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Justin Bailey

#90 · Right wing · San Jose Sharks

Born Jul 1, 1995 in Buffalo, New York, USA · 6'4", 214 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 52nd overall in 2013 by BUF (round 2)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2015-16. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Brody Sutter CAR · 0 P in 8 GP Ronalds Kenins VAN · 0 P in 8 GP Ben Street COL · 0 P in 7 GP Chandler Stephenson WSH · 0 P in 9 GP Kasperi Kapanen TOR · 0 P in 9 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

05102015-16: 0 points015-162016-17: 4 points416-172017-18: 4 points417-182018-19: 1 points118-192019-20: 0 points019-202020-21: 0 points020-212021-22: 0 points021-222023-24: 14 points1423-24

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2015-16 BUF 8 0 0 0 -2 2 22 8 0.00 $670K
2016-17 BUF 32 2 2 4 0 4 36 27 0.13 $670K
2017-18 BUF 12 3 1 4 -2 2 19 19 0.33 $670K
2018-19 PHI 11 0 1 1 0 2 5 9 0.09 $715K
2019-20 VAN 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0.00 $750K
2020-21 VAN 3 0 0 0 -2 2 6 2 0.00 $750K
2021-22 VAN 14 0 0 0 -5 6 16 12 0.00 $750K
2023-24 SJS 59 5 9 14 -15 6 70 76 0.24 $775K
8 seasons Career 141 10 13 23 -26 24 175 157 0.16

2015-16 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
8 0 0 0 -2 2 22 8 0.00 0.0 11:36

Contract

$670KCap hitends in 2018, then RFA
$645KCap dollars per goal above replacement1.0 goals above replacement

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up.

The contract

Signed by the Buffalo Sabres on Nov 2, 2014, as an entry-level contract: 3 years and $2.683M, beginning in 2015-16. It runs through 2017-18, with 2 seasons left after this one, and he is then a restricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2015-16 $670K $575K $93K $258K $668K
2016-17 $670K $600K $93K $233K $693K
2017-18 $670K $650K $0 $183K $650K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jun 30, 2024 San Jose Sharks Extension 2024-25 to 2024-25 1 $775K $775K
Nov 27, 2023 San Jose Sharks New contract 2023-24 to 2023-24 1 $775K $775K
Jan 6, 2023 Edmonton Oilers New contract 2022-23 to 2022-23 1 $750K $750K
Jul 28, 2021 Vancouver Canucks New contract 2021-22 to 2021-22 1 $750K $750K
Dec 17, 2020 Vancouver Canucks New contract 2020-21 to 2020-21 1 $750K $750K
Jul 4, 2019 Vancouver Canucks New contract 2019-20 to 2019-20 1 $750K $750K
Jul 15, 2018 Buffalo Sabres New contract 2018-19 to 2018-19 1 $715K $715K
Nov 2, 2014 Buffalo Sabres Entry-level 2015-16 to 2017-18 signed for 2014-15, slid 3 $2.683M $670K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2015-16 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2015-16 analytics

Rating

+1.0Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
+0.2Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+0.8Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence+0.3Even-strength defence+0.5Power play0.0Penalty kill0.0Penalties+0.0

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. He has played fewer than 20 games, too few to be ranked. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-2-101232015-162016-172017-182018-192019-202020-212021-222023-24Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

46.5Corsi for %80 attempts for, 92 against
-1.2CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
60.8Expected goals for %4.4 expected for, 2.9 against
+13.9xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
52.7Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
33.3Goals for %2 for, 4 against
92.0PDO3.8% shooting + 88.2% saves
27Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Evander Kane · Justin Bailey · Sam Reinhart430:1254.569.60-2
Jamie McGinn · Justin Bailey · Jack Eichel319:2031.647.81-0
David Legwand · Nicolas Deslauriers · Justin Bailey39:0650.041.30-0
Zemgus Girgensons · Justin Bailey · Sam Reinhart13:4062.5100.01-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
2.1Expected goalsfrom 25 unblocked attempts
-2.1Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 1.39 expected goals per 60 minutes99th
Shot quality 8.6% chance per attempt83rd
Finishing -2.1 goals above expected29thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 412 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.511.52Expected 2.1Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Feb 27, 2016 @ LAK L 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 07:22
Feb 26, 2016 @ SJS W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 14:04
Feb 24, 2016 @ ANA L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 12:03
Feb 21, 2016 vs PIT L 3-4 0 0 0 -1 0 2 3 11:55
Feb 16, 2016 @ OTT L 1-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 10:41
Feb 14, 2016 vs COL W 4-1 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 11:06
Feb 12, 2016 vs MTL W 6-4 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 13:44
Feb 11, 2016 @ PHI L 1-5 0 0 0 -2 0 7 1 11:54