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Joe Pavelski

#16 · Centre · Dallas Stars

Born Jul 11, 1984 in Plover, Wisconsin, USA · 6'1", 196 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 205th overall in 2003 by SJS (round 7)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2015-16. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Blake Wheeler WPG · 78 P in 82 GP Johnny Gaudreau CGY · 78 P in 79 GP Evgeny Kuznetsov WSH · 77 P in 82 GP Artemi Panarin CHI · 77 P in 80 GP Joe Thornton SJS · 82 P in 82 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0204060802006-07: 28 points2806-072007-08: 40 points402008-09: 59 points5908-092009-10: 51 points512010-11: 66 points6610-112011-12: 61 points612012-13: 31 points3112-132013-14: 79 points792014-15: 70 points7014-152015-16: 78 points782016-17: 68 points6816-172017-18: 66 points662018-19: 64 points6418-192019-20: 31 points312020-21: 51 points5120-212021-22: 81 points812022-23: 77 points7722-232023-24: 67 points67

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2006-07 SJS 46 14 14 28 4 18 111 33 0.61
2007-08 SJS 82 19 21 40 1 28 207 67 0.49
2008-09 SJS 80 25 34 59 5 46 266 82 0.74 $1.638M
2009-10 SJS 67 25 26 51 1 26 228 58 0.76 $1.638M
2010-11 SJS 74 20 46 66 10 24 282 61 0.89 $4M
2011-12 SJS 82 31 30 61 18 31 269 50 0.74 $4M
2012-13 SJS 48 16 15 31 2 10 130 48 0.65 $4M
2013-14 SJS 82 41 38 79 23 32 225 47 0.96 $4M
2014-15 SJS 82 37 33 70 12 29 261 97 0.85 $6M
2015-16 SJS 82 38 40 78 25 30 224 147 0.95 $6M
2016-17 SJS 81 29 39 68 11 34 233 130 0.84 $6M
2017-18 SJS 82 22 44 66 0 41 224 93 0.80 $6M
2018-19 SJS 75 38 26 64 -4 22 188 69 0.85 $6M
2019-20 DAL 67 14 17 31 6 29 125 62 0.46 $7M
2020-21 DAL 56 25 26 51 22 16 139 64 0.91 $7M
2021-22 DAL 82 27 54 81 11 14 216 104 0.99 $7M
2022-23 DAL 82 28 49 77 42 8 184 93 0.94 $5.5M
2023-24 DAL 82 27 40 67 12 20 194 75 0.82 $3.5M
18 seasons Career 1332 476 592 1068 201 458 3706 1380 0.80

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2006-07 SJS 6 1 0 1 2 0 6 4 0.17
2007-08 SJS 13 5 4 9 3 0 44 19 0.69
2008-09 SJS 6 0 1 1 -3 9 18 11 0.17
2009-10 SJS 15 9 8 17 6 6 65 26 1.13
2010-11 SJS 18 5 5 10 1 10 58 18 0.56
2011-12 SJS 5 0 0 0 -3 5 13 6 0.00
2012-13 SJS 11 4 8 12 0 0 36 8 1.09
2013-14 SJS 7 2 4 6 -3 2 27 16 0.86
2015-16 SJS 24 14 9 23 1 4 74 66 0.96
2016-17 SJS 6 2 2 4 -1 0 16 14 0.67
2017-18 SJS 10 2 6 8 -3 8 30 11 0.80
2018-19 SJS 13 4 5 9 -3 4 26 19 0.69
2019-20 DAL 24 11 6 17 7 30 57 58 0.71
2021-22 DAL 7 3 3 6 2 2 18 14 0.86
2022-23 DAL 14 9 5 14 -1 2 28 6 1.00
2023-24 DAL 19 1 3 4 -5 2 27 34 0.21
16 seasons Playoffs 198 72 69 141 0 84 543 330 0.71

2015-16 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
82 38 40 78 25 30 224 147 0.95 17.0 19:49

Contract

$6MCap hit2015-16
$77KCap dollars per point78 points in 82 games
$382KCap dollars per goal above replacement15.7 goals above replacement
$10.5MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$4.5MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 668 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. When it ends is not known.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2023-24 to 2023-24 $3.5M
2022-23 to 2022-23 $5.5M
2020-21 to 2021-22 $7M
2019-20 to 2021-22 $7M
2014-15 to 2018-19 $6M
2012-13 to 2013-14 $4M
2010-11 to 2013-14 $4M
2008-09 to 2009-10 $1.638M

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2015-16 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2015-16 analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

+15.7Goals above replacement6th of 675 skaters, 5th of 445 forwards
+2.6Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+11.2Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 445 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+5.0 93rd percentileEven-strength defence+3.0 95th percentilePower play+2.7 99th percentilePenalty kill-0.1 20th percentilePenalties+0.7 65th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

05101520252010-112012-132014-152016-172018-192020-212022-23Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

55.3Corsi for %1227 attempts for, 991 against
+5.3CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
58.6Expected goals for %52.2 expected for, 36.8 against
+4.3xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
56.7Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
67.7Goals for %65 for, 31 against
103.7PDO10.1% shooting + 93.6% saves
259Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 561 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Joe Thornton · Joe Pavelski · Tomas Hertl46516:1456.559.434-13
Joe Thornton · Joe Pavelski · Melker Karlsson22193:3952.056.97-3
Joe Thornton · Joe Pavelski · Joonas Donskoi17117:3961.267.08-4
Dainius Zubrus · Joe Thornton · Joe Pavelski1475:5962.264.74-2

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

34Goalsnot counting empty-netters
26.3Expected goalsfrom 311 unblocked attempts
+7.7Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.97 expected goals per 60 minutes90th
Shot quality 8.5% chance per attempt80th
Finishing +7.7 goals above expected94thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 412 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

0102030Game 20Game 40Game 60Game 80Goals 34Expected 26.3

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. Darker red means more attempts from that spot, and each dot is a goal. "Show every shot" switches to a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 9, 2016 vs ARI W 1-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 17:19
Apr 7, 2016 vs WPG L 4-5 1 0 1 -1 0 3 2 20:37
Apr 5, 2016 @ MIN W 3-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 15:34
Apr 2, 2016 @ NSH W 3-2 (SO) 0 1 1 1 0 3 2 20:18
Mar 31, 2016 vs VAN L 2-4 0 0 0 -2 2 3 2 17:30
Mar 29, 2016 @ VAN W 4-1 1 1 2 0 0 2 0 18:23
Mar 28, 2016 vs LAK W 5-2 0 2 2 1 0 3 4 19:09
Mar 26, 2016 vs DAL L 2-4 0 1 1 0 2 5 4 23:19
Mar 24, 2016 vs EDM L 3-6 1 0 1 -1 0 5 2 21:22
Mar 22, 2016 vs STL L 0-1 0 0 0 -1 0 4 2 19:32
Mar 20, 2016 vs ARI W 3-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 2 16:23
Mar 19, 2016 vs NYR W 4-1 1 1 2 2 0 3 2 15:37
Mar 17, 2016 @ ARI L 1-3 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 19:04
Mar 15, 2016 vs BOS W 3-2 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 19:15
Mar 12, 2016 vs WSH W 5-2 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 18:50
Mar 10, 2016 vs NJD L 0-3 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 20:09
Mar 8, 2016 @ EDM W 3-0 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 16:34
Mar 7, 2016 @ CGY W 2-1 (OT) 1 0 1 1 0 3 1 16:29
Mar 5, 2016 vs VAN L 2-4 0 0 0 0 2 4 3 18:30
Mar 3, 2016 @ VAN W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 20:01
Feb 29, 2016 vs MTL W 6-2 2 1 3 3 0 6 0 16:13
Feb 28, 2016 @ VAN W 4-1 1 1 2 2 0 7 0 18:16
Feb 26, 2016 vs BUF L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 18:43
Feb 24, 2016 @ COL L 3-4 (SO) 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 21:21
Feb 22, 2016 @ STL W 6-3 0 1 1 3 0 2 1 19:20
Feb 19, 2016 @ CAR L 2-5 0 0 0 -3 0 0 1 19:05
Feb 18, 2016 @ FLA W 2-1 (SO) 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 23:35
Feb 16, 2016 @ TBL W 4-2 1 0 1 1 0 4 1 17:58
Feb 13, 2016 vs ARI W 4-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 20:41
Feb 11, 2016 vs CGY L 5-6 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 4 0 23:58
Feb 9, 2016 @ CHI W 2-0 0 1 1 1 0 3 4 17:15
Feb 6, 2016 @ NSH L 2-6 0 0 0 -2 0 2 1 17:42
Feb 4, 2016 @ STL W 3-1 0 2 2 2 0 5 2 20:06
Feb 2, 2016 @ ANA L 2-3 0 0 0 -1 0 4 4 19:51
Jan 26, 2016 vs COL W 6-1 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 15:26
Jan 24, 2016 vs LAK L 2-3 (OT) 1 0 1 1 0 4 5 21:56
Jan 23, 2016 vs MIN W 4-3 1 2 3 2 0 3 2 20:31
Jan 21, 2016 @ ARI W 3-1 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 19:47
Jan 18, 2016 vs OTT L 3-4 (SO) 0 0 0 1 0 3 4 22:03
Jan 16, 2016 vs DAL W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 21:22
Jan 14, 2016 vs EDM W 2-1 (SO) 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 22:32
Jan 12, 2016 @ WPG W 4-1 1 1 2 1 0 2 1 22:30
Jan 11, 2016 @ CGY W 5-4 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 20:25
Jan 9, 2016 vs TOR W 7-0 1 1 2 4 0 1 1 16:27
Jan 7, 2016 vs DET L 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 19:30
Jan 2, 2016 vs WPG L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 2 2 0 20:02
Dec 30, 2015 vs PHI W 4-2 2 0 2 0 0 4 2 21:41
Dec 28, 2015 vs COL L 3-6 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 18:31
Dec 22, 2015 @ LAK W 5-3 2 1 3 1 0 4 2 20:03
Dec 20, 2015 @ CHI L 3-4 (OT) 1 0 1 -1 0 3 11 23:45
Dec 18, 2015 @ OTT L 2-4 0 1 1 -1 0 3 2 19:40
Dec 17, 2015 @ TOR W 5-4 (OT) 1 2 3 1 0 2 1 21:02
Dec 15, 2015 @ MTL W 3-1 1 1 2 2 0 4 4 16:34
Dec 12, 2015 vs MIN L 0-2 0 0 0 -1 0 2 4 20:43
Dec 9, 2015 @ EDM L 3-4 (OT) 1 0 1 -2 0 1 2 22:56
Dec 8, 2015 @ CGY L 2-4 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 18:19
Dec 5, 2015 vs TBL L 3-4 0 1 1 0 2 2 4 22:35
Dec 4, 2015 @ ANA L 0-1 0 0 0 -1 2 3 3 21:25
Dec 1, 2015 vs PIT L 1-5 0 1 1 -3 2 3 2 17:34
Nov 28, 2015 vs CGY W 5-2 0 2 2 0 0 2 2 17:10
Nov 25, 2015 vs CHI L 2-5 0 1 1 -1 0 4 1 24:01
Nov 22, 2015 @ CBJ W 5-3 2 0 2 2 0 3 0 18:33
Nov 21, 2015 @ PIT W 3-1 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 22:20
Nov 19, 2015 @ PHI W 1-0 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 22:36
Nov 17, 2015 @ BOS W 5-4 1 2 3 2 0 3 0 22:05
Nov 14, 2015 @ BUF W 2-1 (OT) 0 1 1 0 2 1 1 20:20
Nov 13, 2015 @ DET W 3-2 1 0 1 1 0 1 2 19:19
Nov 10, 2015 vs NYI L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 2 6 21:48
Nov 7, 2015 vs ANA L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 6 5 22:39
Nov 5, 2015 vs FLA W 5-2 0 1 1 4 0 4 2 19:57
Nov 3, 2015 vs CBJ L 2-5 2 0 2 -1 0 8 0 23:28
Nov 1, 2015 @ COL W 4-3 1 0 1 2 0 4 1 19:59
Oct 31, 2015 @ DAL L 3-5 1 0 1 -1 0 3 0 22:12
Oct 28, 2015 vs NSH L 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 20:47
Oct 24, 2015 vs CAR W 5-2 1 0 1 2 0 1 2 17:55
Oct 22, 2015 vs LAK L 1-4 0 1 1 0 0 5 2 20:34
Oct 19, 2015 @ NYR L 0-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 18:16
Oct 17, 2015 @ NYI L 3-6 1 0 1 -2 0 3 1 19:56
Oct 16, 2015 @ NJD W 2-1 (SO) 0 0 0 0 2 4 1 20:57
Oct 13, 2015 @ WSH W 5-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 17:49
Oct 10, 2015 vs ANA W 2-0 0 0 0 1 2 2 4 18:36
Oct 7, 2015 @ LAK W 5-1 1 2 3 3 0 7 0 18:19