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Justin Falk

#42 · Defence · Ottawa Senators

Born Oct 11, 1988 in Snowflake, Manitoba, CAN · 6'5", 223 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 110th overall in 2007 by MIN (round 4)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2017-18. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Josh Gorges BUF · 2 P in 34 GP Tucker Poolman WPG · 2 P in 24 GP Eric Gryba EDM · 2 P in 21 GP Duncan Siemens COL · 2 P in 16 GP Gabriel Carlsson CBJ · 2 P in 14 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

024682009-10: 0 points009-102010-11: 3 points310-112011-12: 9 points911-122012-13: 3 points312-132013-14: 2 points213-142014-15: 2 points214-152015-16: 4 points415-162016-17: 8 points816-172017-18: 2 points217-182018-19: 0 points018-19

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2009-10 MIN 3 0 0 0 -2 0 1 4 0.00
2010-11 MIN 22 0 3 3 -4 6 7 22 0.14
2011-12 MIN 47 1 8 9 -13 54 46 78 0.19 $605K
2012-13 MIN 36 0 3 3 -9 40 27 53 0.08 $825K
2013-14 NYR 21 0 2 2 -5 20 10 39 0.10 $975K
2014-15 MIN 13 0 0 0 -6 7 10 6 0.00 $700K
2014-15 CBJ 5 1 1 2 -3 7 8 6 0.40
2015-16 CBJ 24 0 4 4 2 17 16 37 0.17 $600K
2016-17 BUF 52 0 8 8 -3 29 33 101 0.15 $650K
2017-18 BUF 46 1 1 2 -16 28 36 121 0.04 $650K
2018-19 OTT 10 0 0 0 -4 11 7 36 0.00 $650K
10 seasons Career 279 3 30 33 -63 219 201 503 0.12

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2012-13 MIN 4 0 0 0 -3 2 0 7 0.00
1 season Playoffs 4 0 0 0 -3 2 0 7 0.00

2017-18 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
46 1 1 2 -16 28 36 121 0.04 2.8 16:05

Contract

$650KCap hit2017-18
$325KCap dollars per point2 points in 46 games
-$215KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$865KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 691 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. When it ends is not known.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2018-19 to 2018-19 $650K
2016-17 to 2017-18 $650K
2015-16 to 2015-16 $600K
2014-15 to 2014-15 $700K
2013-14 to 2013-14 $975K
2012-13 to 2012-13 $825K
2011-12 to 2011-12 $605K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2017-18 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2017-18 analytics

Rating

-1.3Goals above replacement611th of 691 skaters, 202nd of 240 defencemen
-0.2Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-3.8Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 240 ranked defencemen: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-3.1 9th percentileEven-strength defence-1.0 34th percentilePower play0.0 74th percentilePenalty kill+0.4 81st percentilePenalties-0.1 74th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among defencemen. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-4-20242010-112012-132014-152016-172018-19Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

42.4Corsi for %486 attempts for, 659 against
-5.8CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
42.6Expected goals for %19.3 expected for, 26.0 against
-4.2xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
42.9Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
31.1Goals for %14 for, 31 against
96.5PDO5.1% shooting + 91.4% saves
58Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 600 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Justin Falk · Nathan Beaulieu26164:3942.638.14-9
Justin Falk · Marco Scandella25143:3044.550.34-8
Justin Falk · Victor Antipin1876:4642.239.21-2
Justin Falk · Casey Nelson1974:2248.646.60-0

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

1Goalsnot counting empty-netters
1.1Expected goalsfrom 45 unblocked attempts
-0.1Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.09 expected goals per 60 minutes4th
Shot quality 2.3% chance per attempt15th
Finishing -0.1 goals above expected48thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 242 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.51Game 20Game 40Expected 1.1Goals 1

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 6, 2018 @ TBL L 5-7 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 14:26
Apr 4, 2018 vs OTT L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 13:10
Apr 2, 2018 @ TOR L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 2 2 1 18:04
Mar 31, 2018 @ NSH W 7-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 12:39
Mar 29, 2018 vs DET L 3-6 0 0 0 -2 2 0 3 16:20
Mar 26, 2018 @ TOR W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 14:42
Mar 21, 2018 vs ARI L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 15:58
Mar 19, 2018 vs NSH L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 15:30
Mar 17, 2018 vs CHI W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 16:51
Mar 8, 2018 @ OTT W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 2 2 2 13:52
Mar 2, 2018 @ FLA L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 10 0 3 20:15
Feb 28, 2018 @ TBL W 2-1 (OT) 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 12:09
Feb 25, 2018 vs BOS W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 17:37
Feb 19, 2018 vs WSH L 2-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 14:22
Feb 17, 2018 vs LAK L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 8 15:39
Feb 13, 2018 vs TBL W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 16:34
Feb 11, 2018 vs COL L 4-5 0 1 1 2 0 2 1 15:30
Feb 10, 2018 @ BOS W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 16:42
Feb 6, 2018 vs ANA L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 17:52
Jan 30, 2018 vs NJD L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 15:05
Jan 25, 2018 @ VAN W 4-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 14:31
Jan 23, 2018 @ EDM W 5-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15:38
Jan 22, 2018 @ CGY W 2-1 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 18:08
Jan 20, 2018 vs DAL L 1-7 0 0 0 -3 0 1 4 16:42
Jan 18, 2018 @ NYR L 3-4 1 0 1 -1 0 1 0 17:00
Jan 11, 2018 vs CBJ W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 15:18
Jan 4, 2018 @ MIN L 2-6 0 0 0 -3 0 0 4 19:55
Dec 29, 2017 @ NJD W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 12:30
Dec 27, 2017 @ NYI L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 12:28
Dec 14, 2017 @ PHI L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 14:57
Dec 12, 2017 vs OTT W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 15:33
Dec 10, 2017 @ STL L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 6 3 5 11:40
Dec 8, 2017 @ CHI L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 13:01
Dec 5, 2017 @ COL W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 13:25
Nov 28, 2017 vs TBL L 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 15:24
Nov 24, 2017 vs EDM W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 18:41
Nov 22, 2017 vs MIN L 4-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 18:27
Nov 20, 2017 vs CBJ L 2-3 0 0 0 -2 0 1 2 17:44
Nov 18, 2017 vs CAR L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 0 7 18:07
Nov 17, 2017 @ DET L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 16:19
Nov 14, 2017 @ PIT L 4-5 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 20:23
Nov 11, 2017 @ MTL L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 19:04
Nov 10, 2017 vs FLA L 1-4 0 0 0 -2 0 2 7 18:54
Nov 7, 2017 vs WSH W 3-1 0 0 0 -1 0 1 5 18:15
Nov 4, 2017 @ DAL L 1-5 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 19:11
Nov 2, 2017 @ ARI W 5-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 15:32