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Dan Ellis

#39 · Goalie · Florida Panthers

Born Jun 19, 1980 in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, CAN · 6'1", 195 lb · Catches left · Drafted 60th overall in 2000 by DAL (round 2)

Compare with a similar player

The goalies closest to him in games played in 2013-14. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Jeff Zatkoff PIT · 20 GP, 0.912 Cam Talbot NYR · 21 GP, 0.941 Justin Peters CAR · 21 GP, 0.919 Niklas Backstrom MIN · 21 GP, 0.899 Anders Nilsson NYI · 19 GP, 0.896

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0102030402003-04: 1 games103-042007-08: 44 games4407-082008-09: 35 games3508-092009-10: 31 games3109-102010-11: 44 games4410-112011-12: 10 games1011-122012-13: 19 games1912-132013-14: 20 games2013-142014-15: 8 games814-15

Games played by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP WLOTLSO Shots against Saves Goals against GAA Save % Cap hit
2003-04 DAL 1 1000 28 25 3 3.00 0.893
2007-08 NSH 44 231036 1147 1060 87 2.34 0.924 $500K
2008-09 NSH 35 111943 963 867 96 2.93 0.900 $1.75M
2009-10 NSH 31 151311 848 771 77 2.69 0.909 $1.75M
2010-11 TBL 31 13762 741 659 82 2.93 0.889 $1.5M
2010-11 ANA 13 8310 348 319 29 2.39 0.917
2011-12 ANA 10 1500 214 195 19 2.72 0.911 $1.5M
2012-13 CAR 19 6821 555 503 52 3.13 0.906 $800K
2013-14 DAL 14 5601 349 314 35 3.04 0.900 $900K
2013-14 FLA 6 0500 165 138 27 4.80 0.836
2014-15 FLA 8 4311 221 202 19 2.34 0.914 $900K
9 seasons Career 212 87791815 5579 5053 526 2.79 0.906

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP WLOTLSO Shots against Saves Goals against GAA Save %
2007-08 NSH 6 2400 240 225 15 2.52 0.938
2010-11 ANA 1 0100 24 20 4 5.86 0.833
2 seasons Playoffs 7 2500 264 245 19 2.87 0.928

2013-14 season totals

GP Starts WLOTLSO Shots against Saves Goals against GAA Save %
20 16 51101 514 452 62 3.62 0.879

Contract

$900KCap hitends in 2015, then UFA
-$623KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$1.5MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 51 ranked goalies whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. It runs through 2014-15, with 1 season left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2013-14 $900K
2014-15 $900K

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2013-14 to 2014-15 $900K
2012-13 to 2012-13 $800K
2010-11 to 2011-12 $1.5M
2008-09 to 2009-10 $1.75M
2007-08 to 2007-08 $500K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2013-14 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2013-14 analytics

Rating

-5.8Goals above replacement56th of 61 goalies
-1.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-11.0Goals above averagehis goals saved above expected

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 61 ranked goalies: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. Goals above average is coloured as it is under Shots faced below, where it is taken per 60 minutes.

The goals he saved for his team, compared with a spare-part goalie facing the same shots. A goalie's season is about one-third the goalie and two-thirds chance, so read one year lightly. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-10-505102010-112011-122012-132013-142014-15Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

Shots faced

Expected goals adds up how likely each shot he faced was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. A goalie who lets in fewer than that has saved goals above expected. Only shots taken while he was in net count, and the league's goalies as a whole come out at zero. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones. What these numbers mean

-11.0Goals saved above expectedexpected goals minus goals against
51.0Expected goals againstfrom 742 unblocked attempts
62Goals againstwhile he was in net
0.879Save %0.901 expected from his shots

Goals saved above expected, taken per 60 minutes, and save % are coloured by where they rank among the 63 goalies who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. The two goals against tiles are left plain, since they follow how much he played.

Goals saved -0.64 above expected per 60 minutes1st
Shot difficulty 6.9% chance per attempt faced95thA higher bar means his team gives up more dangerous shots.

Each bar shows the share of goalies he is ahead of, among the 63 who played at least a quarter as much as the busiest this season.

0204060Game 10Game 20Allowed 62Expected 51.0

The goals he was expected to let in and the goals he did, as the season went on. When the allowed line runs below the expected line, he is saving more than his shots were worth.

Where he was shot at

Every unblocked attempt he faced this season, with his net on the right. Darker red means more attempts from that spot, and each dot is a goal. "Show every shot" switches to a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result Decision Shots against Saves Goals against Save % TOI
Apr 8, 2014 vs PHI L 2-5 L 27 22 5 0.815 60:00
Mar 31, 2014 @ NJD L 3-6 L 32 26 6 0.813 60:00
Mar 29, 2014 vs MTL L 1-4 L 18 15 3 0.833 58:50
Mar 27, 2014 vs CAR L 0-3 20 18 2 0.900 39:11
Mar 23, 2014 @ ANA L 2-6 L 40 34 6 0.850 60:00
Mar 13, 2014 @ TBL L 4-5 L 28 23 5 0.821 59:15
Mar 4, 2014 @ CBJ L 2-4 L 20 16 4 0.800 58:04
Feb 1, 2014 @ ANA W 2-0 W, SO 26 26 0 1.000 60:00
Jan 12, 2014 vs NYI L 2-4 L 30 27 3 0.900 59:19
Jan 4, 2014 vs DET L 1-5 L 13 10 3 0.769 20:00
Dec 17, 2013 vs COL W 3-2 W 27 25 2 0.926 59:47
Dec 10, 2013 vs CHI L 2-6 14 12 2 0.857 31:36
Dec 7, 2013 vs PHI W 5-1 W 28 27 1 0.964 60:00
Nov 26, 2013 vs ANA W 6-3 W 31 28 3 0.903 60:00
Nov 23, 2013 @ STL L 1-6 7 6 1 0.857 14:21
Oct 19, 2013 @ LAK L 2-5 L 33 29 4 0.879 58:08
Oct 17, 2013 vs SJS W 4-3 (SO) W 35 32 3 0.914 65:00
Oct 15, 2013 @ COL L 2-3 L 26 23 3 0.885 58:35
Oct 12, 2013 @ MIN L 1-5 L 36 31 5 0.861 59:56
Oct 11, 2013 @ WPG W 4-1 23 22 1 0.957 25:17