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Dylan Larkin

#71 · Centre · Detroit Red Wings

Born Jul 30, 1996 in Waterford, Michigan, USA (age 30) · 6'1", 198 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 15th overall in 2014 by DET (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2020-21. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Jonathan Drouin MTL · 23 P in 44 GP Lars Eller WSH · 23 P in 44 GP Andreas Athanasiou LAK · 23 P in 47 GP Brendan Gallagher MTL · 23 P in 35 GP Gabriel Vilardi LAK · 23 P in 54 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02040602015-16: 45 points4515-162016-17: 32 points3216-172017-18: 63 points6317-182018-19: 73 points7318-192019-20: 53 points5319-202020-21: 23 points2320-212021-22: 69 points6921-222022-23: 79 points7922-232023-24: 69 points6923-242024-25: 70 points7024-252025-26: 67 points6725-262026-27: 2 points226-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2015-16 DET 80 23 22 45 11 34 221 65 0.56 $925K
2016-17 DET 80 17 15 32 -28 37 178 67 0.40 $925K
2017-18 DET 82 16 47 63 -9 61 232 76 0.77 $925K
2018-19 DET 76 32 41 73 -6 75 287 80 0.96 $6.1M
2019-20 DET 71 19 34 53 -21 39 223 52 0.75 $6.1M
2020-21 DET 44 9 14 23 -14 34 134 38 0.52 $6.1M
2021-22 DET 71 31 38 69 -18 47 212 76 0.97 $6.1M
2022-23 DET 80 32 47 79 -7 45 244 47 0.99 $6.1M
2023-24 DET 68 33 36 69 5 39 221 44 1.01 $8.7M
2024-25 DET 82 30 40 70 -16 40 234 44 0.85 $8.7M
2025-26 DET 74 34 33 67 3 48 229 46 0.91 $8.7M
2026-27 DET 3 1 1 2 -1 4 9 0 0.67 $8.7M
12 seasons Career 811 277 368 645 -101 503 2424 635 0.80

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2015-16 DET 5 1 0 1 -2 18 10 9 0.20
1 season Playoffs 5 1 0 1 -2 18 10 9 0.20

2020-21 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
44 9 14 23 -14 34 134 38 0.52 6.7 20:24

Contract

$6.1MCap hitends in 2023, then UFA
$265KCap dollars per point23 points in 44 games
$3.889MCap dollars per goal above replacement1.6 goals above replacement
$2.3MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$3.8MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 633 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Detroit Red Wings on Aug 10, 2018, as a new contract: 5 years and $30.5M, beginning in 2018-19. It runs through 2022-23, with 2 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2018-19 $6.1M $5.75M $1M $6.75M
2019-20 $6.1M $7M $0 $7M
2020-21 $6.1M $4.75M $0 $4.75M
2021-22 $6.1M $6.75M $0 $6.75M
2022-23 $6.1M $5.25M $0 $5.25M NTC

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Mar 1, 2023 Detroit Red Wings Extension 2023-24 to 2030-31 8 $69.6M $8.7M
Aug 10, 2018 Detroit Red Wings New contract 2018-19 to 2022-23 5 $30.5M $6.1M
May 21, 2015 Detroit Red Wings Entry-level 2015-16 to 2017-18 3 $4.275M $925K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2020-21 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2020-21 analytics

Rating

+1.6Goals above replacement335th of 643 skaters, 229th of 430 forwards
+0.3Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-0.9Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 430 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+0.7 63rd percentileEven-strength defence-1.2 15th percentilePower play-0.7 9th percentilePenalty kill-0.1 18th percentilePenalties+0.4 62nd percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0510152015-162017-182019-202021-222023-242025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

48.4Corsi for %601 attempts for, 640 against
+3.2CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
48.1Expected goals for %26.3 expected for, 28.4 against
+1.8xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
47.2Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
36.2Goals for %17 for, 30 against
96.9PDO5.0% shooting + 91.9% saves
150Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 579 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Anthony Mantha · Dylan Larkin · Robby Fabbri14102:2943.346.75-5
Dylan Larkin · Robby Fabbri · Filip Zadina960:1350.057.01-3
Dylan Larkin · Filip Zadina · Mathias Brome647:2547.746.80-0
Tyler Bertuzzi · Anthony Mantha · Dylan Larkin846:3652.347.01-3

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

8Goalsnot counting empty-netters
12.6Expected goalsfrom 174 unblocked attempts
-4.6Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.84 expected goals per 60 minutes67th
Shot quality 7.2% chance per attempt23rd
Finishing -4.6 goals above expected4thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 411 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

0510Game 20Game 40Expected 12.6Goals 8

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. Darker red means more attempts from that spot, and each dot is a goal. "Show every shot" switches to a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 20, 2021 @ DAL L 2-5 1 0 1 1 7 4 0 19:02
Apr 19, 2021 @ DAL L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 21:22
Apr 17, 2021 vs CHI L 0-4 0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 20:04
Apr 15, 2021 vs CHI W 4-1 0 0 0 -1 0 2 1 17:39
Apr 12, 2021 @ CAR W 3-1 0 1 1 0 4 5 2 23:53
Apr 10, 2021 @ CAR W 5-4 (SO) 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 22:36
Apr 8, 2021 vs NSH L 1-7 0 0 0 -2 0 1 2 19:08
Apr 6, 2021 vs NSH L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 21:51
Apr 4, 2021 @ TBL W 5-1 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 18:47
Apr 3, 2021 @ TBL L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 19:13
Apr 1, 2021 @ FLA L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 20:16
Mar 30, 2021 @ FLA L 1-4 0 1 1 -2 0 3 1 18:37
Mar 28, 2021 vs CBJ W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 19:17
Mar 27, 2021 vs CBJ W 3-1 0 2 2 1 0 6 0 20:28
Mar 25, 2021 @ NSH L 1-7 0 0 0 -2 2 1 0 19:58
Mar 23, 2021 @ NSH L 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 21:10
Mar 20, 2021 vs DAL L 0-3 0 0 0 -1 2 1 0 19:05
Mar 18, 2021 vs DAL W 3-2 0 1 1 -1 0 2 0 18:37
Mar 16, 2021 vs CAR W 4-2 0 2 2 1 0 2 0 21:38
Mar 14, 2021 vs CAR L 1-2 0 0 0 -1 0 6 1 24:52
Mar 11, 2021 vs TBL W 6-4 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 20:45
Mar 9, 2021 vs TBL L 3-4 (OT) 1 0 1 0 0 7 1 18:54
Feb 25, 2021 vs NSH W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 16:47
Feb 23, 2021 vs NSH L 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 21:17
Feb 20, 2021 vs FLA W 2-1 0 1 1 1 0 4 1 22:29
Feb 19, 2021 vs FLA L 2-7 0 1 1 -2 2 2 0 16:19
Feb 17, 2021 vs CHI L 0-2 0 0 0 -1 0 2 3 17:48
Feb 15, 2021 vs CHI L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 22:06
Feb 13, 2021 @ NSH W 4-2 0 0 0 -1 0 8 0 19:06
Feb 11, 2021 @ NSH L 2-3 0 0 0 -1 0 5 0 22:40
Feb 9, 2021 @ FLA L 1-2 0 1 1 1 0 2 3 22:05
Feb 7, 2021 @ FLA W 4-1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 21:56
Feb 5, 2021 @ TBL L 1-3 0 0 0 0 2 3 2 17:32
Feb 3, 2021 @ TBL L 1-5 0 0 0 -3 0 0 0 16:07
Jan 31, 2021 vs FLA L 2-3 1 0 1 1 2 4 2 22:11
Jan 30, 2021 vs FLA L 2-3 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 5 0 22:43
Jan 28, 2021 @ DAL L 3-7 0 0 0 -2 0 2 0 20:19
Jan 26, 2021 @ DAL L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 17:04
Jan 24, 2021 @ CHI L 2-6 0 1 1 -1 0 3 2 21:22
Jan 22, 2021 @ CHI L 1-4 1 0 1 1 0 5 1 25:34
Jan 19, 2021 vs CBJ W 3-2 (OT) 0 2 2 0 0 4 0 22:06
Jan 18, 2021 vs CBJ L 2-3 0 0 0 0 5 6 1 21:33
Jan 16, 2021 vs CAR W 4-2 2 0 2 1 0 3 0 20:47
Jan 14, 2021 vs CAR L 0-3 0 0 0 -2 2 2 2 20:39