson · Pierre Engvall43:5657.131.20-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

2Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.6Expected goalsfrom 10 unblocked attempts
+1.4Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.38 expected goals per 60 minutes5th
Shot quality 6.4% chance per attempt22nd
Finishing +1.4 goals above expected76thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 74 who played at least a quarter as much as the busiest in these playoffs.

00.511.52Goals 2Expected 0.6

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took in these playoffs, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 17, 2024 vs PIT W 5-4 1 1 2 1 0 3 0 20:59
Apr 15, 2024 @ NJD W 4-1 1 1 2 0 2 1 0 14:52
Apr 13, 2024 @ NYR L 2-3 (SO) 2 0 2 1 0 7 1 21:53
Apr 11, 2024 vs MTL W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 2 0 2 1 18:24
Apr 9, 2024 vs NYR W 4-2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 17:00
Apr 6, 2024 vs NSH W 2-0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 17:48
Apr 4, 2024 @ CBJ W 4-2 0 0 0 1 2 3 0 18:33
Apr 2, 2024 vs CHI W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 18:28
Apr 1, 2024 @ PHI W 4-3 (OT) 1 0 1 0 2 3 1 17:17
Mar 30, 2024 @ TBL L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 4 1 14:42
Mar 28, 2024 @ FLA W 3-2 0 0 0 -1 0 2 1 22:54
Mar 24, 2024 vs NJD L 0-4 0 0 0 -2 0 1 1 21:56
Mar 23, 2024 vs WPG W 6-3 0 1 1 -1 0 5 0 17:16
Mar 21, 2024 @ DET L 3-6 0 0 0 -3 0 1 0 18:15
Mar 19, 2024 vs CAR L 1-4 0 1 1 0 0 4 1 17:03
Mar 17, 2024 @ NYR L 2-5 0 2 2 0 0 1 0 18:35
Mar 16, 2024 vs OTT L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 22:07
Mar 14, 2024 @ BUF L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 22:01
Mar 11, 2024 @ LAK L 0-3 0 0 0 -2 0 5 0 19:02
Mar 10, 2024 @ ANA W 6-1 1 1 2 2 0 1 0 18:14
Mar 7, 2024 @ SJS W 7-2 0 3 3 4 0 3 0 17:36
Mar 5, 2024 vs STL W 4-2 0 2 2 0 0 2 0 15:44
Mar 2, 2024 vs BOS W 5-1 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 18:22
Feb 29, 2024 @ DET W 5-3 2 0 2 2 0 3 0 17:54
Feb 26, 2024 @ DAL W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 22:28
Feb 24, 2024 vs TBL L 2-4 1 0 1 -2 0 4 0 21:22
Feb 22, 2024 @ STL L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 5 0 20:59
Feb 20, 2024 @ PIT W 5-4 (OT) 1 1 2 2 0 8 0 20:10
Feb 18, 2024 vs NYR L 5-6 (OT) 1 1 2 2 0 3 0 16:26
Feb 13, 2024 vs SEA L 1-2 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 17:52
Feb 10, 2024 vs CGY L 2-5 1 0 1 -1 0 4 0 18:52
Feb 8, 2024 vs TBL W 6-2 0 1 1 1 0 6 1 15:19
Feb 5, 2024 @ TOR W 3-2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 18:13
Jan 27, 2024 vs FLA L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 16:22
Jan 25, 2024 @ MTL L 3-4 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 21:19
Jan 23, 2024 vs VGK L 2-3 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 19:30
Jan 21, 2024 vs DAL W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 2 2 0 15:40
Jan 19, 2024 @ CHI L 3-4 (OT) 1 0 1 1 0 5 0 17:42
Jan 16, 2024 @ WPG L 2-4 0 0 0 -2 0 3 0 17:57
Jan 15, 2024 @ MIN L 0-5 0 0 0 -2 0 3 1 19:15
Jan 13, 2024 @ NSH L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 2 1 17:40
Jan 11, 2024 vs TOR W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19:25
Jan 9, 2024 vs VAN L 2-5 2 0 2 0 0 2 0 18:06
Jan 6, 2024 @ VGK L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 16:47
Jan 4, 2024 @ ARI W 5-1 0 1 1 1 0 4 0 16:26
Jan 2, 2024 @ COL L 4-5 (OT) 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 16:54
Dec 31, 2023 @ PIT L 1-3 0 0 0 -2 0 6 3 18:46
Dec 29, 2023 vs WSH W 5-1 0 0 0 -1 2 1 1 16:58
Dec 27, 2023 vs PIT L 0-7 0 0 0 -1 0 3 1 15:28
Dec 23, 2023 @ CAR W 5-4 1 1 2 0 0 4 0 15:03
Dec 20, 2023 @ WSH L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 4 0 16:48
Dec 19, 2023 vs EDM W 3-1 0 1 1 -1 2 3 1 18:38
Dec 16, 2023 @ MTL L 3-5 2 0 2 -1 2 4 0 15:19
Dec 15, 2023 vs BOS L 4-5 (SO) 1 1 2 0 0 4 0 22:19
Dec 13, 2023 vs ANA W 4-3 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 17:16
Dec 11, 2023 vs TOR W 4-3 (OT) 1 1 2 1 0 4 0 15:47
Dec 9, 2023 vs LAK W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 18:51
Dec 7, 2023 vs CBJ W 7-3 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 15:49
Dec 5, 2023 vs SJS L 4-5 (OT) 1 0 1 -1 0 5 0 19:53
Dec 2, 2023 @ FLA W 4-3 0 2 2 0 0 1 1 15:04
Nov 30, 2023 @ CAR W 5-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 18:09
Nov 28, 2023 @ NJD L 4-5 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 18:43
Nov 25, 2023 vs PHI L 0-1 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 21:45
Nov 24, 2023 @ OTT W 5-3 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 16:38
Nov 22, 2023 vs PHI W 3-2 2 0 2 2 0 4 0 15:46
Nov 18, 2023 @ CGY W 5-4 (SO) 1 1 2 2 0 2 1 17:33
Nov 16, 2023 @ SEA L 3-4 (SO) 0 1 1 0 2 4 0 21:36
Nov 15, 2023 @ VAN L 3-4 (OT) 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 14:49
Nov 13, 2023 @ EDM L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 10 2 17:22
Nov 11, 2023 vs WSH L 1-4 0 0 0 -2 0 2 0 17:16
Nov 9, 2023 @ BOS L 2-5 1 0 1 -3 0 1 0 18:01
Nov 7, 2023 vs MIN L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 19:14
Nov 4, 2023 vs CAR L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 -3 2 4 0 14:38
Nov 2, 2023 @ WSH W 3-0 1 1 2 2 0 2 0 18:00
Oct 30, 2023 vs DET L 3-4 (OT) 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 16:49
Oct 28, 2023 @ CBJ W 2-0 0 0 0 1 0 8 0 18:50
Oct 26, 2023 vs OTT W 3-2 0 0 0 0 2 4 3 15:16
Oct 24, 2023 vs COL L 4-7 0 0 0 -2 2 1 2 18:31
Oct 21, 2023 @ BUF L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 17:26
Oct 20, 2023 vs NJD L 4-5 (OT) 2 0 2 3 0 5 0 19:29
Oct 17, 2023 vs ARI W 1-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 16:45
Oct 14, 2023 vs BUF W 3-2 1 1 2 2 0 3 1 16:37