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Michael McCarron

#47 · Centre · Minnesota Wild

Born Mar 7, 1995 in Grosse Pointe, Michigan, USA (age 31) · 6'6", 232 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 25th overall in 2013 by MTL (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Adam Lowry WPG · 3 P in 4 GP Alexander Kerfoot NSH · 3 P in 4 GP Blake Coleman MIN · 3 P in 4 GP Bobby Brink MIN · 3 P in 4 GP Brayden Point TBL · 3 P in 4 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

051015202015-16: 2 points215-162016-17: 5 points516-172017-18: 1 points117-182020-21: 0 points020-212021-22: 14 points1421-222022-23: 4 points422-232023-24: 22 points2223-242024-25: 14 points1424-252025-26: 17 points1725-262026-27: 3 points326-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2015-16 MTL 20 1 1 2 -10 37 41 49 0.10 $863K
2016-17 MTL 31 1 4 5 -4 41 31 75 0.16 $863K
2017-18 MTL 18 0 1 1 -1 32 15 61 0.06 $863K
2020-21 NSH 6 0 0 0 1 16 3 12 0.00 $700K
2021-22 NSH 51 7 7 14 10 70 51 116 0.27 $750K
2022-23 NSH 32 2 2 4 -3 24 39 75 0.13 $750K
2023-24 NSH 70 12 10 22 4 100 94 142 0.31 $775K
2024-25 NSH 74 5 9 14 -21 102 80 149 0.19 $900K
2025-26 NSH 59 5 7 12 -15 73 86 165 0.20 $900K
2025-26 MIN 20 3 2 5 -1 20 23 40 0.25
2026-27 MIN 4 0 3 3 2 2 9 11 0.75 $3.333M
10 seasons Career 385 36 46 82 -38 517 472 895 0.21

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2016-17 MTL 1 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 0.00
2021-22 NSH 2 0 0 0 -3 2 5 2 0.00
2023-24 NSH 6 0 0 0 -3 2 7 9 0.00
2025-26 MIN 11 2 2 4 2 0 14 27 0.36
4 seasons Playoffs 20 2 2 4 -5 4 26 40 0.20

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
4 0 3 3 2 2 9 11 0.75 0.0 14:07

Contract

$3.333MCap hitends in 2032, then UFA
$1.111MCap dollars per point3 points in 4 games
$1.951MCap dollars per goal above replacement1.7 goals above replacement, projected
$2.4MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$892KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over the whole season: the games played so far, plus the games left at the rate of the last three seasons and this one. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 648 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Minnesota Wild on Jun 9, 2026, as a new contract: 6 years and $20M, beginning in 2026-27. It runs through 2031-32, with 5 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2026-27 $3.333M
2027-28 $3.333M
2028-29 $3.333M
2029-30 $3.333M
2030-31 $3.333M
2031-32 $3.333M

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jun 9, 2026 Minnesota Wild New contract 2026-27 to 2031-32 6 $20M $3.333M
Feb 16, 2024 Nashville Predators Extension 2024-25 to 2025-26 2 $1.8M $900K
Apr 16, 2023 Nashville Predators Extension 2023-24 to 2023-24 1 $775K $775K
Jul 28, 2021 Nashville Predators New contract 2021-22 to 2022-23 2 $1.5M $750K
Sep 23, 2020 Nashville Predators Extension 2020-21 to 2020-21 1 $700K $700K
Jul 27, 2019 Montreal Canadiens New contract 2019-20 to 2019-20 1 $700K $700K
Sep 10, 2018 Montreal Canadiens New contract 2018-19 to 2018-19 1 $874K $874K
Jul 14, 2013 Montreal Canadiens Entry-level 2015-16 to 2017-18 signed for 2013-14, slid 3 $3.413M $863K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 4 games (+0.5 goals above replacement), plus the 75 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+1.7Goals above replacement372nd of 648 skaters, 267th of 423 forwards
+0.3Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-1.3Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 423 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-2.2 14th percentileEven-strength defence+2.2 89th percentilePower play-0.1 44th percentilePenalty kill-0.2 15th percentilePenalties-1.0 5th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

-2-101232015-162017-182021-222023-242025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

50.7Corsi for %38 attempts for, 37 against
+2.7CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
49.4Expected goals for %1.7 expected for, 1.7 against
+4.5xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
50.0Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
75.0Goals for %3 for, 1 against
110.2PDO15.8% shooting + 94.4% saves
13Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Nick Foligno · Marcus Foligno · Michael McCarron319:5061.871.42-0
Marcus Foligno · Michael McCarron · Yakov Trenin16:3837.50.90-0
Michael McCarron · Yakov Trenin · Nico Sturm14:1355.650.60-1
Marcus Foligno · Michael McCarron · Nico Sturm13:3214.30.00-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.5Expected goalsfrom 11 unblocked attempts
-0.5Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.50 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 4.3% chance per attempt1st
Finishing -0.5 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.5Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 8, 2026 @ TBL L 2-3 0 0 0 -1 2 1 1 10:50
Oct 6, 2026 @ BUF L 2-3 (OT) 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 15:16
Oct 3, 2026 vs BOS W 4-1 0 1 1 1 0 4 2 16:58
Oct 1, 2026 @ NSH W 3-1 0 1 1 1 0 4 6 13:24