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Brandon Carlo

#25 · Defence · St. Louis Blues

Born Nov 26, 1996 in Colorado Springs, Colorado, USA (age 29) · 6'5", 214 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 37th overall in 2015 by BOS (round 2)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2022-23. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Caleb Jones CHI · 16 P in 73 GP Carson Soucy SEA · 16 P in 78 GP Erik Cernak TBL · 16 P in 70 GP Jani Hakanpää DAL · 16 P in 82 GP Josh Mahura FLA · 16 P in 82 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0510152016-17: 16 points1616-172017-18: 6 points617-182018-19: 10 points1018-192019-20: 19 points1919-202020-21: 4 points420-212021-22: 15 points1521-222022-23: 16 points1622-232023-24: 14 points1423-242024-25: 12 points1224-252025-26: 7 points725-262026-27: 0 points026-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2016-17 BOS 82 6 10 16 9 59 88 87 0.20 $789K
2017-18 BOS 76 0 6 6 10 45 76 89 0.08 $789K
2018-19 BOS 72 2 8 10 22 47 116 134 0.14 $789K
2019-20 BOS 67 4 15 19 16 33 111 126 0.28 $2.85M
2020-21 BOS 27 3 1 4 1 12 43 38 0.15 $2.85M
2021-22 BOS 79 6 9 15 2 31 125 143 0.19 $4.1M
2022-23 BOS 75 3 13 16 44 38 94 128 0.21 $4.1M
2023-24 BOS 76 4 10 14 23 42 79 140 0.18 $4.1M
2024-25 BOS 63 1 8 9 2 24 64 64 0.14 $4.1M
2024-25 TOR 20 0 3 3 4 13 13 26 0.15
2025-26 TOR 55 0 7 7 4 37 66 65 0.13 $4.1M
2026-27 STL 5 0 0 0 0 17 4 7 0.00 $4.1M
11 seasons Career 697 29 90 119 137 398 879 1047 0.17

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2018-19 BOS 24 2 2 4 10 6 32 32 0.17
2019-20 BOS 10 0 1 1 1 4 11 27 0.10
2020-21 BOS 8 0 0 0 0 4 10 22 0.00
2021-22 BOS 7 0 1 1 -5 6 4 13 0.14
2022-23 BOS 7 0 4 4 2 4 16 11 0.57
2023-24 BOS 13 3 1 4 4 6 20 34 0.31
2024-25 TOR 13 0 0 0 -4 8 14 9 0.00
7 seasons Playoffs 82 5 9 14 8 38 107 148 0.17

2022-23 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
75 3 13 16 44 38 94 128 0.21 3.2 18:50

Contract

$4.1MCap hitends in 2027, then UFA
$256KCap dollars per point16 points in 75 games
$634KCap dollars per goal above replacement6.5 goals above replacement
$5.4MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$1.3MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 695 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Boston Bruins on Jul 14, 2021, as an extension of the contract he was on: 6 years and $24.6M, beginning in 2021-22. It runs through 2026-27, with 4 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2021-22 $4.1M $2.5M $0 $2.5M
2022-23 $4.1M $3.5M $0 $3.5M
2023-24 $4.1M $4.7M $1M $5.7M M-NTC
2024-25 $4.1M $5.45M $0 $5.45M M-NTC
2025-26 $4.1M $4.2M $0 $4.2M M-NTC
2026-27 $4.1M $3.25M $0 $3.25M M-NTC

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 14, 2021 Boston Bruins Extension 2021-22 to 2026-27 6 $24.6M $4.1M
Sep 17, 2019 Boston Bruins New contract 2019-20 to 2020-21 2 $5.7M $2.85M
Sep 25, 2015 Boston Bruins Entry-level 2016-17 to 2018-19 signed for 2015-16, slid 3 $2.775M $789K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2022-23 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2022-23 playoff analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

+1.5Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
+0.2Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+1.0Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence+0.5Even-strength defence+0.7Power play0.0Penalty kill-0.1Penalties-0.2

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. A playoff run is too short to rank anyone on. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-505102016-172018-192020-212022-232024-252026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

51.1Corsi for %114 attempts for, 109 against
-1.6CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
53.6Expected goals for %4.1 expected for, 3.6 against
+1.6xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
55.5Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
50.0Goals for %6 for, 6 against
98.1PDO9.4% shooting + 88.7% saves
23Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Hampus Lindholm · Brandon Carlo783:0854.261.95-2
Derek Forbort · Brandon Carlo711:5437.027.80-1
Dmitry Orlov · Brandon Carlo610:5665.052.11-1
Matt Grzelcyk · Brandon Carlo34:230.00.00-2

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.6Expected goalsfrom 21 unblocked attempts
-0.6Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.27 expected goals per 60 minutes78th
Shot quality 3.0% chance per attempt52nd
Finishing -0.6 goals above expected20thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 65 who played at least a quarter as much as the busiest in these playoffs.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.6Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took in these playoffs, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 13, 2023 @ MTL W 5-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 16:33
Apr 11, 2023 vs WSH W 5-2 0 0 0 2 0 4 3 18:24
Apr 9, 2023 @ PHI W 5-3 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 21:53
Apr 8, 2023 vs NJD W 2-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 20:27
Apr 6, 2023 vs TOR W 2-1 (OT) 0 1 1 1 0 3 1 17:48
Apr 2, 2023 @ STL W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 23:12
Apr 1, 2023 @ PIT W 4-3 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 20:45
Mar 30, 2023 vs CBJ W 2-1 (OT) 0 0 0 0 5 0 2 18:35
Mar 28, 2023 vs NSH L 1-2 0 0 0 -1 2 1 3 15:26
Mar 26, 2023 @ CAR W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 23:39
Mar 25, 2023 vs TBL W 2-1 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 16:52
Mar 21, 2023 vs OTT W 2-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 19:12
Mar 19, 2023 @ BUF W 7-0 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 19:43
Mar 18, 2023 @ MIN W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 18:38
Mar 16, 2023 @ WPG W 3-0 0 1 1 1 0 1 3 21:07
Mar 12, 2023 @ DET L 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 17:03
Mar 11, 2023 vs DET W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 19:40
Mar 9, 2023 vs EDM L 2-3 0 1 1 1 0 2 3 20:02
Mar 4, 2023 vs NYR W 4-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 19:25
Mar 2, 2023 vs BUF W 7-1 0 2 2 4 2 1 2 19:22
Feb 27, 2023 @ EDM W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 19:20
Feb 25, 2023 @ VAN W 3-1 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 18:38
Feb 23, 2023 @ SEA W 6-5 1 0 1 1 0 2 1 21:20
Feb 20, 2023 vs OTT W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20:06
Feb 18, 2023 vs NYI W 6-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 19:27
Feb 16, 2023 @ NSH W 5-0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 17:21
Feb 14, 2023 @ DAL W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 1 0 2 2 21:57
Feb 11, 2023 vs WSH L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 17:21
Feb 1, 2023 @ TOR W 5-2 1 0 1 3 0 3 5 19:18
Jan 29, 2023 @ CAR L 1-4 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 14:38
Jan 28, 2023 @ FLA L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 -2 0 1 2 17:53
Jan 26, 2023 @ TBL L 2-3 0 0 0 -2 0 2 2 17:24
Jan 24, 2023 @ MTL W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 21:44
Jan 22, 2023 vs SJS W 4-0 0 0 0 0 5 0 1 16:53
Jan 19, 2023 @ NYR W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 08:15
Jan 18, 2023 @ NYI W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 18:10
Jan 16, 2023 vs PHI W 6-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 21:44
Jan 14, 2023 vs TOR W 4-3 0 1 1 2 0 2 1 19:46
Jan 12, 2023 vs SEA L 0-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 17:09
Jan 8, 2023 @ ANA W 7-1 0 0 0 3 0 2 1 19:49
Jan 7, 2023 @ SJS W 4-2 0 0 0 -1 2 0 2 20:36
Jan 5, 2023 @ LAK W 5-2 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 19:08
Jan 2, 2023 vs PIT W 2-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 19:38
Dec 31, 2022 vs BUF L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 18:38
Dec 28, 2022 @ NJD W 3-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 19:44
Dec 27, 2022 @ OTT L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 16:56
Dec 23, 2022 @ NJD W 4-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 20:50
Dec 22, 2022 vs WPG W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 18:44
Dec 19, 2022 vs FLA W 7-3 1 1 2 1 0 1 2 18:40
Dec 17, 2022 vs CBJ W 4-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 20:40
Dec 15, 2022 vs LAK L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 17:59
Dec 13, 2022 vs NYI W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 16:21
Dec 11, 2022 @ VGK W 3-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 19:29
Dec 9, 2022 @ ARI L 3-4 0 0 0 -1 0 4 5 15:57
Dec 7, 2022 @ COL W 4-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 18:28
Dec 5, 2022 vs VGK L 3-4 (SO) 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 18:58
Dec 3, 2022 vs COL W 5-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 18:07
Nov 29, 2022 vs TBL W 3-1 0 1 1 2 0 0 3 18:11
Nov 25, 2022 vs CAR W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 17:49
Nov 23, 2022 @ FLA L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 20:39
Nov 21, 2022 @ TBL W 5-3 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 21:55
Nov 19, 2022 vs CHI W 6-1 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 20:00
Nov 17, 2022 vs PHI W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 18:08
Nov 13, 2022 vs VAN W 5-2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 17:58
Nov 12, 2022 @ BUF W 3-1 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 18:23
Nov 10, 2022 vs CGY W 3-1 0 0 0 1 4 0 4 15:55
Nov 7, 2022 vs STL W 3-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 21:04
Nov 5, 2022 @ TOR L 1-2 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 18:07
Nov 3, 2022 @ NYR W 5-2 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 20:51
Nov 1, 2022 @ PIT W 6-5 (OT) 0 1 1 0 2 4 6 24:36
Oct 28, 2022 @ CBJ W 4-0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 17:28
Oct 27, 2022 vs DET W 5-1 0 0 0 1 2 1 5 22:23
Oct 25, 2022 vs DAL W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 18:29
Oct 15, 2022 vs ARI W 6-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 06:40
Oct 12, 2022 @ WSH W 5-2 0 0 0 1 4 2 6 18:50