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Dylan Larkin

#71 · Centre · Detroit Red Wings

Born Jul 30, 1996 in Waterford, Michigan, USA (age 30) · 6'1", 198 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 15th overall in 2014 by DET (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2022-23. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Claude Giroux OTT · 79 P in 82 GP Alex Tuch BUF · 79 P in 74 GP John Tavares TOR · 80 P in 80 GP Nico Hischier NJD · 80 P in 81 GP Kyle Connor WPG · 80 P in 82 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02040602015-16: 45 points4515-162016-17: 32 points3216-172017-18: 63 points6317-182018-19: 73 points7318-192019-20: 53 points5319-202020-21: 23 points2320-212021-22: 69 points6921-222022-23: 79 points7922-232023-24: 69 points6923-242024-25: 70 points7024-252025-26: 67 points6725-262026-27: 2 points226-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2015-16 DET 80 23 22 45 11 34 221 65 0.56 $925K
2016-17 DET 80 17 15 32 -28 37 178 67 0.40 $925K
2017-18 DET 82 16 47 63 -9 61 232 76 0.77 $925K
2018-19 DET 76 32 41 73 -6 75 287 80 0.96 $6.1M
2019-20 DET 71 19 34 53 -21 39 223 52 0.75 $6.1M
2020-21 DET 44 9 14 23 -14 34 134 38 0.52 $6.1M
2021-22 DET 71 31 38 69 -18 47 212 76 0.97 $6.1M
2022-23 DET 80 32 47 79 -7 45 244 47 0.99 $6.1M
2023-24 DET 68 33 36 69 5 39 221 44 1.01 $8.7M
2024-25 DET 82 30 40 70 -16 40 234 44 0.85 $8.7M
2025-26 DET 74 34 33 67 3 48 229 46 0.91 $8.7M
2026-27 DET 3 1 1 2 -1 4 9 0 0.67 $8.7M
12 seasons Career 811 277 368 645 -101 503 2424 635 0.80

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2015-16 DET 5 1 0 1 -2 18 10 9 0.20
1 season Playoffs 5 1 0 1 -2 18 10 9 0.20

2022-23 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
80 32 47 79 -7 45 244 47 0.99 13.1 19:33

Contract

$6.1MCap hitends in 2023, then extended to 2031
$77KCap dollars per point79 points in 80 games
$633KCap dollars per goal above replacement9.6 goals above replacement
$7.7MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$1.6MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 695 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Detroit Red Wings on Aug 10, 2018, as a new contract: 5 years and $30.5M, beginning in 2018-19. It runs through 2022-23, so this is its last season, and his extension takes over. His next contract is already signed: an extension with the Detroit Red Wings on Mar 1, 2023, 8 years and $69.6M at $8.7M a season, beginning in 2023-24.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2018-19 $6.1M $5.75M $1M $6.75M
2019-20 $6.1M $7M $0 $7M
2020-21 $6.1M $4.75M $0 $4.75M
2021-22 $6.1M $6.75M $0 $6.75M
2022-23 $6.1M $5.25M $0 $5.25M NTC

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Mar 1, 2023 Detroit Red Wings Extension not begun 2023-24 to 2030-31 8 $69.6M $8.7M
Aug 10, 2018 Detroit Red Wings New contract 2018-19 to 2022-23 5 $30.5M $6.1M
May 21, 2015 Detroit Red Wings Entry-level 2015-16 to 2017-18 3 $4.275M $925K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2022-23 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2022-23 analytics

Rating

+9.6Goals above replacement79th of 696 skaters, 57th of 461 forwards
+1.6Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+5.3Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 461 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+3.3 82nd percentileEven-strength defence-0.9 29th percentilePower play+2.1 93rd percentilePenalty kill-0.1 26th percentilePenalties+0.8 69th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0510152015-162017-182019-202021-222023-242025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

49.3Corsi for %983 attempts for, 1009 against
+4.6CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
49.1Expected goals for %43.4 expected for, 44.9 against
+4.6xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
50.3Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
44.3Goals for %47 for, 59 against
97.7PDO8.5% shooting + 89.2% saves
269Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 613 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
David Perron · Dominik Kubalik · Dylan Larkin28173:4355.258.015-12
David Perron · Dylan Larkin · Lucas Raymond26120:3051.548.32-6
Tyler Bertuzzi · Dylan Larkin · Lucas Raymond18115:5553.154.83-5
Dylan Larkin · Pius Suter · Lucas Raymond17108:0753.848.14-4

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

29Goalsnot counting empty-netters
26.2Expected goalsfrom 342 unblocked attempts
+2.8Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 1.01 expected goals per 60 minutes77th
Shot quality 7.7% chance per attempt37th
Finishing +2.8 goals above expected78thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 446 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

01020Game 20Game 40Game 60Game 80Goals 29Expected 26.2

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. Darker red means more attempts from that spot, and each dot is a goal. "Show every shot" switches to a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 13, 2023 @ TBL L 0-5 0 0 0 -3 0 3 0 18:35
Apr 10, 2023 vs DAL L 1-6 0 1 1 -1 0 0 0 19:20
Apr 8, 2023 vs PIT L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 20:59
Apr 6, 2023 vs BUF L 6-7 (SO) 1 1 2 -2 2 3 1 20:33
Apr 4, 2023 @ MTL W 5-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 18:36
Apr 2, 2023 @ TOR W 5-2 3 0 3 4 2 5 1 18:32
Mar 31, 2023 @ WPG L 2-6 0 1 1 -2 0 1 0 15:09
Mar 30, 2023 vs CAR W 3-2 1 0 1 1 0 6 0 19:52
Mar 28, 2023 vs PIT W 7-4 1 2 3 3 2 4 0 20:20
Mar 25, 2023 @ PHI L 0-3 0 0 0 -2 0 2 0 22:10
Mar 23, 2023 vs STL L 3-4 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 21:24
Mar 21, 2023 @ STL W 3-2 (SO) 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 21:39
Mar 20, 2023 vs FLA L 2-5 1 0 1 0 2 1 1 17:09
Mar 18, 2023 vs COL L 1-5 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 18:30
Mar 14, 2023 @ NSH L 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 5 2 21:37
Mar 12, 2023 vs BOS W 5-3 1 2 3 2 0 3 1 18:16
Mar 11, 2023 @ BOS L 2-3 0 1 1 -1 2 3 4 20:24
Mar 8, 2023 vs CHI W 4-3 1 0 1 0 0 5 0 22:11
Mar 5, 2023 @ PHI L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 18:50
Mar 4, 2023 @ NYI L 1-4 1 0 1 -2 0 2 0 18:13
Mar 2, 2023 vs SEA L 4-5 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 21:28
Feb 28, 2023 @ OTT L 1-6 0 0 0 -3 2 0 1 15:38
Feb 27, 2023 @ OTT L 2-6 0 0 0 -1 2 5 1 17:15
Feb 25, 2023 vs TBL L 0-3 0 0 0 -2 0 6 0 21:57
Feb 23, 2023 vs NYR W 4-1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 20:53
Feb 21, 2023 @ WSH W 3-1 0 0 0 1 15 0 0 02:54
Feb 18, 2023 @ SEA L 2-4 1 0 1 -1 0 3 1 20:00
Feb 16, 2023 @ CGY W 5-2 0 3 3 -1 0 3 0 17:45
Feb 15, 2023 @ EDM W 5-4 (SO) 1 1 2 0 0 3 0 19:18
Feb 13, 2023 @ VAN W 6-1 2 0 2 1 0 5 0 17:38
Feb 11, 2023 vs VAN W 5-2 2 1 3 1 0 5 0 22:29
Feb 9, 2023 vs CGY W 2-1 1 0 1 -1 0 2 0 19:34
Feb 7, 2023 vs EDM L 2-5 0 1 1 0 0 4 0 21:53
Jan 27, 2023 @ NYI L 0-2 0 0 0 -1 0 4 0 21:01
Jan 26, 2023 @ MTL W 4-3 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 0 5 0 19:40
Jan 24, 2023 vs SJS W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 5 1 19:15
Jan 21, 2023 vs PHI L 1-2 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 21:04
Jan 19, 2023 @ VGK W 3-2 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 17:30
Jan 17, 2023 @ ARI L 3-4 (SO) 1 0 1 -2 0 4 0 18:33
Jan 16, 2023 @ COL L 3-6 0 1 1 0 2 1 3 16:57
Jan 14, 2023 vs CBJ L 3-4 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 18:29
Jan 12, 2023 vs TOR W 4-1 0 2 2 1 0 3 0 17:50
Jan 10, 2023 vs WPG W 7-5 1 1 2 0 0 3 1 20:31
Jan 7, 2023 @ TOR L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 19:56
Jan 6, 2023 vs FLA L 2-3 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 21:16
Jan 4, 2023 vs NJD L 1-5 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 16:33
Dec 31, 2022 vs OTT W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 19:25
Dec 29, 2022 @ BUF L 3-6 0 0 0 -3 0 1 1 16:28
Dec 28, 2022 @ PIT W 5-4 (OT) 1 0 1 0 0 5 0 20:27
Dec 21, 2022 vs TBL W 7-4 2 1 3 2 0 5 1 19:10
Dec 19, 2022 @ WSH L 3-4 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 20:49
Dec 17, 2022 vs OTT L 3-6 0 0 0 -1 2 2 0 20:58
Dec 13, 2022 vs CAR L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 11:33
Dec 10, 2022 @ DAL L 2-3 (OT) 1 0 1 1 0 5 1 20:40
Dec 8, 2022 @ FLA L 1-5 0 0 0 -2 0 4 0 17:38
Dec 6, 2022 @ TBL W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 18:28
Dec 4, 2022 @ CBJ W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 21:18
Dec 3, 2022 vs VGK L 1-4 0 1 1 -2 0 2 1 20:24
Nov 30, 2022 vs BUF L 4-5 (SO) 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 25:51
Nov 28, 2022 vs TOR L 2-4 0 1 1 0 0 4 0 19:28
Nov 25, 2022 vs ARI W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 9 0 21:10
Nov 23, 2022 vs NSH W 3-0 1 0 1 1 0 6 1 20:34
Nov 19, 2022 @ CBJ W 6-1 1 2 3 1 0 3 1 16:31
Nov 17, 2022 @ SJS W 7-4 0 2 2 3 0 3 0 17:44
Nov 15, 2022 @ ANA L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 7 1 23:32
Nov 12, 2022 @ LAK L 3-4 1 0 1 1 2 3 1 23:00
Nov 10, 2022 vs NYR L 2-8 0 1 1 -1 0 1 1 18:49
Nov 8, 2022 vs MTL L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 1 0 7 0 25:11
Nov 6, 2022 @ NYR W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 22:40
Nov 5, 2022 vs NYI W 3-0 0 1 1 0 2 1 1 18:57
Nov 3, 2022 vs WSH W 3-1 1 1 2 1 0 3 1 20:41
Oct 31, 2022 @ BUF L 3-8 1 0 1 -1 2 1 1 18:28
Oct 29, 2022 vs MIN W 2-1 0 2 2 0 0 3 1 21:05
Oct 27, 2022 @ BOS L 1-5 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 20:05
Oct 25, 2022 vs NJD L 2-6 1 0 1 -1 0 1 3 22:14
Oct 23, 2022 vs ANA W 5-1 1 1 2 0 0 5 1 18:55
Oct 21, 2022 @ CHI L 3-4 (OT) 1 0 1 -1 0 3 0 17:50
Oct 17, 2022 vs LAK L 4-5 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 23:19
Oct 15, 2022 @ NJD W 5-2 1 2 3 4 0 2 0 21:11
Oct 14, 2022 vs MTL W 3-0 0 1 1 1 0 4 1 20:18