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Justin Dowling

#37 · Centre · New York Rangers

Born Oct 1, 1990 in Calgary, Alberta, CAN (age 36) · 5'10", 182 lb · Shoots left

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2020-21. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Kyle Turris EDM · 5 P in 27 GP Zack Kassian EDM · 5 P in 27 GP Ty Dellandrea DAL · 5 P in 26 GP John Hayden ARI · 5 P in 29 GP Marcus Sorensen SJS · 5 P in 29 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02462016-17: 2 points216-172018-19: 1 points118-192019-20: 6 points619-202020-21: 5 points520-212021-22: 4 points421-222023-24: 1 points123-242024-25: 7 points724-252025-26: 0 points025-26

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2016-17 DAL 9 0 2 2 0 2 11 1 0.22 $625K
2018-19 DAL 11 0 1 1 -4 0 9 11 0.09 $650K
2019-20 DAL 29 3 3 6 -3 8 29 25 0.21 $750K
2020-21 DAL 27 1 4 5 -4 6 27 17 0.19 $750K
2021-22 VAN 22 2 2 4 -3 2 17 10 0.18 $750K
2023-24 NJD 2 1 0 1 -2 0 3 1 0.50 $775K
2024-25 NJD 52 2 5 7 -6 6 34 51 0.13 $775K
2025-26 NYR 2 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 0.00 $775K
8 seasons Career 154 9 17 26 -23 24 131 119 0.17

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2018-19 DAL 13 0 2 2 -6 0 10 14 0.15
2019-20 DAL 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0.00
2024-25 NJD 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 12 0.00
3 seasons Playoffs 20 0 2 2 -6 0 14 34 0.10

2020-21 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
27 1 4 5 -4 6 27 17 0.19 3.7 11:04

Contract

$750KCap hitends in 2021, then UFA
$150KCap dollars per point5 points in 27 games
-$250KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$1MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 633 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Dallas Stars on Mar 9, 2019, as an extension of the contract he was on: 2 years and $1.5M, beginning in 2019-20. It runs through 2020-21, so this is its last season, after which he is an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2019-20 $750K $750K $0 $750K
2020-21 $750K $750K $0 $750K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 1, 2025 New York Rangers New contract 2025-26 to 2026-27 2 $1.625M $775K
Jul 1, 2023 New Jersey Devils New contract 2023-24 to 2024-25 2 $1.55M $775K
Jul 28, 2021 Vancouver Canucks New contract 2021-22 to 2022-23 2 $1.5M $750K
Mar 9, 2019 Dallas Stars Extension 2019-20 to 2020-21 2 $1.5M $750K
May 8, 2017 Dallas Stars Extension 2017-18 to 2018-19 2 $1.3M $650K
May 31, 2016 Dallas Stars Extension 2016-17 to 2016-17 1 $625K $625K
Mar 26, 2014 Dallas Stars Entry-level 2014-15 to 2015-16 2 $1.22M $610K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2020-21 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2020-21 analytics

Rating

-0.9Goals above replacement560th of 643 skaters, 384th of 430 forwards
-0.2Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-1.8Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 430 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-1.5 23rd percentileEven-strength defence-0.1 46th percentilePower play-0.2 34th percentilePenalty kill-0.1 27th percentilePenalties+0.0 36th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-1-0.500.512016-172018-192019-202020-212021-222023-242024-252025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

54.2Corsi for %221 attempts for, 187 against
+1.5CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
50.1Expected goals for %8.7 expected for, 8.6 against
-3.7xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
52.4Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
41.2Goals for %7 for, 10 against
95.6PDO5.8% shooting + 89.8% saves
48Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Jamie Benn · Justin Dowling · Denis Gurianov522:5430.029.51-0
Justin Dowling · Jason Dickinson · Denis Gurianov621:1863.064.91-0
Justin Dowling · Rhett Gardner · Joel L'Esperance419:3965.266.81-1
Justin Dowling · Tanner Kero · Rhett Gardner215:3730.422.40-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

1Goalsnot counting empty-netters
2.1Expected goalsfrom 40 unblocked attempts
-1.1Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.42 expected goals per 60 minutes4th
Shot quality 5.3% chance per attempt1st
Finishing -1.1 goals above expected37thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 411 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.511.52Game 20Expected 2.1Goals 1

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
May 10, 2021 @ CHI W 5-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 09:22
Apr 27, 2021 vs CAR L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 10:39
Apr 26, 2021 vs CAR W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 05:24
Apr 24, 2021 @ DET W 2-1 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 11:12
Apr 22, 2021 @ DET L 3-7 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 09:46
Apr 20, 2021 vs DET W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 07:58
Apr 19, 2021 vs DET W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 09:13
Apr 15, 2021 vs CBJ W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11:08
Apr 13, 2021 vs FLA L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 06:51
Apr 11, 2021 @ NSH L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 12:14
Apr 10, 2021 vs FLA W 4-1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 08:00
Apr 6, 2021 @ CHI L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 11:26
Apr 4, 2021 @ CAR L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 17:24
Apr 3, 2021 @ CAR W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 14:07
Mar 27, 2021 vs FLA L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 11:59
Mar 25, 2021 vs TBL W 4-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 09:30
Mar 4, 2021 vs CBJ L 2-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 08:23
Mar 2, 2021 vs TBL L 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 08:46
Feb 27, 2021 @ TBL L 0-5 0 0 0 -1 0 2 1 10:55
Feb 25, 2021 @ FLA L 2-3 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 15:56
Feb 24, 2021 @ FLA W 3-0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 14:46
Feb 13, 2021 vs CAR L 3-4 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 13:34
Feb 7, 2021 vs CHI L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 08:52
Jan 30, 2021 @ CAR L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 2 0 0 11:35
Jan 28, 2021 vs DET W 7-3 1 1 2 1 0 3 1 13:48
Jan 26, 2021 vs DET W 2-1 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 15:09
Jan 24, 2021 vs NSH W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 10:58