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Nick Paul

#20 · Left wing · Toronto Maple Leafs

Born Mar 20, 1995 in Mississauga, Ontario, CAN (age 31) · 6'3", 225 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 101st overall in 2013 by DAL (round 4)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2024-25. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Stefan Noesen NJD · 41 P in 78 GP Bobby Brink PHI · 41 P in 79 GP Ryan Strome ANA · 41 P in 82 GP Fabian Zetterlund OTT · 41 P in 84 GP Alex Laferriere LAK · 42 P in 77 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0102030402015-16: 5 points515-162016-17: 0 points016-172017-18: 1 points117-182018-19: 2 points218-192019-20: 20 points2019-202020-21: 20 points2020-212021-22: 32 points3221-222022-23: 32 points3222-232023-24: 46 points4623-242024-25: 41 points4124-252025-26: 15 points1525-262026-27: 4 points426-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2015-16 OTT 24 2 3 5 -3 6 28 43 0.21 $670K
2016-17 OTT 1 0 0 0 -2 0 4 3 0.00 $670K
2017-18 OTT 11 1 0 1 -4 0 11 16 0.09 $670K
2018-19 OTT 20 1 1 2 -10 4 30 28 0.10 $650K
2019-20 OTT 56 9 11 20 0 24 103 122 0.36 $750K
2020-21 OTT 56 5 15 20 5 19 105 74 0.36 $1.35M
2021-22 OTT 59 11 7 18 -18 22 131 67 0.31 $1.35M
2021-22 TBL 21 5 9 14 4 17 35 39 0.67
2022-23 TBL 80 17 15 32 11 33 120 111 0.40 $3.15M
2023-24 TBL 82 24 22 46 -16 27 153 104 0.56 $3.15M
2024-25 TBL 76 22 19 41 13 30 141 66 0.54 $3.15M
2025-26 TBL 51 7 8 15 -15 32 68 75 0.29 $3.15M
2026-27 TOR 6 1 3 4 -1 4 7 11 0.67 $3.15M
12 seasons Career 543 105 113 218 -36 218 936 759 0.40

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2021-22 TBL 23 5 4 9 0 6 44 56 0.39
2022-23 TBL 6 1 0 1 -1 2 8 20 0.17
2023-24 TBL 5 2 0 2 -4 6 14 16 0.40
2024-25 TBL 5 2 0 2 -4 2 12 18 0.40
2025-26 TBL 6 0 0 0 -2 4 7 21 0.00
5 seasons Playoffs 45 10 4 14 -11 20 85 131 0.31

2024-25 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
76 22 19 41 13 30 141 66 0.54 15.6 16:27

Contract

$3.15MCap hitends in 2029, then UFA
$77KCap dollars per point41 points in 76 games
$985KCap dollars per goal above replacement3.2 goals above replacement
$3.2MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$100KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 698 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Tampa Bay Lightning on Jul 1, 2022, as an extension of the contract he was on: 7 years and $22.05M, beginning in 2022-23. It runs through 2028-29, with 4 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2022-23 $3.15M $750K $3.4M $4.15M NTC
2023-24 $3.15M $2.15M $2M $4.15M NTC
2024-25 $3.15M $3.25M $0 $3.25M NTC
2025-26 $3.15M $3M $0 $3M NTC
2026-27 $3.15M $1.5M $1M $2.5M M-NTC
2027-28 $3.15M $1.5M $1M $2.5M M-NTC
2028-29 $3.15M $1.5M $1M $2.5M M-NTC

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 1, 2022 Tampa Bay Lightning Extension 2022-23 to 2028-29 7 $22.05M $3.15M
Oct 14, 2020 Ottawa Senators New contract 2020-21 to 2021-22 2 $2.7M $1.35M
Jul 2, 2019 Ottawa Senators New contract 2019-20 to 2019-20 1 $750K $750K
Jul 16, 2018 Ottawa Senators New contract 2018-19 to 2018-19 1 $650K $650K
Dec 21, 2014 Ottawa Senators Entry-level 2015-16 to 2017-18 signed for 2014-15, slid 3 $2.683M $670K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2024-25 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2024-25 analytics

Regular season Playoffs

Rating

+3.2Goals above replacement301st of 698 skaters, 203rd of 456 forwards
+0.5Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-0.3Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 456 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-1.4 32nd percentileEven-strength defence+0.8 63rd percentilePower play-0.5 19th percentilePenalty kill+0.5 93rd percentilePenalties+0.3 53rd percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

-202462015-162017-182019-202021-222023-242025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

49.1Corsi for %954 attempts for, 989 against
-1.8CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
50.8Expected goals for %41.3 expected for, 40.1 against
-2.0xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
48.9Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
57.3Goals for %43 for, 32 against
103.5PDO10.0% shooting + 93.5% saves
216Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 598 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Nick Paul · Anthony Cirelli · Brandon Hagel43198:0252.661.38-4
Nick Paul · Mitchell Chaffee · Gage Goncalves20111:2546.343.64-1
Nick Paul · Michael Eyssimont · Mitchell Chaffee16105:5242.139.62-2
Jake Guentzel · Nick Paul · Brayden Point2451:1958.954.73-1

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

20Goalsnot counting empty-netters
15.6Expected goalsfrom 193 unblocked attempts
+4.4Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.75 expected goals per 60 minutes50th
Shot quality 8.1% chance per attempt57th
Finishing +4.4 goals above expected87thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 428 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

05101520Game 20Game 40Game 60Goals 20Expected 15.6

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. Darker red means more attempts from that spot, and each dot is a goal. "Show every shot" switches to a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 17, 2025 @ NYR L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 16:25
Apr 15, 2025 vs FLA W 5-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 18:37
Apr 13, 2025 vs BUF W 7-4 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 13:16
Apr 11, 2025 vs DET L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 18:20
Apr 9, 2025 vs TOR L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 17:35
Apr 7, 2025 @ NYR W 5-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 17:06
Apr 5, 2025 @ BUF L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 17:29
Apr 3, 2025 @ OTT L 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 16:51
Apr 1, 2025 @ NYI W 4-1 1 0 1 1 0 4 1 17:56
Mar 29, 2025 vs NYI W 5-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 16:45
Mar 27, 2025 vs UTA W 8-0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 20:12
Mar 25, 2025 vs PIT W 6-1 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 17:51
Mar 23, 2025 @ VGK L 2-4 1 0 1 1 0 4 2 12:10
Mar 22, 2025 @ UTA L 4-6 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 16:28
Mar 20, 2025 @ DAL W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 17:24
Mar 17, 2025 vs PHI W 2-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 13:31
Mar 15, 2025 @ BOS W 6-2 1 1 2 3 0 4 1 13:58
Mar 13, 2025 @ PHI L 3-4 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 16:38
Mar 11, 2025 @ CAR L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 12:55
Mar 8, 2025 vs BOS L 0-4 0 0 0 -2 0 2 0 18:08
Mar 6, 2025 vs BUF W 6-5 1 1 2 2 0 2 0 15:42
Mar 4, 2025 vs CBJ W 6-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14:32
Mar 3, 2025 @ FLA L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 16:38
Mar 1, 2025 @ WSH W 3-1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 16:44
Feb 27, 2025 vs CGY W 3-0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 14:17
Feb 25, 2025 vs EDM W 4-1 1 0 1 1 0 3 0 16:53
Feb 23, 2025 vs SEA W 4-1 1 0 1 1 0 1 2 16:45
Feb 9, 2025 @ MTL W 5-3 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 18:22
Feb 8, 2025 @ DET W 6-3 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 17:11
Feb 6, 2025 vs OTT W 5-1 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 19:09
Feb 4, 2025 vs OTT W 4-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01:17
Feb 1, 2025 vs NYI L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 19:47
Jan 30, 2025 vs LAK W 3-0 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 14:58
Jan 28, 2025 vs CHI L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 18:06
Jan 25, 2025 @ DET L 0-2 0 0 0 -1 0 2 3 21:29
Jan 24, 2025 @ CHI W 4-3 (OT) 1 0 1 1 0 3 1 17:12
Jan 21, 2025 @ MTL L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 17:31
Jan 20, 2025 @ TOR L 3-5 2 0 2 1 0 5 1 18:24
Jan 18, 2025 vs DET W 5-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 14:18
Jan 16, 2025 vs ANA W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16:47
Jan 14, 2025 @ BOS L 2-6 0 1 1 -2 0 5 2 16:24
Jan 12, 2025 @ PIT W 5-2 1 0 1 1 0 1 3 17:43
Jan 11, 2025 @ NJD L 2-3 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 2 2 0 14:50
Jan 9, 2025 vs BOS W 4-1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 14:14
Jan 7, 2025 vs CAR W 3-2 1 0 1 -1 0 2 1 15:52
Jan 5, 2025 @ ANA L 1-4 0 0 0 -2 0 3 0 17:36
Jan 4, 2025 @ LAK L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 17:55
Jan 2, 2025 @ SJS L 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 15:17
Dec 29, 2024 vs MTL L 2-5 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 15:34
Dec 28, 2024 vs NYR W 6-2 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 17:15
Dec 23, 2024 @ FLA W 4-0 0 1 1 0 10 1 1 15:50
Dec 22, 2024 vs FLA L 2-4 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 14:22
Dec 19, 2024 vs STL W 3-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 15:09
Dec 17, 2024 vs CBJ W 5-3 1 2 3 2 0 2 0 18:12
Dec 14, 2024 @ SEA W 5-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15:16
Dec 12, 2024 @ CGY W 8-3 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 16:19
Dec 10, 2024 @ EDM L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 19:27
Dec 8, 2024 @ VAN W 4-2 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 18:59
Dec 5, 2024 vs SJS W 8-1 1 0 1 1 2 5 1 19:07
Nov 19, 2024 @ PIT W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 10:38
Nov 16, 2024 vs NJD W 4-0 1 0 1 2 0 1 1 20:01
Nov 14, 2024 vs WPG W 4-1 0 1 1 1 0 3 2 16:30
Nov 7, 2024 vs PHI L 1-2 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 20:51
Nov 5, 2024 @ STL L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19:30
Nov 3, 2024 @ WPG L 4-7 0 1 1 -3 0 0 4 20:57
Nov 1, 2024 @ MIN L 3-5 1 0 1 -2 0 1 0 13:07
Oct 30, 2024 @ COL W 5-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 17:34
Oct 28, 2024 vs NSH W 3-2 (OT) 1 0 1 1 0 2 1 13:33
Oct 26, 2024 vs WSH W 3-0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 16:22
Oct 24, 2024 vs MIN L 2-4 0 1 1 0 2 1 0 13:33
Oct 22, 2024 @ NJD W 8-5 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 16:18
Oct 21, 2024 @ TOR L 2-5 1 0 1 -1 0 2 4 15:24
Oct 19, 2024 @ OTT L 4-5 1 0 1 1 4 3 0 16:26
Oct 17, 2024 vs VGK W 4-3 0 0 0 -1 0 2 2 14:52
Oct 15, 2024 vs VAN W 4-1 0 2 2 2 0 3 0 15:31
Oct 11, 2024 @ CAR W 4-1 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 17:34