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Justin Falk

#42 · Defence · Ottawa Senators

Born Oct 11, 1988 in Snowflake, Manitoba, CAN · 6'5", 223 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 110th overall in 2007 by MIN (round 4)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2016-17. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Christian Folin MIN · 8 P in 51 GP Michal Kempny CHI · 8 P in 50 GP Alexey Marchenko TOR · 8 P in 41 GP Connor Carrick TOR · 8 P in 67 GP Yannick Weber NSH · 8 P in 73 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

024682009-10: 0 points009-102010-11: 3 points310-112011-12: 9 points911-122012-13: 3 points312-132013-14: 2 points213-142014-15: 2 points214-152015-16: 4 points415-162016-17: 8 points816-172017-18: 2 points217-182018-19: 0 points018-19

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2009-10 MIN 3 0 0 0 -2 0 1 4 0.00
2010-11 MIN 22 0 3 3 -4 6 7 22 0.14
2011-12 MIN 47 1 8 9 -13 54 46 78 0.19 $605K
2012-13 MIN 36 0 3 3 -9 40 27 53 0.08 $825K
2013-14 NYR 21 0 2 2 -5 20 10 39 0.10 $975K
2014-15 MIN 13 0 0 0 -6 7 10 6 0.00 $700K
2014-15 CBJ 5 1 1 2 -3 7 8 6 0.40
2015-16 CBJ 24 0 4 4 2 17 16 37 0.17 $600K
2016-17 BUF 52 0 8 8 -3 29 33 101 0.15 $650K
2017-18 BUF 46 1 1 2 -16 28 36 121 0.04 $650K
2018-19 OTT 10 0 0 0 -4 11 7 36 0.00 $650K
10 seasons Career 279 3 30 33 -63 219 201 503 0.12

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2012-13 MIN 4 0 0 0 -3 2 0 7 0.00
1 season Playoffs 4 0 0 0 -3 2 0 7 0.00

2016-17 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
52 0 8 8 -3 29 33 101 0.15 0.0 13:42

Contract

$650KCap hit2016-17
$81KCap dollars per point8 points in 52 games
$500KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$150KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 664 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. When it ends is not known.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2018-19 to 2018-19 $650K
2016-17 to 2017-18 $650K
2015-16 to 2015-16 $600K
2014-15 to 2014-15 $700K
2013-14 to 2013-14 $975K
2012-13 to 2012-13 $825K
2011-12 to 2011-12 $605K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2016-17 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2016-17 analytics

Rating

-0.1Goals above replacement498th of 664 skaters, 158th of 229 defencemen
0.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-2.5Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 229 ranked defencemen: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-1.0 41st percentileEven-strength defence+0.6 67th percentilePower play+0.0 79th percentilePenalty kill-0.4 17th percentilePenalties-1.7 14th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among defencemen. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-4-20242010-112012-132014-152016-172018-19Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

50.8Corsi for %600 attempts for, 582 against
+5.3CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
50.5Expected goals for %24.1 expected for, 23.6 against
+3.1xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
50.8Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
47.5Goals for %19 for, 21 against
99.2PDO5.6% shooting + 93.6% saves
86Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 565 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Justin Falk · Taylor Fedun23209:2853.647.68-5
Justin Falk · Zach Bogosian22133:2546.443.42-8
Josh Gorges · Justin Falk14112:3055.260.54-1
Cody Franson · Justin Falk2577:3855.159.42-1

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
1.3Expected goalsfrom 58 unblocked attempts
-1.3Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.11 expected goals per 60 minutes10th
Shot quality 2.2% chance per attempt9th
Finishing -1.3 goals above expected24thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 229 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.51Game 20Game 40Expected 1.3Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 8, 2017 @ FLA L 0-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 15:33
Apr 5, 2017 vs MTL W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 15:07
Apr 2, 2017 vs NYI L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 12:58
Mar 28, 2017 @ CBJ L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 2 1 14:51
Mar 27, 2017 vs FLA W 4-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 13:52
Mar 25, 2017 vs TOR W 5-2 0 1 1 1 0 1 5 15:05
Mar 14, 2017 @ SJS L 1-4 0 0 0 0 2 0 5 17:43
Mar 11, 2017 vs CBJ W 5-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 15:13
Mar 10, 2017 @ CBJ L 3-4 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 15:56
Mar 7, 2017 vs PHI L 3-6 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 18:34
Mar 5, 2017 @ PIT L 3-4 0 0 0 -1 2 0 4 11:54
Feb 16, 2017 vs COL W 2-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 14:31
Feb 14, 2017 @ OTT W 3-2 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 15:24
Feb 12, 2017 vs VAN L 2-4 0 0 0 -2 2 0 1 11:42
Feb 11, 2017 @ TOR W 3-1 0 1 1 1 0 1 4 14:35
Feb 9, 2017 vs ANA L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 13:53
Feb 6, 2017 @ NJD L 1-2 0 1 1 1 2 1 2 13:58
Feb 4, 2017 vs OTT W 4-0 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 13:51
Feb 2, 2017 vs NYR L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 16:10
Jan 31, 2017 @ MTL L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 14:48
Jan 26, 2017 @ DAL L 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 10:17
Jan 24, 2017 @ NSH W 5-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 09:38
Jan 21, 2017 @ MTL W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 2 0 1 12:47
Jan 20, 2017 vs DET W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 2 1 0 18:23
Jan 17, 2017 @ TOR L 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 13:04
Jan 16, 2017 vs DAL W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 14:02
Jan 13, 2017 @ CAR L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 16:46
Jan 12, 2017 @ TBL L 2-4 0 1 1 2 0 0 3 13:26
Jan 10, 2017 vs PHI W 4-1 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 11:21
Jan 7, 2017 vs WPG W 4-3 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 14:22
Jan 3, 2017 @ NYR W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11:36
Dec 31, 2016 @ BOS L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 0 6 16:18
Dec 29, 2016 vs BOS L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 08:26
Dec 27, 2016 @ DET W 4-3 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 11:07
Dec 23, 2016 @ NYI L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 15:31
Dec 22, 2016 vs CAR L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 12:31
Dec 16, 2016 vs NYI W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 12:01
Dec 13, 2016 vs LAK W 6-3 0 1 1 1 5 0 3 12:51
Dec 9, 2016 vs WSH L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 10:22
Dec 6, 2016 vs EDM W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 15:14
Dec 5, 2016 @ WSH L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 2 4 12:46
Dec 3, 2016 vs BOS L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 13:32
Dec 1, 2016 vs NYR W 4-3 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 12:26
Nov 29, 2016 @ OTT W 5-4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 14:39
Nov 25, 2016 @ WSH L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 11:44
Nov 23, 2016 vs DET L 1-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 13:25
Nov 21, 2016 vs CGY W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 14:17
Nov 19, 2016 vs PIT W 2-1 (SO) 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 09:56
Nov 17, 2016 vs TBL L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 10:51
Nov 15, 2016 @ STL L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 15:52
Nov 12, 2016 @ NJD L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 14:45
Nov 11, 2016 vs NJD L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 12:24