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Justin Falk

#42 · Defence · Ottawa Senators

Born Oct 11, 1988 in Snowflake, Manitoba, CAN · 6'5", 223 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 110th overall in 2007 by MIN (round 4)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2015-16. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Adam Pardy EDM · 4 P in 23 GP Christian Folin MIN · 4 P in 26 GP Viktor Svedberg CHI · 4 P in 27 GP Connor Carrick TOR · 4 P in 19 GP Matt Tennyson SJS · 4 P in 30 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

024682009-10: 0 points009-102010-11: 3 points310-112011-12: 9 points911-122012-13: 3 points312-132013-14: 2 points213-142014-15: 2 points214-152015-16: 4 points415-162016-17: 8 points816-172017-18: 2 points217-182018-19: 0 points018-19

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2009-10 MIN 3 0 0 0 -2 0 1 4 0.00
2010-11 MIN 22 0 3 3 -4 6 7 22 0.14
2011-12 MIN 47 1 8 9 -13 54 46 78 0.19 $605K
2012-13 MIN 36 0 3 3 -9 40 27 53 0.08 $825K
2013-14 NYR 21 0 2 2 -5 20 10 39 0.10 $975K
2014-15 MIN 13 0 0 0 -6 7 10 6 0.00 $700K
2014-15 CBJ 5 1 1 2 -3 7 8 6 0.40
2015-16 CBJ 24 0 4 4 2 17 16 37 0.17 $600K
2016-17 BUF 52 0 8 8 -3 29 33 101 0.15 $650K
2017-18 BUF 46 1 1 2 -16 28 36 121 0.04 $650K
2018-19 OTT 10 0 0 0 -4 11 7 36 0.00 $650K
10 seasons Career 279 3 30 33 -63 219 201 503 0.12

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2012-13 MIN 4 0 0 0 -3 2 0 7 0.00
1 season Playoffs 4 0 0 0 -3 2 0 7 0.00

2015-16 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
24 0 4 4 2 17 16 37 0.17 0.0 14:14

Contract

$600KCap hitends in 2016, then UFA
$150KCap dollars per point4 points in 24 games
$500KCap dollars per goal above replacement1.2 goals above replacement
$1.3MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$722KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 668 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. It runs through 2015-16, so this is its last season, after which he is an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2015-16 $600K

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2018-19 to 2018-19 $650K
2016-17 to 2017-18 $650K
2015-16 to 2015-16 $600K
2014-15 to 2014-15 $700K
2013-14 to 2013-14 $975K
2012-13 to 2012-13 $825K
2011-12 to 2011-12 $605K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2015-16 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2015-16 analytics

Rating

+1.2Goals above replacement424th of 675 skaters, 133rd of 230 defencemen
+0.2Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+0.1Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 230 ranked defencemen: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+0.4 68th percentileEven-strength defence-0.8 36th percentilePower play0.0 73rd percentilePenalty kill+0.2 65th percentilePenalties+0.4 86th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among defencemen. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-4-20242010-112012-132014-152016-172018-19Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

45.7Corsi for %285 attempts for, 338 against
-2.3CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
51.1Expected goals for %14.4 expected for, 13.7 against
+0.3xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
48.5Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
51.7Goals for %15 for, 14 against
101.3PDO9.8% shooting + 91.5% saves
43Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Andrew Bodnarchuk · Justin Falk887:0842.450.42-4
Justin Falk · Dalton Prout1279:2244.450.72-4
Jack Johnson · Justin Falk651:4847.460.03-2
Fedor Tyutin · Justin Falk425:0660.051.60-0

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.5Expected goalsfrom 25 unblocked attempts
-0.5Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.09 expected goals per 60 minutes10th
Shot quality 2.0% chance per attempt3rd
Finishing -0.5 goals above expected41stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 230 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Game 20Expected 0.5Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 9, 2016 vs CHI W 5-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 20:06
Apr 8, 2016 @ BUF W 4-1 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 15:21
Apr 6, 2016 @ TOR W 5-1 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 18:02
Mar 17, 2016 vs DET L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 11:29
Feb 2, 2016 @ EDM L 1-5 0 0 0 -2 2 0 2 14:24
Jan 26, 2016 @ MTL W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 14:58
Jan 25, 2016 vs MTL W 5-2 0 1 1 2 0 2 1 18:31
Jan 23, 2016 @ BOS L 2-3 (SO) 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 14:47
Jan 19, 2016 vs WSH L 3-6 0 0 0 -2 11 0 0 11:40
Jan 16, 2016 vs COL W 2-1 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 12:16
Jan 13, 2016 @ TOR W 3-1 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 16:38
Jan 12, 2016 @ NYI L 2-5 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 13:40
Jan 9, 2016 vs CAR L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 14:03
Jan 2, 2016 vs WSH W 5-4 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 13:15
Dec 29, 2015 vs DAL W 6-3 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 11:01
Dec 27, 2015 @ FLA L 2-3 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 12:04
Dec 26, 2015 @ TBL L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 13:40
Dec 21, 2015 @ PIT L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 11:02
Dec 19, 2015 vs PHI W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 14:44
Dec 17, 2015 @ ARI W 7-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 18:17
Dec 4, 2015 vs FLA L 1-2 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 11:17
Dec 1, 2015 @ MTL L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 14:37
Nov 28, 2015 @ STL L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 12:06
Nov 27, 2015 vs PIT W 2-1 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 13:27