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Joe Pavelski

#16 · Centre · Dallas Stars

Born Jul 11, 1984 in Plover, Wisconsin, USA · 6'1", 196 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 205th overall in 2003 by SJS (round 7)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2023-24. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Alex DeBrincat DET · 67 P in 82 GP Brad Marchand BOS · 67 P in 82 GP Dylan Strome WSH · 67 P in 82 GP Evgeni Malkin PIT · 67 P in 82 GP Jordan Kyrou STL · 67 P in 82 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0204060802006-07: 28 points2806-072007-08: 40 points402008-09: 59 points5908-092009-10: 51 points512010-11: 66 points6610-112011-12: 61 points612012-13: 31 points3112-132013-14: 79 points792014-15: 70 points7014-152015-16: 78 points782016-17: 68 points6816-172017-18: 66 points662018-19: 64 points6418-192019-20: 31 points312020-21: 51 points5120-212021-22: 81 points812022-23: 77 points7722-232023-24: 67 points67

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2006-07 SJS 46 14 14 28 4 18 111 33 0.61
2007-08 SJS 82 19 21 40 1 28 207 67 0.49
2008-09 SJS 80 25 34 59 5 46 266 82 0.74 $1.638M
2009-10 SJS 67 25 26 51 1 26 228 58 0.76 $1.638M
2010-11 SJS 74 20 46 66 10 24 282 61 0.89 $4M
2011-12 SJS 82 31 30 61 18 31 269 50 0.74 $4M
2012-13 SJS 48 16 15 31 2 10 130 48 0.65 $4M
2013-14 SJS 82 41 38 79 23 32 225 47 0.96 $4M
2014-15 SJS 82 37 33 70 12 29 261 97 0.85 $6M
2015-16 SJS 82 38 40 78 25 30 224 147 0.95 $6M
2016-17 SJS 81 29 39 68 11 34 233 130 0.84 $6M
2017-18 SJS 82 22 44 66 0 41 224 93 0.80 $6M
2018-19 SJS 75 38 26 64 -4 22 188 69 0.85 $6M
2019-20 DAL 67 14 17 31 6 29 125 62 0.46 $7M
2020-21 DAL 56 25 26 51 22 16 139 64 0.91 $7M
2021-22 DAL 82 27 54 81 11 14 216 104 0.99 $7M
2022-23 DAL 82 28 49 77 42 8 184 93 0.94 $5.5M
2023-24 DAL 82 27 40 67 12 20 194 75 0.82 $3.5M
18 seasons Career 1332 476 592 1068 201 458 3706 1380 0.80

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2006-07 SJS 6 1 0 1 2 0 6 4 0.17
2007-08 SJS 13 5 4 9 3 0 44 19 0.69
2008-09 SJS 6 0 1 1 -3 9 18 11 0.17
2009-10 SJS 15 9 8 17 6 6 65 26 1.13
2010-11 SJS 18 5 5 10 1 10 58 18 0.56
2011-12 SJS 5 0 0 0 -3 5 13 6 0.00
2012-13 SJS 11 4 8 12 0 0 36 8 1.09
2013-14 SJS 7 2 4 6 -3 2 27 16 0.86
2015-16 SJS 24 14 9 23 1 4 74 66 0.96
2016-17 SJS 6 2 2 4 -1 0 16 14 0.67
2017-18 SJS 10 2 6 8 -3 8 30 11 0.80
2018-19 SJS 13 4 5 9 -3 4 26 19 0.69
2019-20 DAL 24 11 6 17 7 30 57 58 0.71
2021-22 DAL 7 3 3 6 2 2 18 14 0.86
2022-23 DAL 14 9 5 14 -1 2 28 6 1.00
2023-24 DAL 19 1 3 4 -5 2 27 34 0.21
16 seasons Playoffs 198 72 69 141 0 84 543 330 0.71

2023-24 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
82 27 40 67 12 20 194 75 0.82 13.9 16:49

Contract

$3.5MCap hitends in 2024
$52KCap dollars per point67 points in 82 games
$292KCap dollars per goal above replacement12.0 goals above replacement
$9.7MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$6.2MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 718 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. It runs through 2023-24, so this is its last season.

Season Cap hit
2023-24 $3.5M

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2023-24 to 2023-24 $3.5M
2022-23 to 2022-23 $5.5M
2020-21 to 2021-22 $7M
2019-20 to 2021-22 $7M
2014-15 to 2018-19 $6M
2012-13 to 2013-14 $4M
2010-11 to 2013-14 $4M
2008-09 to 2009-10 $1.638M

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2023-24 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2023-24 analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

+12.0Goals above replacement56th of 721 skaters, 44th of 469 forwards
+2.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+8.2Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 469 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+1.5 67th percentileEven-strength defence+2.1 85th percentilePower play+2.7 96th percentilePenalty kill+0.1 76th percentilePenalties+1.8 90th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

05101520252010-112012-132014-152016-172018-192020-212022-23Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

52.7Corsi for %1156 attempts for, 1039 against
-0.7CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
54.2Expected goals for %46.7 expected for, 39.4 against
-0.4xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
52.3Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
53.5Goals for %54 for, 47 against
100.6PDO9.9% shooting + 90.7% saves
219Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 616 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Joe Pavelski · Roope Hintz · Jason Robertson75715:4654.957.041-33
Joe Pavelski · Jamie Benn · Sam Steel1292:1849.152.93-4
Joe Pavelski · Jason Robertson · Wyatt Johnston3834:4645.034.20-1
Joe Pavelski · Jamie Benn · Roope Hintz1129:2347.839.82-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

26Goalsnot counting empty-netters
24.4Expected goalsfrom 260 unblocked attempts
+1.6Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 1.06 expected goals per 60 minutes87th
Shot quality 9.4% chance per attempt92nd
Finishing +1.6 goals above expected69thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 438 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

01020Game 20Game 40Game 60Game 80Goals 26Expected 24.4

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. Darker red means more attempts from that spot, and each dot is a goal. "Show every shot" switches to a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 17, 2024 vs STL W 2-1 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 3 1 20:03
Apr 13, 2024 vs SEA W 3-1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 15:26
Apr 11, 2024 vs WPG L 0-3 0 0 0 -1 0 2 3 17:24
Apr 9, 2024 vs BUF W 3-2 1 0 1 2 0 3 2 14:53
Apr 7, 2024 @ COL W 7-4 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 18:21
Apr 6, 2024 @ CHI L 2-3 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 20:57
Apr 3, 2024 vs EDM W 5-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 16:19
Mar 30, 2024 @ SEA W 3-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 17:12
Mar 28, 2024 @ VAN W 3-1 0 2 2 1 0 2 3 16:54
Mar 26, 2024 @ SJS W 6-3 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 16:10
Mar 24, 2024 @ ARI W 4-2 0 0 0 -1 0 2 2 14:40
Mar 22, 2024 vs PIT W 4-2 1 0 1 1 0 3 0 16:17
Mar 20, 2024 vs ARI W 5-2 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 16:10
Mar 16, 2024 vs LAK W 4-1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 14:19
Mar 14, 2024 vs NJD L 2-6 0 0 0 -1 0 2 2 17:21
Mar 12, 2024 vs FLA L 3-4 1 1 2 1 0 3 1 18:09
Mar 9, 2024 @ LAK W 4-1 1 1 2 1 0 3 0 15:46
Mar 8, 2024 @ ANA W 6-2 1 1 2 2 0 2 0 16:25
Mar 5, 2024 @ SJS W 7-6 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 2 3 2 17:44
Mar 2, 2024 vs SJS W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 20:43
Feb 29, 2024 vs WPG W 4-1 1 1 2 3 0 3 4 18:25
Feb 27, 2024 @ COL L 1-5 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 15:24
Feb 26, 2024 vs NYI L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 16:13
Feb 24, 2024 @ CAR W 2-1 0 1 1 1 2 1 0 18:47
Feb 22, 2024 @ OTT L 1-4 1 0 1 0 2 1 1 16:53
Feb 20, 2024 @ NYR L 1-3 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 16:44
Feb 19, 2024 @ BOS L 3-4 (SO) 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 19:27
Feb 17, 2024 vs EDM L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 -2 0 3 1 18:18
Feb 15, 2024 @ NSH W 9-2 0 0 0 -1 0 3 1 16:09
Feb 13, 2024 vs CAR W 4-2 0 2 2 1 0 1 2 16:49
Feb 10, 2024 @ MTL W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 17:32
Feb 7, 2024 @ TOR L 4-5 0 1 1 -1 0 4 2 17:22
Feb 6, 2024 @ BUF W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 14:58
Jan 27, 2024 vs WSH W 5-4 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 18:01
Jan 25, 2024 vs ANA W 4-3 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 9 0 19:23
Jan 23, 2024 @ DET W 5-4 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 15:06
Jan 21, 2024 @ NYI L 2-3 (OT) 0 2 2 1 0 5 0 18:03
Jan 20, 2024 @ NJD W 6-2 1 0 1 0 0 5 1 15:02
Jan 18, 2024 @ PHI L 1-5 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 14:24
Jan 16, 2024 vs LAK W 5-1 1 0 1 1 0 1 2 14:06
Jan 13, 2024 @ CHI W 3-1 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 18:26
Jan 12, 2024 vs NSH L 3-6 0 1 1 -1 0 3 0 18:34
Jan 10, 2024 vs MIN W 7-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 15:42
Jan 8, 2024 @ MIN W 4-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14:39
Jan 6, 2024 vs NSH L 3-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 18:30
Jan 4, 2024 vs COL L 4-5 (OT) 1 0 1 -1 0 5 1 18:26
Jan 2, 2024 vs MTL L 3-4 0 0 0 1 2 4 2 20:13
Dec 31, 2023 vs CHI W 8-1 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 14:28
Dec 29, 2023 vs CHI W 5-4 (OT) 1 1 2 1 2 3 0 19:23
Dec 27, 2023 @ STL L 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 18:24
Dec 23, 2023 @ NSH W 3-2 0 1 1 1 0 4 1 16:02
Dec 21, 2023 vs VAN W 4-3 (OT) 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 16:31
Dec 18, 2023 vs SEA W 4-3 (OT) 0 2 2 1 2 3 1 19:23
Dec 16, 2023 @ STL L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 16:50
Dec 15, 2023 vs OTT W 5-4 1 0 1 -2 0 2 2 16:14
Dec 11, 2023 vs DET W 6-3 1 0 1 0 0 5 0 14:33
Dec 9, 2023 vs VGK L 1-6 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 17:35
Dec 7, 2023 @ WSH W 5-4 (SO) 0 1 1 1 0 2 1 18:19
Dec 6, 2023 @ FLA L 4-5 0 0 0 -1 0 3 1 17:45
Dec 4, 2023 @ TBL L 0-4 0 0 0 -2 0 0 2 14:50
Dec 2, 2023 vs TBL W 8-1 1 2 3 2 2 4 1 11:29
Nov 30, 2023 @ CGY L 3-4 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 0 0 2 15:47
Nov 28, 2023 @ WPG W 2-0 1 0 1 1 0 1 2 15:10
Nov 24, 2023 vs CGY L 4-7 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 17:42
Nov 22, 2023 vs VGK L 1-2 (OT) 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 15:32
Nov 20, 2023 vs NYR W 6-3 1 1 2 2 0 2 0 14:08
Nov 18, 2023 vs COL L 3-6 1 0 1 -1 0 2 1 16:28
Nov 14, 2023 vs ARI W 4-3 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 4 3 15:15
Nov 12, 2023 @ MIN W 8-3 1 0 1 -1 0 4 1 16:07
Nov 11, 2023 @ WPG W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 17:12
Nov 9, 2023 @ CBJ W 5-2 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 15:26
Nov 6, 2023 vs BOS L 2-3 1 0 1 0 0 4 2 19:28
Nov 4, 2023 @ VAN L 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 18:41
Nov 2, 2023 @ EDM W 4-3 1 2 3 0 0 3 1 18:08
Nov 1, 2023 @ CGY W 4-3 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 13:56
Oct 30, 2023 vs CBJ W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 17:50
Oct 26, 2023 vs TOR L 1-4 0 0 0 -2 0 2 0 17:52
Oct 24, 2023 @ PIT W 4-1 0 1 1 0 0 1 4 13:52
Oct 21, 2023 vs PHI W 5-4 (OT) 1 1 2 0 0 4 0 18:20
Oct 19, 2023 @ ANA W 3-2 1 1 2 -1 0 1 0 14:58
Oct 17, 2023 @ VGK L 2-3 (SO) 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 14:34
Oct 12, 2023 vs STL W 2-1 (SO) 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 17:21