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Keith Kinkaid

#30 · Goalie · Colorado Avalanche

Born Jul 4, 1989 in Farmingville, New York, USA · 6'2", 195 lb · Catches left

Compare with a similar player

The goalies closest to him in games played in 2016-17. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Anders Nilsson BUF · 26 GP, 0.923 Jacob Markstrom VAN · 26 GP, 0.910 Jimmy Howard DET · 26 GP, 0.927 Jaroslav Halak NYI · 28 GP, 0.915 Michael Hutchinson WPG · 28 GP, 0.903

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0102030402012-13: 1 games112-132014-15: 19 games1914-152015-16: 23 games2315-162016-17: 26 games2616-172017-18: 41 games4117-182018-19: 41 games4118-192019-20: 6 games619-202020-21: 9 games920-212021-22: 1 games121-222022-23: 2 games222-23

Games played by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP WLOTLSO Shots against Saves Goals against GAA Save % Cap hit
2012-13 NJD 1 0000 13 12 1 2.33 0.923
2014-15 NJD 19 6540 469 429 40 2.59 0.915 $600K
2015-16 NJD 23 9912 605 547 58 2.81 0.904 $725K
2016-17 NJD 26 81331 778 713 65 2.64 0.916 $725K
2017-18 NJD 41 261031 1214 1108 106 2.77 0.913 $1.25M
2018-19 NJD 41 151863 1188 1059 129 3.36 0.891 $1.25M
2019-20 MTL 6 1130 192 168 24 4.24 0.875 $1.75M
2020-21 NYR 9 3211 205 184 21 2.59 0.898 $825K
2021-22 NYR 1 1000 31 29 2 2.00 0.935 $825K
2022-23 BOS 1 1000 31 30 1 1.00 0.968
2022-23 COL 1 0000 9 8 1 2.15 0.889
10 seasons Career 169 7058218 4735 4287 448 2.91 0.905

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP WLOTLSO Shots against Saves Goals against GAA Save %
2017-18 NJD 2 0200 46 37 9 5.88 0.804
1 season Playoffs 2 0200 46 37 9 5.88 0.804

2016-17 season totals

GP Starts WLOTLSO Shots against Saves Goals against GAA Save %
26 23 81331 778 713 65 2.64 0.916

Contract

$725KCap hitends in 2017, then UFA
$77KCap dollars per goal above replacement9.4 goals above replacement
$2.6MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$1.9MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 53 ranked goalies whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. It runs through 2016-17, so this is its last season, after which he is an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2016-17 $725K

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2020-21 to 2021-22 $825K
2019-20 to 2019-20 $1.75M
2017-18 to 2018-19 $1.25M
2015-16 to 2016-17 $725K
2014-15 to 2014-15 $600K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2016-17 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2016-17 analytics

Rating

+9.4Goals above replacement33rd of 53 goalies
+1.6Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+2.5Goals above averagehis goals saved above expected

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 53 ranked goalies: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. Goals above average is coloured as it is under Shots faced below, where it is taken per 60 minutes.

The goals he saved for his team, compared with a spare-part goalie facing the same shots. A goalie's season is about one-third the goalie and two-thirds chance, so read one year lightly. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-10-50510152012-132015-162017-182019-202021-22Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

Shots faced

Expected goals adds up how likely each shot he faced was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. A goalie who lets in fewer than that has saved goals above expected. Only shots taken while he was in net count, and the league's goalies as a whole come out at zero. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones. What these numbers mean

+2.5Goals saved above expectedexpected goals minus goals against
67.5Expected goals againstfrom 1,052 unblocked attempts
65Goals againstwhile he was in net
0.917Save %0.913 expected from his shots

Goals saved above expected, taken per 60 minutes, and save % are coloured by where they rank among the 55 goalies who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. The two goals against tiles are left plain, since they follow how much he played.

Goals saved +0.10 above expected per 60 minutes60th
Shot difficulty 6.4% chance per attempt faced75thA higher bar means his team gives up more dangerous shots.

Each bar shows the share of goalies he is ahead of, among the 55 who played at least a quarter as much as the busiest this season.

0204060Game 10Game 20Expected 67.5Allowed 65

The goals he was expected to let in and the goals he did, as the season went on. When the allowed line runs below the expected line, he is saving more than his shots were worth.

Where he was shot at

Every unblocked attempt he faced this season, with his net on the right. Darker red means more attempts from that spot, and each dot is a goal. "Show every shot" switches to a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result Decision Shots against Saves Goals against Save % TOI
Apr 8, 2017 vs NYI L 2-4 L 20 16 4 0.800 60:00
Apr 4, 2017 vs PHI W 1-0 (OT) W, SO 35 35 0 1.000 60:51
Mar 31, 2017 @ NYI L 1-2 L 38 36 2 0.947 60:00
Mar 26, 2017 vs DAL L 1-2 (OT) OTL 32 30 2 0.938 60:20
Mar 23, 2017 @ TOR L 2-4 L 29 26 3 0.897 59:42
Mar 17, 2017 @ PIT L 4-6 L 42 37 5 0.881 59:09
Mar 16, 2017 vs PHI W 6-2 W 19 17 2 0.895 59:58
Mar 11, 2017 @ ARI L 4-5 L 21 20 1 0.952 35:02
Mar 7, 2017 @ CBJ L 0-2 L 24 23 1 0.958 59:51
Feb 19, 2017 @ NYI L 4-6 L 32 26 6 0.813 58:27
Jan 26, 2017 vs WSH L 2-5 L 17 13 4 0.765 30:19
Jan 24, 2017 vs LAK L 1-3 13 13 0 1.000 37:39
Jan 21, 2017 @ PHI W 4-1 W 36 35 1 0.972 60:00
Jan 20, 2017 vs MTL L 1-3 L 26 23 3 0.885 57:12
Jan 13, 2017 @ CGY W 2-1 W 32 31 1 0.969 60:00
Jan 6, 2017 vs TOR L 2-4 9 8 1 0.889 43:26
Dec 31, 2016 vs WSH L 2-6 L 26 20 6 0.769 60:00
Dec 29, 2016 @ WSH W 2-1 (SO) W 44 43 1 0.977 65:00
Dec 17, 2016 @ OTT L 1-3 L 30 28 2 0.933 58:22
Dec 9, 2016 vs STL L 1-4 L 32 28 4 0.875 59:46
Dec 3, 2016 @ NSH W 5-4 (OT) W 42 38 4 0.905 64:42
Nov 26, 2016 @ PIT L 3-4 (SO) OTL 49 46 3 0.939 65:00
Nov 21, 2016 @ SJS L 0-4 L 41 37 4 0.902 59:56
Nov 11, 2016 @ BUF W 2-1 (OT) W 26 25 1 0.962 60:29
Nov 6, 2016 @ CAR W 4-1 W 34 33 1 0.971 59:50
Oct 28, 2016 vs CHI L 2-3 (OT) OTL 29 26 3 0.897 61:04