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Nick Paul

#20 · Left wing · Toronto Maple Leafs

Born Mar 20, 1995 in Mississauga, Ontario, CAN (age 31) · 6'3", 225 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 101st overall in 2013 by DAL (round 4)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2023-24. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Brayden Schenn STL · 46 P in 82 GP Jeff Skinner BUF · 46 P in 74 GP Andrei Kuzmenko CGY · 46 P in 72 GP Conor Garland VAN · 47 P in 82 GP Alexander Kerfoot ARI · 45 P in 82 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0102030402015-16: 5 points515-162016-17: 0 points016-172017-18: 1 points117-182018-19: 2 points218-192019-20: 20 points2019-202020-21: 20 points2020-212021-22: 32 points3221-222022-23: 32 points3222-232023-24: 46 points4623-242024-25: 41 points4124-252025-26: 15 points1525-262026-27: 4 points426-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2015-16 OTT 24 2 3 5 -3 6 28 43 0.21 $670K
2016-17 OTT 1 0 0 0 -2 0 4 3 0.00 $670K
2017-18 OTT 11 1 0 1 -4 0 11 16 0.09 $670K
2018-19 OTT 20 1 1 2 -10 4 30 28 0.10 $650K
2019-20 OTT 56 9 11 20 0 24 103 122 0.36 $750K
2020-21 OTT 56 5 15 20 5 19 105 74 0.36 $1.35M
2021-22 OTT 59 11 7 18 -18 22 131 67 0.31 $1.35M
2021-22 TBL 21 5 9 14 4 17 35 39 0.67
2022-23 TBL 80 17 15 32 11 33 120 111 0.40 $3.15M
2023-24 TBL 82 24 22 46 -16 27 153 104 0.56 $3.15M
2024-25 TBL 76 22 19 41 13 30 141 66 0.54 $3.15M
2025-26 TBL 51 7 8 15 -15 32 68 75 0.29 $3.15M
2026-27 TOR 6 1 3 4 -1 4 7 11 0.67 $3.15M
12 seasons Career 543 105 113 218 -36 218 936 759 0.40

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2021-22 TBL 23 5 4 9 0 6 44 56 0.39
2022-23 TBL 6 1 0 1 -1 2 8 20 0.17
2023-24 TBL 5 2 0 2 -4 6 14 16 0.40
2024-25 TBL 5 2 0 2 -4 2 12 18 0.40
2025-26 TBL 6 0 0 0 -2 4 7 21 0.00
5 seasons Playoffs 45 10 4 14 -11 20 85 131 0.31

2023-24 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
82 24 22 46 -16 27 153 104 0.56 15.7 17:16

Contract

$3.15MCap hitends in 2029, then UFA
$68KCap dollars per point46 points in 82 games
$702KCap dollars per goal above replacement4.5 goals above replacement
$4.1MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$957KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 718 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Tampa Bay Lightning on Jul 1, 2022, as an extension of the contract he was on: 7 years and $22.05M, beginning in 2022-23. It runs through 2028-29, with 5 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2022-23 $3.15M $750K $3.4M $4.15M NTC
2023-24 $3.15M $2.15M $2M $4.15M NTC
2024-25 $3.15M $3.25M $0 $3.25M NTC
2025-26 $3.15M $3M $0 $3M NTC
2026-27 $3.15M $1.5M $1M $2.5M M-NTC
2027-28 $3.15M $1.5M $1M $2.5M M-NTC
2028-29 $3.15M $1.5M $1M $2.5M M-NTC

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 1, 2022 Tampa Bay Lightning Extension 2022-23 to 2028-29 7 $22.05M $3.15M
Oct 14, 2020 Ottawa Senators New contract 2020-21 to 2021-22 2 $2.7M $1.35M
Jul 2, 2019 Ottawa Senators New contract 2019-20 to 2019-20 1 $750K $750K
Jul 16, 2018 Ottawa Senators New contract 2018-19 to 2018-19 1 $650K $650K
Dec 21, 2014 Ottawa Senators Entry-level 2015-16 to 2017-18 signed for 2014-15, slid 3 $2.683M $670K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2023-24 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2023-24 analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

+4.5Goals above replacement239th of 721 skaters, 179th of 469 forwards
+0.7Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+0.6Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 469 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-1.1 39th percentileEven-strength defence+0.1 45th percentilePower play+0.8 84th percentilePenalty kill+0.2 80th percentilePenalties+0.5 61st percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

-202462015-162017-182019-202021-222023-242025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

50.0Corsi for %1018 attempts for, 1018 against
-0.4CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
49.8Expected goals for %42.0 expected for, 42.4 against
-1.7xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
49.7Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
44.2Goals for %46 for, 58 against
98.4PDO9.5% shooting + 88.9% saves
207Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 616 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Nick Paul · Anthony Cirelli · Brandon Hagel23134:5354.654.110-9
Nick Paul · Michael Eyssimont · Mitchell Chaffee1695:5650.046.35-4
Nikita Kucherov · Nick Paul · Brayden Point2993:3946.447.16-3
Steven Stamkos · Nick Paul · Conor Sheary1580:4549.757.35-1

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

23Goalsnot counting empty-netters
20.0Expected goalsfrom 219 unblocked attempts
+3.0Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.85 expected goals per 60 minutes61st
Shot quality 9.1% chance per attempt88th
Finishing +3.0 goals above expected78thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 438 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

05101520Game 20Game 40Game 60Game 80Goals 23Expected 20.0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. Darker red means more attempts from that spot, and each dot is a goal. "Show every shot" switches to a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 17, 2024 vs TOR W 6-4 1 1 2 1 0 4 1 22:03
Apr 15, 2024 vs BUF L 2-4 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 19:55
Apr 13, 2024 @ WSH L 2-4 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 15:45
Apr 11, 2024 vs OTT L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 2 1 0 17:40
Apr 9, 2024 vs CBJ W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 19:49
Apr 6, 2024 @ PIT L 4-5 1 0 1 -2 0 4 1 21:54
Apr 4, 2024 @ MTL W 7-4 2 0 2 1 0 3 1 21:20
Apr 3, 2024 @ TOR W 4-1 1 0 1 1 0 4 5 16:57
Apr 1, 2024 vs DET L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 18:03
Mar 30, 2024 vs NYI W 4-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 17:15
Mar 27, 2024 vs BOS W 3-1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 12:05
Mar 24, 2024 @ ANA W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 16:17
Mar 23, 2024 @ LAK L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 16:33
Mar 21, 2024 @ SJS W 4-1 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 16:12
Mar 19, 2024 @ VGK W 5-3 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 14:13
Mar 16, 2024 @ FLA W 5-3 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 14:05
Mar 14, 2024 vs NYR W 6-3 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 13:54
Mar 9, 2024 vs PHI W 7-0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 14:24
Mar 7, 2024 vs CGY L 3-6 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 15:31
Mar 2, 2024 vs MTL W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 12:53
Feb 29, 2024 vs BUF L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 15:52
Feb 27, 2024 @ PHI L 2-6 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 18:08
Feb 25, 2024 @ NJD W 4-1 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 13:52
Feb 24, 2024 @ NYI W 4-2 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 15:06
Feb 22, 2024 vs WSH L 3-5 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 12:10
Feb 19, 2024 vs OTT L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 15:49
Feb 17, 2024 vs FLA L 2-9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15:30
Feb 15, 2024 vs COL W 6-3 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 09:37
Feb 13, 2024 @ BOS W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 17:16
Feb 10, 2024 @ CBJ W 4-2 1 1 2 1 0 2 0 15:10
Feb 8, 2024 @ NYI L 2-6 0 0 0 -2 2 1 2 15:52
Feb 7, 2024 @ NYR L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 18:38
Jan 27, 2024 vs NJD W 6-3 1 1 2 0 0 2 3 19:50
Jan 25, 2024 vs ARI W 6-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 17:49
Jan 23, 2024 @ PHI W 6-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14:45
Jan 21, 2024 @ DET L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 17:11
Jan 20, 2024 @ BUF W 3-1 1 1 2 2 0 2 2 18:29
Jan 18, 2024 vs MIN W 7-3 0 0 0 -2 2 2 0 16:53
Jan 13, 2024 vs ANA W 5-1 0 1 1 2 0 4 1 17:54
Jan 11, 2024 vs NJD W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 21:51
Jan 9, 2024 vs LAK W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 -2 0 4 2 16:15
Jan 6, 2024 @ BOS L 3-7 0 0 0 -3 0 3 3 21:50
Jan 4, 2024 @ MIN W 4-1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 18:25
Jan 2, 2024 @ WPG L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 15:52
Dec 31, 2023 vs MTL W 4-3 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 20:29
Dec 30, 2023 vs NYR L 1-5 0 1 1 -1 0 3 1 19:21
Dec 27, 2023 vs FLA L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 21:08
Dec 23, 2023 @ WSH W 2-1 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 19:41
Dec 21, 2023 vs VGK W 5-4 1 2 3 1 0 1 3 17:53
Dec 19, 2023 vs STL W 6-1 1 2 3 2 0 3 1 17:59
Dec 16, 2023 @ CGY L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 3 3 21:04
Dec 14, 2023 @ EDM W 7-4 0 1 1 2 0 0 2 20:57
Dec 12, 2023 @ VAN L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 18:24
Dec 9, 2023 @ SEA W 4-3 (OT) 1 0 1 1 2 5 1 22:07
Dec 7, 2023 @ NSH L 1-5 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 20:10
Dec 6, 2023 vs PIT W 3-1 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 13:47
Dec 4, 2023 vs DAL W 4-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 17:16
Dec 2, 2023 @ DAL L 1-8 0 0 0 -1 0 4 1 16:39
Nov 30, 2023 vs PIT L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14:44
Nov 28, 2023 @ ARI L 1-3 0 0 0 -2 0 3 0 16:54
Nov 27, 2023 @ COL L 1-4 0 0 0 -2 0 6 0 19:12
Nov 24, 2023 @ CAR W 8-2 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 16:45
Nov 22, 2023 vs WPG L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 15:40
Nov 20, 2023 vs BOS W 5-4 (OT) 1 0 1 -1 0 1 1 18:04
Nov 18, 2023 vs EDM W 6-4 0 1 1 -1 0 0 2 18:06
Nov 16, 2023 @ CHI W 4-2 0 0 0 1 2 1 2 16:45
Nov 14, 2023 @ STL L 0-5 0 0 0 -5 0 1 1 18:24
Nov 11, 2023 vs CAR L 0-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 19:29
Nov 9, 2023 vs CHI L 3-5 0 0 0 -2 2 0 0 16:52
Nov 7, 2023 @ MTL W 5-3 2 0 2 0 0 4 0 19:32
Nov 6, 2023 @ TOR L 5-6 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 4 7 18:24
Nov 4, 2023 @ OTT W 6-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 18:19
Nov 2, 2023 @ CBJ L 2-4 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 18:55
Oct 30, 2023 vs SEA L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 2 1 0 14:43
Oct 26, 2023 vs SJS W 6-0 1 0 1 2 0 3 0 19:52
Oct 24, 2023 vs CAR W 3-0 1 0 1 1 5 2 0 13:36
Oct 21, 2023 vs TOR L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 16:07
Oct 19, 2023 vs VAN W 4-3 1 1 2 0 0 2 0 16:49
Oct 17, 2023 @ BUF L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 15:38
Oct 15, 2023 @ OTT L 2-5 0 0 0 -3 0 3 2 12:27
Oct 14, 2023 @ DET L 4-6 0 0 0 -2 0 2 5 20:03
Oct 10, 2023 vs NSH W 5-3 2 1 3 1 0 3 2 16:12