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Justin Falk

#42 · Defence · Ottawa Senators

Born Oct 11, 1988 in Snowflake, Manitoba, CAN · 6'5", 223 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 110th overall in 2007 by MIN (round 4)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2018-19. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Eric Gryba NJD · 0 P in 10 GP Joe Hicketts DET · 0 P in 11 GP Marc Methot DAL · 0 P in 9 GP Guillaume Brisebois VAN · 0 P in 8 GP Dylan McIlrath DET · 0 P in 7 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

024682009-10: 0 points009-102010-11: 3 points310-112011-12: 9 points911-122012-13: 3 points312-132013-14: 2 points213-142014-15: 2 points214-152015-16: 4 points415-162016-17: 8 points816-172017-18: 2 points217-182018-19: 0 points018-19

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2009-10 MIN 3 0 0 0 -2 0 1 4 0.00
2010-11 MIN 22 0 3 3 -4 6 7 22 0.14
2011-12 MIN 47 1 8 9 -13 54 46 78 0.19 $605K
2012-13 MIN 36 0 3 3 -9 40 27 53 0.08 $825K
2013-14 NYR 21 0 2 2 -5 20 10 39 0.10 $975K
2014-15 MIN 13 0 0 0 -6 7 10 6 0.00 $700K
2014-15 CBJ 5 1 1 2 -3 7 8 6 0.40
2015-16 CBJ 24 0 4 4 2 17 16 37 0.17 $600K
2016-17 BUF 52 0 8 8 -3 29 33 101 0.15 $650K
2017-18 BUF 46 1 1 2 -16 28 36 121 0.04 $650K
2018-19 OTT 10 0 0 0 -4 11 7 36 0.00 $650K
10 seasons Career 279 3 30 33 -63 219 201 503 0.12

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2012-13 MIN 4 0 0 0 -3 2 0 7 0.00
1 season Playoffs 4 0 0 0 -3 2 0 7 0.00

2018-19 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
10 0 0 0 -4 11 7 36 0.00 0.0 12:56

Contract

$650KCap hitends in 2019, then UFA

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. It runs through 2018-19, so this is its last season, after which he is an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2018-19 $650K

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2018-19 to 2018-19 $650K
2016-17 to 2017-18 $650K
2015-16 to 2015-16 $600K
2014-15 to 2014-15 $700K
2013-14 to 2013-14 $975K
2012-13 to 2012-13 $825K
2011-12 to 2011-12 $605K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2018-19 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2018-19 analytics

Rating

-0.8Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
-0.1Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-1.3Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence-0.9Even-strength defence-0.1Power play0.0Penalty kill0.0Penalties-0.3

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. He has played fewer than 20 games, too few to be ranked. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-4-20242010-112012-132014-152016-172018-19Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

38.8Corsi for %78 attempts for, 123 against
-3.0CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
36.8Expected goals for %3.0 expected for, 5.1 against
-9.3xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
37.0Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
25.0Goals for %2 for, 6 against
95.5PDO4.5% shooting + 90.9% saves
15Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Justin Falk · Christian Jaros529:2134.524.80-1
Justin Falk · Cody Ceci725:3051.147.10-2
Justin Falk · Ben Harpur722:2333.344.62-2
Justin Falk · Erik Burgdoerfer320:1243.526.80-0

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.3Expected goalsfrom 11 unblocked attempts
-0.3Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.15 expected goals per 60 minutes23rd
Shot quality 2.9% chance per attempt44th
Finishing -0.3 goals above expected49thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 244 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.3Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Dec 22, 2018 vs WSH L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 06:55
Dec 17, 2018 vs NSH W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 1 4 0 1 12:16
Dec 15, 2018 @ MTL L 2-5 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 13:59
Dec 14, 2018 @ DET W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 14:19
Dec 11, 2018 @ NSH L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 2 4 13:52
Dec 9, 2018 vs BOS L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 15:04
Dec 8, 2018 vs PIT W 2-1 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 4 10:41
Dec 6, 2018 vs MTL L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 15:45
Dec 4, 2018 @ MTL L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 13:53
Dec 1, 2018 vs SJS W 6-2 0 0 0 -1 5 1 6 12:31