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Brandon Carlo

#25 · Defence · St. Louis Blues

Born Nov 26, 1996 in Colorado Springs, Colorado, USA (age 29) · 6'5", 214 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 37th overall in 2015 by BOS (round 2)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2021-22. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Ryan Lindgren NYR · 15 P in 78 GP Ilya Lyubushkin TOR · 15 P in 77 GP Andrew Peeke CBJ · 15 P in 82 GP Caleb Jones CHI · 15 P in 51 GP J.J. Moser ARI · 15 P in 43 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0510152016-17: 16 points1616-172017-18: 6 points617-182018-19: 10 points1018-192019-20: 19 points1919-202020-21: 4 points420-212021-22: 15 points1521-222022-23: 16 points1622-232023-24: 14 points1423-242024-25: 12 points1224-252025-26: 7 points725-262026-27: 0 points026-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2016-17 BOS 82 6 10 16 9 59 88 87 0.20 $789K
2017-18 BOS 76 0 6 6 10 45 76 89 0.08 $789K
2018-19 BOS 72 2 8 10 22 47 116 134 0.14 $789K
2019-20 BOS 67 4 15 19 16 33 111 126 0.28 $2.85M
2020-21 BOS 27 3 1 4 1 12 43 38 0.15 $2.85M
2021-22 BOS 79 6 9 15 2 31 125 143 0.19 $4.1M
2022-23 BOS 75 3 13 16 44 38 94 128 0.21 $4.1M
2023-24 BOS 76 4 10 14 23 42 79 140 0.18 $4.1M
2024-25 BOS 63 1 8 9 2 24 64 64 0.14 $4.1M
2024-25 TOR 20 0 3 3 4 13 13 26 0.15
2025-26 TOR 55 0 7 7 4 37 66 65 0.13 $4.1M
2026-27 STL 5 0 0 0 0 17 4 7 0.00 $4.1M
11 seasons Career 697 29 90 119 137 398 879 1047 0.17

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2018-19 BOS 24 2 2 4 10 6 32 32 0.17
2019-20 BOS 10 0 1 1 1 4 11 27 0.10
2020-21 BOS 8 0 0 0 0 4 10 22 0.00
2021-22 BOS 7 0 1 1 -5 6 4 13 0.14
2022-23 BOS 7 0 4 4 2 4 16 11 0.57
2023-24 BOS 13 3 1 4 4 6 20 34 0.31
2024-25 TOR 13 0 0 0 -4 8 14 9 0.00
7 seasons Playoffs 82 5 9 14 8 38 107 148 0.17

2021-22 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
79 6 9 15 2 31 125 143 0.19 4.8 19:42

Contract

$4.1MCap hitends in 2027, then UFA
$273KCap dollars per point15 points in 79 games
$1.918MCap dollars per goal above replacement2.1 goals above replacement
$2.2MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$1.9MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 716 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Boston Bruins on Jul 14, 2021, as an extension of the contract he was on: 6 years and $24.6M, beginning in 2021-22. It runs through 2026-27, with 5 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2021-22 $4.1M $2.5M $0 $2.5M
2022-23 $4.1M $3.5M $0 $3.5M
2023-24 $4.1M $4.7M $1M $5.7M M-NTC
2024-25 $4.1M $5.45M $0 $5.45M M-NTC
2025-26 $4.1M $4.2M $0 $4.2M M-NTC
2026-27 $4.1M $3.25M $0 $3.25M M-NTC

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 14, 2021 Boston Bruins Extension 2021-22 to 2026-27 6 $24.6M $4.1M
Sep 17, 2019 Boston Bruins New contract 2019-20 to 2020-21 2 $5.7M $2.85M
Sep 25, 2015 Boston Bruins Entry-level 2016-17 to 2018-19 signed for 2015-16, slid 3 $2.775M $789K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2021-22 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2021-22 playoff analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

-0.3Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
0.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-0.7Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence-0.7Even-strength defence-0.1Power play0.0Penalty kill+0.2Penalties-0.1

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. A playoff run is too short to rank anyone on. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-505102016-172018-192020-212022-232024-252026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

49.4Corsi for %84 attempts for, 86 against
-3.0CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
41.9Expected goals for %2.6 expected for, 3.7 against
-13.1xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
46.2Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
0.0Goals for %0 for, 6 against
86.0PDO0.0% shooting + 86.0% saves
9Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Matt Grzelcyk · Brandon Carlo542:2954.950.50-4
Mike Reilly · Brandon Carlo423:1939.033.10-1
Hampus Lindholm · Brandon Carlo410:2861.150.60-0
Derek Forbort · Brandon Carlo77:4538.523.40-0

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.1Expected goalsfrom 5 unblocked attempts
-0.1Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.05 expected goals per 60 minutes2nd
Shot quality 2.1% chance per attempt3rd
Finishing -0.1 goals above expected56thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 61 who played at least a quarter as much as the busiest in these playoffs.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.1Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took in these playoffs, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 29, 2022 @ TOR L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 21:00
Apr 28, 2022 vs BUF W 5-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 19:55
Apr 26, 2022 vs FLA W 4-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 19:18
Apr 24, 2022 @ MTL W 5-3 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 21:00
Apr 23, 2022 vs NYR W 3-1 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 21:00
Apr 21, 2022 @ PIT L 0-4 0 0 0 -2 0 2 3 18:38
Apr 19, 2022 @ STL W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 20:11
Apr 16, 2022 vs PIT W 2-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 21:13
Apr 12, 2022 vs STL L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 04:48
Apr 10, 2022 @ WSH L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 5 19:47
Apr 8, 2022 @ TBL W 2-1 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 23:09
Apr 5, 2022 @ DET L 3-5 1 0 1 1 0 1 5 22:40
Apr 4, 2022 @ CBJ W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 20:21
Apr 2, 2022 vs CBJ W 5-2 0 1 1 1 0 2 1 20:23
Mar 31, 2022 vs NJD W 8-1 0 0 0 2 0 3 2 22:43
Mar 29, 2022 vs TOR L 4-6 0 0 0 -2 0 1 1 18:15
Mar 26, 2022 vs NYI W 6-3 0 1 1 2 0 3 0 20:50
Mar 24, 2022 vs TBL W 3-2 0 0 0 0 2 4 2 18:39
Mar 21, 2022 @ MTL W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 19:36
Mar 18, 2022 @ WPG W 4-2 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 21:51
Mar 16, 2022 @ MIN L 2-4 0 1 1 1 2 0 2 17:50
Mar 15, 2022 @ CHI W 2-1 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 21:13
Mar 12, 2022 vs ARI W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 20:17
Mar 10, 2022 vs CHI W 4-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 19:21
Mar 7, 2022 vs LAK L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 18:58
Mar 5, 2022 @ CBJ W 5-4 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 19:38
Mar 3, 2022 @ VGK W 5-2 0 1 1 1 0 2 2 20:27
Mar 1, 2022 @ ANA L 3-4 1 1 2 2 0 5 1 21:14
Feb 28, 2022 @ LAK W 7-0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 18:16
Feb 26, 2022 @ SJS W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 20:44
Feb 24, 2022 @ SEA W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 17:39
Feb 21, 2022 vs COL W 5-1 0 1 1 2 0 2 1 20:41
Feb 19, 2022 @ OTT W 3-2 (OT) 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 21:15
Feb 17, 2022 @ NYI L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 18:06
Feb 15, 2022 @ NYR L 1-2 (SO) 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 17:27
Feb 12, 2022 @ OTT W 2-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 20:04
Feb 10, 2022 vs CAR L 0-6 0 0 0 -1 0 3 3 17:35
Feb 8, 2022 vs PIT L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 18:06
Feb 1, 2022 vs SEA W 3-2 0 0 0 -1 2 2 2 24:07
Jan 30, 2022 @ DAL L 1-6 0 0 0 -1 2 0 2 20:49
Jan 28, 2022 @ ARI W 2-1 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 19:15
Jan 26, 2022 @ COL L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 22:32
Jan 24, 2022 vs ANA L 3-5 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 18:00
Jan 22, 2022 vs WPG W 3-2 0 0 0 -1 5 1 2 19:04
Jan 20, 2022 vs WSH W 4-3 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 21:49
Jan 18, 2022 vs CAR L 1-7 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 18:04
Jan 15, 2022 vs NSH W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 2 1 3 21:02
Jan 13, 2022 vs PHI W 3-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 21:31
Jan 12, 2022 vs MTL W 5-1 0 0 0 1 2 1 4 21:55
Jan 10, 2022 @ WSH W 7-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 22:17
Jan 8, 2022 @ TBL W 5-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 21:13
Jan 6, 2022 vs MIN L 2-3 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 21:56
Jan 4, 2022 vs NJD W 5-3 1 0 1 2 0 2 6 19:28
Jan 2, 2022 @ DET W 5-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 20:24
Jan 1, 2022 vs BUF W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 17:52
Dec 16, 2021 @ NYI L 1-3 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 15:01
Dec 14, 2021 vs VGK L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19:31
Dec 8, 2021 @ VAN L 1-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 15:58
Dec 4, 2021 vs TBL L 2-3 (OT) 0 1 1 2 0 3 1 20:41
Dec 2, 2021 @ NSH W 2-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 2 22:59
Nov 30, 2021 vs DET L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 16:36
Nov 28, 2021 vs VAN W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 17:10
Nov 26, 2021 vs NYR L 2-5 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 16:55
Nov 24, 2021 @ BUF W 5-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 18:53
Nov 21, 2021 vs CGY L 0-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 17:25
Nov 20, 2021 @ PHI W 5-2 0 0 0 1 2 4 1 22:17
Nov 14, 2021 vs MTL W 5-2 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 20:19
Nov 13, 2021 @ NJD W 5-2 0 0 0 -2 2 1 1 21:24
Nov 11, 2021 vs EDM L 3-5 1 0 1 -2 0 1 0 20:21
Nov 9, 2021 vs OTT W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 17:58
Nov 6, 2021 @ TOR L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 17:40
Nov 4, 2021 vs DET W 5-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 21:41
Oct 30, 2021 vs FLA W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 19:01
Oct 28, 2021 @ CAR L 0-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 20:10
Oct 27, 2021 @ FLA L 1-4 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 20:45
Oct 24, 2021 vs SJS W 4-3 0 0 0 -1 0 3 4 21:34
Oct 22, 2021 @ BUF W 4-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 19:53
Oct 20, 2021 @ PHI L 3-6 0 0 0 -1 2 2 1 16:37
Oct 16, 2021 vs DAL W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 20:28