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Justin Bailey

#90 · Right wing · San Jose Sharks

Born Jul 1, 1995 in Buffalo, New York, USA · 6'4", 214 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 52nd overall in 2013 by BUF (round 2)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2023-24. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Tanner Jeannot TBL · 14 P in 55 GP Zemgus Girgensons BUF · 14 P in 63 GP Klim Kostin SJS · 14 P in 52 GP Jesper Boqvist BOS · 14 P in 47 GP Hudson Fasching NYI · 14 P in 45 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

05102015-16: 0 points015-162016-17: 4 points416-172017-18: 4 points417-182018-19: 1 points118-192019-20: 0 points019-202020-21: 0 points020-212021-22: 0 points021-222023-24: 14 points1423-24

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2015-16 BUF 8 0 0 0 -2 2 22 8 0.00 $670K
2016-17 BUF 32 2 2 4 0 4 36 27 0.13 $670K
2017-18 BUF 12 3 1 4 -2 2 19 19 0.33 $670K
2018-19 PHI 11 0 1 1 0 2 5 9 0.09 $715K
2019-20 VAN 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0.00 $750K
2020-21 VAN 3 0 0 0 -2 2 6 2 0.00 $750K
2021-22 VAN 14 0 0 0 -5 6 16 12 0.00 $750K
2023-24 SJS 59 5 9 14 -15 6 70 76 0.24 $775K
8 seasons Career 141 10 13 23 -26 24 175 157 0.16

2023-24 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
59 5 9 14 -15 6 70 76 0.24 7.1 11:17

Contract

$775KCap hitends in 2024, then UFA
$55KCap dollars per point14 points in 59 games
$260KCap dollars per goal above replacement3.0 goals above replacement
$3MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$2.2MValueworth less cap hit

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 718 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the San Jose Sharks on Nov 27, 2023, as a new contract: 1 year and $775K, beginning in 2023-24. It runs through 2023-24, so this is its last season, after which he is an unrestricted free agent. His next contract is already signed: an extension with the San Jose Sharks on Jun 30, 2024, 1 year and $775K at $775K a season, beginning in 2024-25.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2023-24 $775K $775K $0 $775K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jun 30, 2024 San Jose Sharks Extension not begun 2024-25 to 2024-25 1 $775K $775K
Nov 27, 2023 San Jose Sharks New contract 2023-24 to 2023-24 1 $775K $775K
Jan 6, 2023 Edmonton Oilers New contract 2022-23 to 2022-23 1 $750K $750K
Jul 28, 2021 Vancouver Canucks New contract 2021-22 to 2021-22 1 $750K $750K
Dec 17, 2020 Vancouver Canucks New contract 2020-21 to 2020-21 1 $750K $750K
Jul 4, 2019 Vancouver Canucks New contract 2019-20 to 2019-20 1 $750K $750K
Jul 15, 2018 Buffalo Sabres New contract 2018-19 to 2018-19 1 $715K $715K
Nov 2, 2014 Buffalo Sabres Entry-level 2015-16 to 2017-18 signed for 2014-15, slid 3 $2.683M $670K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2023-24 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2023-24 analytics

Rating

+3.0Goals above replacement304th of 721 skaters, 224th of 469 forwards
+0.5Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+1.1Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 469 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-2.3 23rd percentileEven-strength defence+2.0 83rd percentilePower play0.0 64th percentilePenalty kill+0.0 55th percentilePenalties+1.4 82nd percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

-2-101232015-162016-172017-182018-192019-202020-212021-222023-24Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

49.4Corsi for %618 attempts for, 632 against
+5.7CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
41.3Expected goals for %19.0 expected for, 27.0 against
+0.3xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
47.3Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
37.7Goals for %20 for, 33 against
96.8PDO7.2% shooting + 89.6% saves
132Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 616 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Justin Bailey · Ryan Carpenter · Filip Zadina1764:4949.437.53-2
Justin Bailey · Nico Sturm · Thomas Bordeleau1053:3256.659.62-3
Mike Hoffman · Justin Bailey · Luke Kunin1045:3240.332.60-1
Justin Bailey · Luke Kunin · William Eklund940:3548.337.00-3

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

5Goalsnot counting empty-netters
5.0Expected goalsfrom 101 unblocked attempts
+0.0Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.45 expected goals per 60 minutes6th
Shot quality 4.9% chance per attempt1st
Finishing +0.0 goals above expected52ndOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 438 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

012345Game 20Game 40Goals 5Expected 5.0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 13, 2024 vs MIN L 2-6 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 12:00
Apr 11, 2024 @ SEA W 3-1 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 07:52
Apr 9, 2024 vs CGY L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 12:31
Apr 7, 2024 vs ARI L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 12:12
Apr 6, 2024 vs STL W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 09:55
Apr 4, 2024 vs LAK L 1-2 0 0 0 -1 0 1 5 13:06
Apr 1, 2024 vs SEA L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 16:45
Mar 30, 2024 @ STL W 4-0 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 13:05
Mar 28, 2024 @ MIN L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 13:24
Mar 26, 2024 vs DAL L 3-6 0 0 0 -1 0 3 2 12:33
Mar 23, 2024 vs CHI L 4-5 (OT) 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 13:25
Mar 21, 2024 vs TBL L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 15:14
Mar 19, 2024 @ NSH L 2-8 0 1 1 -3 0 0 2 13:42
Mar 17, 2024 @ CHI L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 12:02
Mar 16, 2024 @ CBJ L 2-4 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 09:41
Mar 14, 2024 @ PIT L 3-6 0 0 0 -3 0 0 0 05:22
Mar 12, 2024 @ PHI L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 06:33
Mar 9, 2024 vs OTT W 2-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 06:16
Mar 7, 2024 vs NYI L 2-7 0 0 0 -1 0 2 1 14:10
Mar 5, 2024 vs DAL L 6-7 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 1 6 14:46
Mar 3, 2024 @ MIN L 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 11:11
Mar 2, 2024 @ DAL L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 3 3 11:54
Feb 29, 2024 vs ANA L 4-6 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 08:53
Feb 27, 2024 vs NJD L 2-7 1 0 1 -1 0 3 0 07:56
Feb 24, 2024 vs NSH L 2-4 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 06:06
Feb 19, 2024 vs VGK L 0-4 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 09:37
Feb 17, 2024 vs CBJ L 3-4 0 0 0 -1 0 2 4 09:42
Feb 15, 2024 @ CGY W 6-3 1 2 3 1 0 1 2 09:57
Feb 14, 2024 @ WPG L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 09:33
Jan 31, 2024 @ ANA L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 11:46
Jan 30, 2024 vs SEA W 2-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 10:03
Jan 27, 2024 vs BUF L 2-5 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 08:47
Jan 23, 2024 vs NYR W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 06:04
Jan 22, 2024 @ LAK W 4-3 (SO) 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 09:07
Jan 20, 2024 vs ANA W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 08:07
Jan 16, 2024 @ CHI L 1-2 (SO) 0 1 1 1 0 2 3 10:40
Jan 15, 2024 @ BUF L 0-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 11:26
Jan 13, 2024 @ OTT L 4-5 0 0 0 -2 0 2 2 12:50
Jan 11, 2024 @ MTL W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 10:55
Jan 9, 2024 @ TOR L 1-7 0 0 0 -1 0 3 2 12:55
Jan 6, 2024 vs TOR L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 12:09
Jan 4, 2024 vs WPG L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 13:35
Jan 2, 2024 vs DET L 3-5 1 0 1 0 0 1 2 09:18
Dec 31, 2023 @ COL L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 09:37
Dec 28, 2023 vs EDM L 0-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 10:32
Dec 27, 2023 @ LAK L 1-5 0 0 0 -1 0 2 1 13:59
Dec 23, 2023 @ VAN L 4-7 0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 16:05
Dec 21, 2023 vs ARI L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 12:11
Dec 19, 2023 vs LAK L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 14:57
Dec 17, 2023 @ COL L 2-6 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 16:40
Dec 15, 2023 @ ARI L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 15:23
Dec 12, 2023 vs WPG W 2-1 1 0 1 1 0 2 2 10:48
Dec 10, 2023 @ VGK L 4-5 (SO) 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 10:37
Dec 7, 2023 @ DET W 6-5 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 2 3 1 14:10
Dec 5, 2023 @ NYI W 5-4 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 11:31
Dec 3, 2023 @ NYR L 5-6 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 14:05
Dec 1, 2023 @ NJD W 6-3 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 06:48
Nov 30, 2023 @ BOS L 0-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 09:27
Nov 27, 2023 vs WSH W 2-1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 11:39