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Nikita Nesterov

#89 · Defence · Calgary Flames

Born Mar 28, 1993 in Chelyabinsk, RUS · 5'11", 191 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 148th overall in 2011 by TBL (round 5)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2016-17. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Erik Johnson COL · 17 P in 46 GP Nate Schmidt WSH · 17 P in 60 GP Jordie Benn MTL · 17 P in 71 GP Ron Hainsey PIT · 17 P in 72 GP Chris Wideman OTT · 17 P in 76 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0510152014-15: 7 points714-152015-16: 9 points915-162016-17: 17 points1716-172020-21: 4 points420-21

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2014-15 TBL 27 2 5 7 6 16 44 42 0.26 $742K
2015-16 TBL 57 3 6 9 -6 41 57 95 0.16 $742K
2016-17 TBL 35 3 9 12 -3 20 46 56 0.34 $725K
2016-17 MTL 13 1 4 5 3 4 17 28 0.38
2020-21 CGY 38 0 4 4 -10 20 33 41 0.11 $700K
4 seasons Career 170 9 28 37 -10 101 197 262 0.22

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2014-15 TBL 17 1 5 6 5 8 11 16 0.35
2015-16 TBL 9 0 1 1 1 9 9 15 0.11
2016-17 MTL 2 0 0 0 -1 0 1 5 0.00
3 seasons Playoffs 28 1 6 7 5 17 21 36 0.25

2016-17 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
48 4 13 17 0 24 63 84 0.35 6.3 16:17

Contract

$725KCap hit2016-17
$43KCap dollars per point17 points in 48 games
$509KCap dollars per goal above replacement1.4 goals above replacement
$1.5MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$757KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 664 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. When it ends is not known.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2020-21 to 2020-21 $700K
2014-15 to 2016-17 $742K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2016-17 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2016-17 analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

+1.4Goals above replacement404th of 664 skaters, 120th of 229 defencemen
+0.2Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-1.2Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 229 ranked defencemen: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+1.9 90th percentileEven-strength defence-1.9 22nd percentilePower play-0.6 17th percentilePenalty kill+0.0 50th percentilePenalties-0.6 52nd percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among defencemen. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-2-10122014-152015-162016-172020-21Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

54.3Corsi for %687 attempts for, 578 against
+3.6CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
49.5Expected goals for %26.9 expected for, 27.4 against
+0.6xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
52.1Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
50.9Goals for %28 for, 27 against
100.1PDO8.0% shooting + 92.1% saves
124Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 565 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Braydon Coburn · Nikita Nesterov24127:2655.048.45-6
Jason Garrison · Nikita Nesterov24121:2756.248.24-2
Anton Stralman · Nikita Nesterov2394:5053.654.83-7
Victor Hedman · Nikita Nesterov2479:4455.349.03-5

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

4Goalsnot counting empty-netters
2.9Expected goalsfrom 90 unblocked attempts
+1.1Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.22 expected goals per 60 minutes65th
Shot quality 3.2% chance per attempt59th
Finishing +1.1 goals above expected78thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 229 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

01234Game 20Game 40Goals 4Expected 2.9

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 8, 2017 @ DET W 3-2 (OT) 0 2 2 1 0 2 0 17:59
Apr 7, 2017 vs TBL L 2-4 0 1 1 0 2 2 4 17:11
Apr 5, 2017 @ BUF L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 17:59
Apr 3, 2017 @ FLA W 4-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 18:18
Feb 27, 2017 @ NJD W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 14:38
Feb 25, 2017 @ TOR W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 13:19
Feb 18, 2017 vs WPG L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 12:00
Feb 12, 2017 @ BOS L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 4 15:38
Feb 7, 2017 @ COL L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 2 3 3 17:02
Feb 5, 2017 vs EDM L 0-1 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 13:34
Feb 4, 2017 vs WSH L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 14:55
Feb 2, 2017 @ PHI L 1-3 1 0 1 1 0 2 1 14:20
Jan 31, 2017 vs BUF W 5-2 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 14:21
Jan 24, 2017 @ CHI W 5-2 1 0 1 0 2 3 2 17:25
Jan 21, 2017 @ ARI L 3-5 0 1 1 -3 0 2 0 15:17
Jan 19, 2017 @ SJS L 1-2 0 0 0 -2 0 2 4 22:38
Jan 17, 2017 @ ANA L 1-2 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 19:42
Jan 16, 2017 @ LAK W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 20:19
Jan 13, 2017 vs CBJ L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 16:27
Jan 12, 2017 vs BUF W 4-2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 14:38
Jan 7, 2017 @ PHI L 2-4 0 2 2 1 0 0 5 18:50
Jan 5, 2017 vs NSH L 1-6 0 0 0 -3 0 3 3 21:09
Dec 29, 2016 vs TOR L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 08:44
Dec 28, 2016 vs MTL W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 08:33
Dec 23, 2016 @ WSH L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 4 0 15:45
Dec 22, 2016 vs STL W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 13:14
Dec 17, 2016 @ EDM L 2-3 (SO) 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 11:06
Dec 10, 2016 vs PIT L 3-4 0 1 1 1 4 2 3 14:04
Dec 1, 2016 @ STL L 4-5 0 0 0 -1 2 0 1 17:00
Nov 29, 2016 @ CBJ L 1-5 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 16:18
Nov 27, 2016 @ BOS L 1-4 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 21:38
Nov 25, 2016 vs CBJ L 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 12:24
Nov 23, 2016 vs PHI W 4-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 14:48
Nov 21, 2016 @ NSH L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 21:42
Nov 19, 2016 @ PHI W 3-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 17:03
Nov 17, 2016 @ BUF W 4-1 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 18:59
Nov 15, 2016 @ DET W 4-3 1 1 2 1 0 2 1 15:42
Nov 14, 2016 @ NYI W 4-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19:24
Nov 7, 2016 @ FLA L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 13:14
Oct 30, 2016 @ NYR L 1-6 0 0 0 -1 0 3 1 16:48
Oct 29, 2016 @ NJD L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 18:36
Oct 27, 2016 @ MTL L 1-3 0 0 0 0 2 3 2 18:14
Oct 25, 2016 @ TOR W 7-3 0 0 0 1 4 0 2 17:40
Oct 22, 2016 @ OTT W 4-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 17:27
Oct 20, 2016 vs COL L 0-4 0 0 0 -2 0 1 2 18:18
Oct 18, 2016 vs FLA W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 16:42
Oct 15, 2016 vs NJD W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 17:08
Oct 13, 2016 vs DET W 6-4 0 0 0 0 2 4 0 13:31