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Justin Dowling

#37 · Centre · New York Rangers

Born Oct 1, 1990 in Calgary, Alberta, CAN (age 36) · 5'10", 182 lb · Shoots left

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2021-22. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Axel Jonsson-Fjallby WSH · 4 P in 23 GP Kyle Turris EDM · 4 P in 23 GP James Neal STL · 4 P in 19 GP Kyle Clifford TOR · 4 P in 25 GP Arttu Ruotsalainen BUF · 4 P in 18 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02462016-17: 2 points216-172018-19: 1 points118-192019-20: 6 points619-202020-21: 5 points520-212021-22: 4 points421-222023-24: 1 points123-242024-25: 7 points724-252025-26: 0 points025-26

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2016-17 DAL 9 0 2 2 0 2 11 1 0.22 $625K
2018-19 DAL 11 0 1 1 -4 0 9 11 0.09 $650K
2019-20 DAL 29 3 3 6 -3 8 29 25 0.21 $750K
2020-21 DAL 27 1 4 5 -4 6 27 17 0.19 $750K
2021-22 VAN 22 2 2 4 -3 2 17 10 0.18 $750K
2023-24 NJD 2 1 0 1 -2 0 3 1 0.50 $775K
2024-25 NJD 52 2 5 7 -6 6 34 51 0.13 $775K
2025-26 NYR 2 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 0.00 $775K
8 seasons Career 154 9 17 26 -23 24 131 119 0.17

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2018-19 DAL 13 0 2 2 -6 0 10 14 0.15
2019-20 DAL 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0.00
2024-25 NJD 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 12 0.00
3 seasons Playoffs 20 0 2 2 -6 0 14 34 0.10

2021-22 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
22 2 2 4 -3 2 17 10 0.18 11.8 9:35

Contract

$750KCap hitends in 2023, then UFA
$188KCap dollars per point4 points in 22 games
$650KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$100KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 716 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Vancouver Canucks on Jul 28, 2021, as a new contract: 2 years and $1.5M, beginning in 2021-22. It runs through 2022-23, with 1 season left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2021-22 $750K $750K $0 $750K
2022-23 $750K $750K $0 $750K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 1, 2025 New York Rangers New contract 2025-26 to 2026-27 2 $1.625M $775K
Jul 1, 2023 New Jersey Devils New contract 2023-24 to 2024-25 2 $1.55M $775K
Jul 28, 2021 Vancouver Canucks New contract 2021-22 to 2022-23 2 $1.5M $750K
Mar 9, 2019 Dallas Stars Extension 2019-20 to 2020-21 2 $1.5M $750K
May 8, 2017 Dallas Stars Extension 2017-18 to 2018-19 2 $1.3M $650K
May 31, 2016 Dallas Stars Extension 2016-17 to 2016-17 1 $625K $625K
Mar 26, 2014 Dallas Stars Entry-level 2014-15 to 2015-16 2 $1.22M $610K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2021-22 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2021-22 analytics

Rating

-0.1Goals above replacement532nd of 723 skaters, 365th of 481 forwards
0.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-0.7Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 481 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-1.3 34th percentileEven-strength defence+0.6 61st percentilePower play-0.1 45th percentilePenalty kill+0.1 78th percentilePenalties+0.0 37th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-1-0.500.512016-172018-192019-202020-212021-222023-242024-252025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

45.9Corsi for %150 attempts for, 177 against
-5.5CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
40.7Expected goals for %4.8 expected for, 7.0 against
-7.6xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
47.6Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
33.3Goals for %4 for, 8 against
95.6PDO4.8% shooting + 90.8% saves
25Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Justin Dowling · Elias Pettersson · Vasily Podkolzin526:3166.760.91-0
Justin Dowling · Justin Bailey · Juho Lammikko317:1830.017.00-2
Justin Dowling · Tyler Motte · Juho Lammikko317:0650.049.70-0
Alex Chiasson · Justin Dowling · Juho Lammikko416:1929.644.60-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

1Goalsnot counting empty-netters
1.2Expected goalsfrom 21 unblocked attempts
-0.2Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.34 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 5.8% chance per attempt1st
Finishing -0.2 goals above expected55thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 451 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.51Game 20Expected 1.2Goals 1

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Feb 9, 2022 vs NYI L 3-6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11:18
Jan 31, 2022 @ CHI W 3-1 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 07:42
Jan 25, 2022 vs EDM L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 07:28
Jan 18, 2022 @ NSH W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 07:59
Dec 29, 2021 @ ANA W 2-1 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 07:56
Dec 16, 2021 @ SJS W 5-2 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 06:23
Dec 14, 2021 vs CBJ W 4-3 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 08:35
Dec 12, 2021 vs CAR W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 12:15
Dec 4, 2021 vs PIT L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 06:24
Dec 1, 2021 @ OTT W 6-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 10:22
Nov 29, 2021 @ MTL W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 11:37
Nov 28, 2021 @ BOS L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 08:19
Nov 26, 2021 @ CBJ L 2-4 0 1 1 1 2 1 2 13:08
Nov 11, 2021 @ COL L 1-7 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 11:49
Nov 9, 2021 vs ANA L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 05:29
Nov 7, 2021 vs DAL W 6-3 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 08:16
Oct 23, 2021 @ SEA W 4-2 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 14:42
Oct 21, 2021 @ CHI W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 08:43
Oct 19, 2021 @ BUF L 2-5 1 0 1 -2 0 4 0 14:22
Oct 16, 2021 @ DET L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 10:53
Oct 15, 2021 @ PHI W 5-4 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 07:43
Oct 13, 2021 @ EDM L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 09:31