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Photo of Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Jean-Gabriel Pageau

#44 · Centre · New York Islanders

Born Nov 11, 1992 in Ottawa, Ontario, CAN (age 33) · 5'11", 181 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 96th overall in 2011 by OTT (round 4)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

A.J. Greer ANA · 1 P in 3 GP Alex Killorn ANA · 1 P in 3 GP Alex Newhook MTL · 1 P in 3 GP Alex Ovechkin WSH · 1 P in 3 GP Alex Turcotte LAK · 1 P in 3 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0102030402012-13: 4 points412-132013-14: 2 points22014-15: 19 points1914-152015-16: 43 points432016-17: 33 points3316-172017-18: 29 points292018-19: 12 points1218-192019-20: 42 points422020-21: 28 points2820-212021-22: 39 points392022-23: 40 points4022-232023-24: 33 points332024-25: 42 points4224-252025-26: 35 points352026-27: 1 points126-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2012-13 OTT 9 2 2 4 3 0 14 11 0.44 $613K
2013-14 OTT 28 2 0 2 -5 12 31 41 0.07 $613K
2014-15 OTT 50 10 9 19 4 9 97 158 0.38 $613K
2015-16 OTT 82 19 24 43 17 26 133 166 0.52 $900K
2016-17 OTT 82 12 21 33 13 24 169 161 0.40 $900K
2017-18 OTT 78 14 15 29 -14 36 147 131 0.37 $3.1M
2018-19 OTT 39 4 8 12 -12 14 83 63 0.31 $3.1M
2019-20 OTT 60 24 16 40 10 32 135 116 0.67 $3.1M
2019-20 NYI 7 2 0 2 -6 17 16 12 0.29
2020-21 NYI 54 14 14 28 10 10 81 111 0.52 $5M
2021-22 NYI 77 18 21 39 0 30 126 171 0.51 $5M
2022-23 NYI 70 13 27 40 -2 14 123 175 0.57 $5M
2023-24 NYI 82 11 22 33 -8 13 101 196 0.40 $5M
2024-25 NYI 79 14 28 42 4 23 120 140 0.53 $5M
2025-26 NYI 74 17 18 35 0 4 81 115 0.47 $5M
2026-27 NYI 3 0 1 1 -2 0 3 7 0.33 $4.85M
15 seasons Career 874 176 226 402 12 264 1460 1774 0.46

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2012-13 OTT 10 4 2 6 4 8 21 10 0.60
2014-15 OTT 6 0 0 0 0 0 14 27 0.00
2016-17 OTT 19 8 2 10 5 16 44 53 0.53
2019-20 NYI 22 8 3 11 10 21 44 82 0.50
2020-21 NYI 19 3 10 13 9 6 39 62 0.68
2022-23 NYI 6 0 1 1 -1 0 8 16 0.17
2023-24 NYI 4 1 1 2 -3 0 6 5 0.50
7 seasons Playoffs 86 24 19 43 24 51 176 255 0.50

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
3 0 1 1 -2 0 3 7 0.33 0.0 14:30

Contract

$4.85MCap hitends in 2029, then UFA
$4.85MCap dollars per point1 points in 3 games
$5.042MCap dollars per goal above replacement1.0 goals above replacement, projected
$1.7MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$3.1MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over the whole season: the games played so far, plus the games left at the rate of the last three seasons and this one. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 647 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the New York Islanders on Mar 6, 2026, as an extension of the contract he was on: 3 years and $14.55M, beginning in 2026-27. It runs through 2028-29, with 2 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2026-27 $4.85M
2027-28 $4.85M
2028-29 $4.85M

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Mar 6, 2026 New York Islanders Extension 2026-27 to 2028-29 3 $14.55M $4.85M
Feb 24, 2020 New York Islanders Extension 2020-21 to 2025-26 6 $30M $5M
Jul 17, 2017 Ottawa Senators New contract 2017-18 to 2019-20 3 $9.3M $3.1M
Jun 18, 2015 Ottawa Senators Extension 2015-16 to 2016-17 2 $1.8M $900K
Jun 8, 2012 Ottawa Senators Entry-level 2012-13 to 2014-15 3 $1.84M $613K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 3 games (0.0 goals above replacement), plus the 76 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+1.0Goals above replacement425th of 647 skaters, 299th of 422 forwards
+0.2Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-2.5Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 422 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-1.1 27th percentileEven-strength defence-0.2 42nd percentilePower play-0.9 4th percentilePenalty kill-1.2 1st percentilePenalties+0.8 71st percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

-2024682012-132014-152016-172018-192020-212022-232024-252026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

33.3Corsi for %15 attempts for, 30 against
-16.9CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
30.3Expected goals for %0.5 expected for, 1.3 against
-22.8xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
32.4Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
33.3Goals for %1 for, 2 against
100.0PDO14.3% shooting + 85.7% saves
1Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · Anthony Duclair · Simon Holmstrom217:1331.627.81-0
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · Emil Heineman · Victor Eklund14:5037.528.00-1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · Simon Holmstrom · Victor Eklund12:0240.011.60-0
Ondrej Palat · Jean-Gabriel Pageau · Anthony Duclair10:480.00.00-1

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.2Expected goalsfrom 3 unblocked attempts
-0.2Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.21 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 5.1% chance per attempt1st
Finishing -0.2 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.2Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 6, 2026 @ NYR L 2-5 0 0 0 -2 0 0 3 14:50
Oct 3, 2026 vs NJD W 6-0 0 1 1 1 0 2 2 14:49
Sep 30, 2026 @ TOR L 1-2 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 13:50