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Nick Paul

#20 · Left wing · Toronto Maple Leafs

Born Mar 20, 1995 in Mississauga, Ontario, CAN (age 31) · 6'3", 225 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 101st overall in 2013 by DAL (round 4)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2016-17. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Boo Nieves NYR · 0 P in 1 GP Borna Rendulic VAN · 0 P in 1 GP Corey Tropp ANA · 0 P in 1 GP Denis Gurianov DAL · 0 P in 1 GP Garrett Mitchell WSH · 0 P in 1 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0102030402015-16: 5 points515-162016-17: 0 points016-172017-18: 1 points117-182018-19: 2 points218-192019-20: 20 points2019-202020-21: 20 points2020-212021-22: 32 points3221-222022-23: 32 points3222-232023-24: 46 points4623-242024-25: 41 points4124-252025-26: 15 points1525-262026-27: 2 points226-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2015-16 OTT 24 2 3 5 -3 6 28 43 0.21 $670K
2016-17 OTT 1 0 0 0 -2 0 4 3 0.00 $670K
2017-18 OTT 11 1 0 1 -4 0 11 16 0.09 $670K
2018-19 OTT 20 1 1 2 -10 4 30 28 0.10 $650K
2019-20 OTT 56 9 11 20 0 24 103 122 0.36 $750K
2020-21 OTT 56 5 15 20 5 19 105 74 0.36 $1.35M
2021-22 OTT 59 11 7 18 -18 22 131 67 0.31 $1.35M
2021-22 TBL 21 5 9 14 4 17 35 39 0.67
2022-23 TBL 80 17 15 32 11 33 120 111 0.40 $3.15M
2023-24 TBL 82 24 22 46 -16 27 153 104 0.56 $3.15M
2024-25 TBL 76 22 19 41 13 30 141 66 0.54 $3.15M
2025-26 TBL 51 7 8 15 -15 32 68 75 0.29 $3.15M
2026-27 TOR 5 1 1 2 -3 4 7 9 0.40 $3.15M
12 seasons Career 542 105 111 216 -38 218 936 757 0.40

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2021-22 TBL 23 5 4 9 0 6 44 56 0.39
2022-23 TBL 6 1 0 1 -1 2 8 20 0.17
2023-24 TBL 5 2 0 2 -4 6 14 16 0.40
2024-25 TBL 5 2 0 2 -4 2 12 18 0.40
2025-26 TBL 6 0 0 0 -2 4 7 21 0.00
5 seasons Playoffs 45 10 4 14 -11 20 85 131 0.31

2016-17 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
1 0 0 0 -2 0 4 3 0.00 0.0 16:29

Contract

$670KCap hitends in 2018, then RFA
$5.545MCap dollars per goal above replacement0.1 goals above replacement

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up.

The contract

Signed by the Ottawa Senators on Dec 21, 2014, as an entry-level contract: 3 years and $2.683M, beginning in 2015-16. It runs through 2017-18, with 1 season left after this one, and he is then a restricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2015-16 $670K $575K $93K $258K $668K
2016-17 $670K $600K $93K $233K $693K
2017-18 $670K $650K $0 $183K $650K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 1, 2022 Tampa Bay Lightning Extension 2022-23 to 2028-29 7 $22.05M $3.15M
Oct 14, 2020 Ottawa Senators New contract 2020-21 to 2021-22 2 $2.7M $1.35M
Jul 2, 2019 Ottawa Senators New contract 2019-20 to 2019-20 1 $750K $750K
Jul 16, 2018 Ottawa Senators New contract 2018-19 to 2018-19 1 $650K $650K
Dec 21, 2014 Ottawa Senators Entry-level 2015-16 to 2017-18 signed for 2014-15, slid 3 $2.683M $670K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2016-17 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2016-17 analytics

Rating

+0.1Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
+0.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+0.1Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence+0.0Even-strength defence+0.1Power play0.0Penalty kill0.0Penalties+0.0

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. He has played fewer than 20 games, too few to be ranked. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-202462015-162017-182019-202021-222023-242025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

58.6Corsi for %17 attempts for, 12 against
+0.4CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
63.1Expected goals for %1.0 expected for, 0.6 against
+9.8xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
73.7Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
0.0Goals for %0 for, 1 against
75.0PDO0.0% shooting + 75.0% saves
6Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Chris Neil · Chris Kelly · Nick Paul14:0337.515.50-0
Chris Neil · Tommy Wingels · Nick Paul12:4750.03.80-1
Chris Kelly · Tommy Wingels · Nick Paul11:22100.0100.00-0
Chris Neil · Christopher DiDomenico · Nick Paul11:21100.0100.00-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.4Expected goalsfrom 6 unblocked attempts
-0.4Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 1.42 expected goals per 60 minutes99th
Shot quality 6.5% chance per attempt18th
Finishing -0.4 goals above expected51stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 421 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 9, 2017 @ NYI L 2-4 0 0 0 -2 0 4 3 16:29