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Photo of Nikolas Matinpalo

Nikolas Matinpalo

#33 · Defence · Ottawa Senators

Born Oct 5, 1998 in Espoo, FIN (age 28) · 6'3", 213 lb · Shoots right

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2024-25. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Louis Crevier CHI · 4 P in 32 GP Simon Nemec NJD · 4 P in 27 GP Ryan Graves PIT · 4 P in 61 GP Erik Gudbranson CBJ · 4 P in 16 GP Lucas Carlsson SJS · 4 P in 13 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0123452023-24: 0 points023-242024-25: 4 points424-252025-26: 5 points525-262026-27: 0 points026-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2023-24 OTT 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 0.00 $885K
2024-25 OTT 41 1 3 4 -2 20 43 25 0.10 $775K
2025-26 OTT 50 0 5 5 -1 16 37 49 0.10 $875K
2026-27 OTT 5 0 0 0 2 4 4 4 0.00 $875K
4 seasons Career 100 1 8 9 0 40 86 82 0.09

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2024-25 OTT 6 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 0.00
2025-26 OTT 4 0 0 0 1 2 1 3 0.00
2 seasons Playoffs 10 0 0 0 2 4 4 6 0.00

2024-25 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
41 1 3 4 -2 20 43 25 0.10 2.3 12:37

Contract

$775KCap hitends in 2025, then extended to 2027
$194KCap dollars per point4 points in 41 games
-$468KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$1.2MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 698 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Ottawa Senators on Jun 20, 2024, as an extension of the contract he was on: 1 year and $775K, beginning in 2024-25. It runs through 2024-25, so this is its last season, and his extension takes over. His next contract is already signed: an extension with the Ottawa Senators on May 5, 2025, 2 years and $1.75M at $875K a season, beginning in 2025-26.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2024-25 $775K $775K $0 $775K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
May 5, 2025 Ottawa Senators Extension not begun 2025-26 to 2026-27 2 $1.75M $875K
Jun 20, 2024 Ottawa Senators Extension 2024-25 to 2024-25 1 $775K $775K
May 25, 2023 Ottawa Senators Entry-level 2023-24 to 2023-24 1 $885K $885K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2024-25 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2024-25 playoff analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

+0.8Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
+0.1Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+0.6Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence-0.2Even-strength defence+0.7Power play0.0Penalty kill+0.0Penalties+0.0

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. A playoff run is too short to rank anyone on.

-2-1012023-242024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

49.0Corsi for %75 attempts for, 78 against
-7.7CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
63.4Expected goals for %2.8 expected for, 1.6 against
+17.0xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
46.5Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
60.0Goals for %3 for, 2 against
104.7PDO11.1% shooting + 93.5% saves
11Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Tyler Kleven · Nikolas Matinpalo665:5346.463.83-2
Thomas Chabot · Nikolas Matinpalo57:4154.568.80-0
Jake Sanderson · Nikolas Matinpalo41:5850.00.00-0
Nick Jensen · Nikolas Matinpalo10:26100.0100.00-0

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.1Expected goalsfrom 7 unblocked attempts
-0.1Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.08 expected goals per 60 minutes7th
Shot quality 1.5% chance per attempt3rd
Finishing -0.1 goals above expected43rdOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 60 who played at least a quarter as much as the busiest in these playoffs.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.1Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took in these playoffs, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 17, 2025 vs CAR W 7-5 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 15:36
Apr 15, 2025 vs CHI L 3-4 (OT) 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 13:56
Apr 11, 2025 vs MTL W 5-2 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 14:38
Apr 8, 2025 @ CBJ L 2-5 0 0 0 -3 2 1 0 12:51
Apr 6, 2025 vs CBJ W 4-0 1 0 1 1 0 3 3 14:41
Apr 5, 2025 vs FLA W 3-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 10:44
Apr 3, 2025 vs TBL W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 12:55
Apr 1, 2025 vs BUF L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 11:07
Mar 30, 2025 @ PIT L 0-1 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 13:11
Mar 29, 2025 vs CBJ W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14:35
Mar 27, 2025 @ DET W 4-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 07:44
Mar 22, 2025 @ NJD W 3-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 10:48
Mar 20, 2025 vs COL L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14:34
Mar 18, 2025 @ MTL L 3-6 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 14:45
Mar 15, 2025 @ TOR W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 15:11
Mar 13, 2025 vs BOS W 6-3 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 12:41
Mar 11, 2025 @ PHI W 5-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 14:07
Mar 10, 2025 vs DET W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 13:08
Mar 5, 2025 @ CHI W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 16:20
Mar 3, 2025 @ WSH L 4-5 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11:50
Mar 1, 2025 vs SJS W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 13:30
Feb 26, 2025 vs WPG L 1-4 0 0 0 0 6 1 1 11:13
Feb 22, 2025 vs MTL L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11:01
Feb 8, 2025 @ FLA L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 09:49
Feb 6, 2025 @ TBL L 1-5 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 05:35
Feb 3, 2025 @ NSH W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 12:16
Feb 1, 2025 vs MIN W 6-0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 13:02
Jan 30, 2025 vs WSH W 5-4 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 11:17
Jan 26, 2025 vs UTA W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11:50
Jan 25, 2025 vs TOR W 2-1 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 11:24
Jan 23, 2025 @ BOS L 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 11:24
Jan 21, 2025 @ NYR L 0-5 0 0 0 -2 2 2 0 14:10
Jan 19, 2025 @ NJD W 2-1 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 11:27
Jan 18, 2025 vs BOS W 6-5 (SO) 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 11:32
Jan 16, 2025 vs WSH L 0-1 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 12:18
Jan 14, 2025 @ NYI W 2-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 13:38
Jan 12, 2025 vs DAL W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11:36
Jan 11, 2025 @ PIT W 5-0 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 14:48
Jan 9, 2025 vs BUF L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 15:11
Jan 7, 2025 @ DET L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 14:13
Dec 29, 2024 @ MIN W 3-1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 10:24