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Nick Paul

#20 · Left wing · Toronto Maple Leafs

Born Mar 20, 1995 in Mississauga, Ontario, CAN (age 31) · 6'3", 225 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 101st overall in 2013 by DAL (round 4)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2020-21. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Jesperi Kotkaniemi MTL · 20 P in 56 GP Barclay Goodrow TBL · 20 P in 55 GP Evgenii Dadonov OTT · 20 P in 55 GP Derick Brassard ARI · 20 P in 53 GP Scott Laughton PHI · 20 P in 53 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0102030402015-16: 5 points515-162016-17: 0 points016-172017-18: 1 points117-182018-19: 2 points218-192019-20: 20 points2019-202020-21: 20 points2020-212021-22: 32 points3221-222022-23: 32 points3222-232023-24: 46 points4623-242024-25: 41 points4124-252025-26: 15 points1525-262026-27: 4 points426-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2015-16 OTT 24 2 3 5 -3 6 28 43 0.21 $670K
2016-17 OTT 1 0 0 0 -2 0 4 3 0.00 $670K
2017-18 OTT 11 1 0 1 -4 0 11 16 0.09 $670K
2018-19 OTT 20 1 1 2 -10 4 30 28 0.10 $650K
2019-20 OTT 56 9 11 20 0 24 103 122 0.36 $750K
2020-21 OTT 56 5 15 20 5 19 105 74 0.36 $1.35M
2021-22 OTT 59 11 7 18 -18 22 131 67 0.31 $1.35M
2021-22 TBL 21 5 9 14 4 17 35 39 0.67
2022-23 TBL 80 17 15 32 11 33 120 111 0.40 $3.15M
2023-24 TBL 82 24 22 46 -16 27 153 104 0.56 $3.15M
2024-25 TBL 76 22 19 41 13 30 141 66 0.54 $3.15M
2025-26 TBL 51 7 8 15 -15 32 68 75 0.29 $3.15M
2026-27 TOR 6 1 3 4 -1 4 7 11 0.67 $3.15M
12 seasons Career 543 105 113 218 -36 218 936 759 0.40

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2021-22 TBL 23 5 4 9 0 6 44 56 0.39
2022-23 TBL 6 1 0 1 -1 2 8 20 0.17
2023-24 TBL 5 2 0 2 -4 6 14 16 0.40
2024-25 TBL 5 2 0 2 -4 2 12 18 0.40
2025-26 TBL 6 0 0 0 -2 4 7 21 0.00
5 seasons Playoffs 45 10 4 14 -11 20 85 131 0.31

2020-21 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
56 5 15 20 5 19 105 74 0.36 4.8 16:05

Contract

$1.35MCap hitends in 2022, then UFA
$68KCap dollars per point20 points in 56 games
$624KCap dollars per goal above replacement2.2 goals above replacement
$2.9MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$1.5MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 633 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Ottawa Senators on Oct 14, 2020, as a new contract: 2 years and $2.7M, beginning in 2020-21. It runs through 2021-22, with 1 season left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2020-21 $1.35M $1.2M $0 $1.2M
2021-22 $1.35M $1.5M $0 $1.5M

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 1, 2022 Tampa Bay Lightning Extension 2022-23 to 2028-29 7 $22.05M $3.15M
Oct 14, 2020 Ottawa Senators New contract 2020-21 to 2021-22 2 $2.7M $1.35M
Jul 2, 2019 Ottawa Senators New contract 2019-20 to 2019-20 1 $750K $750K
Jul 16, 2018 Ottawa Senators New contract 2018-19 to 2018-19 1 $650K $650K
Dec 21, 2014 Ottawa Senators Entry-level 2015-16 to 2017-18 signed for 2014-15, slid 3 $2.683M $670K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2020-21 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2020-21 analytics

Rating

+2.2Goals above replacement280th of 643 skaters, 199th of 430 forwards
+0.4Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-0.3Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 430 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-3.2 2nd percentileEven-strength defence+2.3 96th percentilePower play+0.4 80th percentilePenalty kill-0.2 16th percentilePenalties+0.4 62nd percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-202462015-162017-182019-202021-222023-242025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

50.2Corsi for %661 attempts for, 656 against
+2.2CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
44.6Expected goals for %24.0 expected for, 29.7 against
-3.4xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
50.4Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
48.1Goals for %25 for, 27 against
99.7PDO7.5% shooting + 92.2% saves
167Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 579 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Evgenii Dadonov · Nick Paul · Colin White31241:0956.248.811-11
Chris Tierney · Connor Brown · Nick Paul3067:4255.643.72-0
Nick Paul · Josh Norris · Brady Tkachuk652:3345.545.61-4
Nick Paul · Colin White · Drake Batherson929:3951.846.90-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

5Goalsnot counting empty-netters
9.7Expected goalsfrom 161 unblocked attempts
-4.7Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.65 expected goals per 60 minutes36th
Shot quality 6.0% chance per attempt3rd
Finishing -4.7 goals above expected3rdOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 411 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

02468Game 20Game 40Expected 9.7Goals 5

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. Darker red means more attempts from that spot, and each dot is a goal. "Show every shot" switches to a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
May 12, 2021 vs TOR W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 15:17
May 9, 2021 @ CGY L 1-6 0 0 0 -2 0 1 3 16:23
May 8, 2021 @ WPG W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 18:15
May 5, 2021 vs MTL W 5-1 1 1 2 2 0 2 2 15:36
May 3, 2021 vs WPG W 2-1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 17:50
May 1, 2021 @ MTL L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 14:43
Apr 28, 2021 vs VAN W 6-3 0 1 1 2 7 1 4 12:09
Apr 26, 2021 vs VAN W 2-1 0 0 0 -1 0 4 1 15:30
Apr 24, 2021 @ VAN L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 12:34
Apr 22, 2021 @ VAN W 3-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 09:16
Apr 19, 2021 @ CGY W 4-2 0 1 1 0 2 4 0 15:50
Apr 17, 2021 @ MTL W 4-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 18:37
Apr 14, 2021 vs WPG L 2-3 1 0 1 1 0 1 2 15:34
Apr 12, 2021 vs WPG W 4-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 17:20
Apr 10, 2021 @ TOR L 5-6 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 19:15
Apr 8, 2021 vs EDM L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 4 0 19:24
Apr 7, 2021 vs EDM L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 18:54
Apr 5, 2021 @ WPG L 3-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 15:05
Apr 3, 2021 @ MTL W 6-3 0 1 1 1 2 3 0 17:18
Apr 1, 2021 vs MTL L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 2 1 2 18:03
Mar 25, 2021 vs TOR L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 20:01
Mar 24, 2021 vs CGY W 3-1 0 1 1 0 0 5 2 14:19
Mar 22, 2021 vs CGY W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 18:21
Mar 17, 2021 vs VAN L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 17:41
Mar 15, 2021 vs VAN L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 4 2 15:34
Mar 14, 2021 vs TOR W 4-3 0 0 0 -2 0 2 2 14:32
Mar 12, 2021 @ EDM L 2-6 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 20:11
Mar 10, 2021 @ EDM L 1-7 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 16:55
Mar 8, 2021 @ EDM L 2-3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 12:57
Mar 7, 2021 @ CGY W 4-3 (SO) 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 15:37
Mar 4, 2021 @ CGY L 3-7 0 0 0 -2 0 2 0 14:25
Mar 2, 2021 @ MTL L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14:34
Mar 1, 2021 vs CGY W 5-1 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 16:55
Feb 27, 2021 vs CGY L 3-6 0 1 1 -1 0 1 1 15:30
Feb 25, 2021 vs CGY W 6-1 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 13:23
Feb 23, 2021 vs MTL W 5-4 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 20:42
Feb 21, 2021 vs MTL W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 5 3 17:58
Feb 18, 2021 @ TOR L 3-7 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 17:18
Feb 17, 2021 @ TOR L 1-2 0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 17:36
Feb 15, 2021 @ TOR W 6-5 (OT) 1 1 2 2 0 2 0 18:05
Feb 13, 2021 @ WPG W 2-1 0 1 1 1 2 3 1 17:42
Feb 11, 2021 @ WPG L 1-5 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 15:57
Feb 9, 2021 vs EDM L 2-3 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 15:13
Feb 8, 2021 vs EDM L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 15:44
Feb 6, 2021 vs MTL L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 13:32
Feb 4, 2021 @ MTL W 3-2 0 0 0 0 4 2 1 13:17
Feb 2, 2021 @ EDM L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 13:34
Jan 31, 2021 @ EDM L 5-8 0 1 1 1 0 3 1 15:56
Jan 28, 2021 @ VAN L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 2 4 16:48
Jan 27, 2021 @ VAN L 1-5 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 13:50
Jan 25, 2021 @ VAN L 1-7 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 15:14
Jan 23, 2021 @ WPG L 3-6 1 1 2 0 0 2 1 16:32
Jan 21, 2021 vs WPG L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 18:24
Jan 19, 2021 vs WPG L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 16:24
Jan 16, 2021 vs TOR L 2-3 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 12:35
Jan 15, 2021 vs TOR W 5-3 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 14:27