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Justin Falk

#42 · Defence · Ottawa Senators

Born Oct 11, 1988 in Snowflake, Manitoba, CAN · 6'5", 223 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 110th overall in 2007 by MIN (round 4)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2013-14. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Alexander Urbom WSH · 2 P in 20 GP Jarred Tinordi MTL · 2 P in 22 GP Tyson Strachan WSH · 2 P in 18 GP Alexander Sulzer BUF · 2 P in 25 GP Nathan Beaulieu MTL · 2 P in 17 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

024682009-10: 0 points009-102010-11: 3 points310-112011-12: 9 points911-122012-13: 3 points312-132013-14: 2 points213-142014-15: 2 points214-152015-16: 4 points415-162016-17: 8 points816-172017-18: 2 points217-182018-19: 0 points018-19

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2009-10 MIN 3 0 0 0 -2 0 1 4 0.00
2010-11 MIN 22 0 3 3 -4 6 7 22 0.14
2011-12 MIN 47 1 8 9 -13 54 46 78 0.19 $605K
2012-13 MIN 36 0 3 3 -9 40 27 53 0.08 $825K
2013-14 NYR 21 0 2 2 -5 20 10 39 0.10 $975K
2014-15 MIN 13 0 0 0 -6 7 10 6 0.00 $700K
2014-15 CBJ 5 1 1 2 -3 7 8 6 0.40
2015-16 CBJ 24 0 4 4 2 17 16 37 0.17 $600K
2016-17 BUF 52 0 8 8 -3 29 33 101 0.15 $650K
2017-18 BUF 46 1 1 2 -16 28 36 121 0.04 $650K
2018-19 OTT 10 0 0 0 -4 11 7 36 0.00 $650K
10 seasons Career 279 3 30 33 -63 219 201 503 0.12

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2012-13 MIN 4 0 0 0 -3 2 0 7 0.00
1 season Playoffs 4 0 0 0 -3 2 0 7 0.00

2013-14 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
21 0 2 2 -5 20 10 39 0.10 0.0 11:56

Contract

$975KCap hitends in 2014, then UFA
$488KCap dollars per point2 points in 21 games
-$329KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$1.3MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 641 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. It runs through 2013-14, so this is its last season, after which he is an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2013-14 $975K

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2018-19 to 2018-19 $650K
2016-17 to 2017-18 $650K
2015-16 to 2015-16 $600K
2014-15 to 2014-15 $700K
2013-14 to 2013-14 $975K
2012-13 to 2012-13 $825K
2011-12 to 2011-12 $605K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2013-14 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2013-14 analytics

Rating

-1.5Goals above replacement593rd of 672 skaters, 205th of 234 defencemen
-0.3Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-2.3Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 234 ranked defencemen: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-1.6 35th percentileEven-strength defence-0.3 47th percentilePower play0.0 78th percentilePenalty kill+0.2 72nd percentilePenalties-0.6 50th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among defencemen. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-4-20242010-112012-132014-152016-172018-19Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

45.0Corsi for %187 attempts for, 229 against
-8.0CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
39.8Expected goals for %6.0 expected for, 9.0 against
-12.3xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
43.3Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
25.0Goals for %3 for, 9 against
95.6PDO3.3% shooting + 92.4% saves
24Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Justin Falk · John Moore16121:5243.341.12-4
Justin Falk · Michael Del Zotto1156:2739.832.10-1
Anton Stralman · Justin Falk1111:4042.930.30-2
Justin Falk · Ryan McDonagh1010:2645.538.41-1

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.3Expected goalsfrom 15 unblocked attempts
-0.3Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.07 expected goals per 60 minutes2nd
Shot quality 1.9% chance per attempt1st
Finishing -0.3 goals above expected46thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 232 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Game 20Expected 0.3Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 12, 2014 @ MTL L 0-1 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 10:36
Dec 29, 2013 @ TBL W 4-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 08:45
Dec 27, 2013 @ WSH L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11:59
Dec 23, 2013 vs TOR W 2-1 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 13:16
Dec 22, 2013 vs MIN W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 14:03
Dec 20, 2013 vs NYI L 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 12:44
Dec 18, 2013 vs PIT L 3-4 (SO) 0 1 1 0 2 0 1 12:56
Dec 15, 2013 vs CGY W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 09:35
Dec 10, 2013 vs NSH L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 09:18
Dec 8, 2013 vs WSH L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 13:55
Dec 7, 2013 vs NJD L 3-4 (OT) 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 13:47
Dec 2, 2013 vs WPG L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 5 0 1 11:36
Nov 30, 2013 vs VAN W 5-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 17:43
Nov 29, 2013 @ BOS L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 13:34
Nov 27, 2013 @ FLA W 5-2 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 12:04
Nov 19, 2013 vs BOS L 1-2 0 0 0 -1 0 0 4 10:18
Nov 17, 2013 vs LAK L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 13:08
Nov 16, 2013 @ MTL W 1-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 12:11
Oct 19, 2013 @ NJD L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 2 0 4 14:53
Oct 16, 2013 @ WSH W 2-0 0 0 0 0 5 1 3 08:57
Oct 12, 2013 @ STL L 3-5 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 05:16