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Dylan Larkin

#71 · Centre · Detroit Red Wings

Born Jul 30, 1996 in Waterford, Michigan, USA (age 30) · 6'1", 198 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 15th overall in 2014 by DET (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2023-24. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Matt Boldy MIN · 69 P in 75 GP Brock Nelson NYI · 69 P in 82 GP Jonathan Marchessault VGK · 69 P in 82 GP Ryan O'Reilly NSH · 69 P in 82 GP Jack Eichel VGK · 68 P in 63 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02040602015-16: 45 points4515-162016-17: 32 points3216-172017-18: 63 points6317-182018-19: 73 points7318-192019-20: 53 points5319-202020-21: 23 points2320-212021-22: 69 points6921-222022-23: 79 points7922-232023-24: 69 points6923-242024-25: 70 points7024-252025-26: 67 points6725-262026-27: 2 points226-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2015-16 DET 80 23 22 45 11 34 221 65 0.56 $925K
2016-17 DET 80 17 15 32 -28 37 178 67 0.40 $925K
2017-18 DET 82 16 47 63 -9 61 232 76 0.77 $925K
2018-19 DET 76 32 41 73 -6 75 287 80 0.96 $6.1M
2019-20 DET 71 19 34 53 -21 39 223 52 0.75 $6.1M
2020-21 DET 44 9 14 23 -14 34 134 38 0.52 $6.1M
2021-22 DET 71 31 38 69 -18 47 212 76 0.97 $6.1M
2022-23 DET 80 32 47 79 -7 45 244 47 0.99 $6.1M
2023-24 DET 68 33 36 69 5 39 221 44 1.01 $8.7M
2024-25 DET 82 30 40 70 -16 40 234 44 0.85 $8.7M
2025-26 DET 74 34 33 67 3 48 229 46 0.91 $8.7M
2026-27 DET 3 1 1 2 -1 4 9 0 0.67 $8.7M
12 seasons Career 811 277 368 645 -101 503 2424 635 0.80

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2015-16 DET 5 1 0 1 -2 18 10 9 0.20
1 season Playoffs 5 1 0 1 -2 18 10 9 0.20

2023-24 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
68 33 36 69 5 39 221 44 1.01 14.9 20:10

Contract

$8.7MCap hitends in 2031, then UFA
$126KCap dollars per point69 points in 68 games
$722KCap dollars per goal above replacement12.0 goals above replacement
$9.7MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$1MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 718 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Detroit Red Wings on Mar 1, 2023, as an extension of the contract he was on: 8 years and $69.6M, beginning in 2023-24. It runs through 2030-31, with 7 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2023-24 $8.7M $10M $0 $10M NTC
2024-25 $8.7M $11M $0 $11M NTC
2025-26 $8.7M $10M $0 $10M NTC
2026-27 $8.7M $8M $0 $8M NTC
2027-28 $8.7M $8M $0 $8M NTC
2028-29 $8.7M $8M $0 $8M M-NTC
2029-30 $8.7M $7.5M $0 $7.5M M-NTC
2030-31 $8.7M $7.1M $0 $7.1M M-NTC

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Mar 1, 2023 Detroit Red Wings Extension 2023-24 to 2030-31 8 $69.6M $8.7M
Aug 10, 2018 Detroit Red Wings New contract 2018-19 to 2022-23 5 $30.5M $6.1M
May 21, 2015 Detroit Red Wings Entry-level 2015-16 to 2017-18 3 $4.275M $925K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2023-24 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2023-24 analytics

Rating

+12.0Goals above replacement54th of 721 skaters, 42nd of 469 forwards
+2.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+8.2Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 469 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+4.8 88th percentileEven-strength defence-1.5 20th percentilePower play+2.7 96th percentilePenalty kill-0.7 5th percentilePenalties+2.9 98th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

0510152015-162017-182019-202021-222023-242025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

51.3Corsi for %1005 attempts for, 954 against
+6.3CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
49.5Expected goals for %42.8 expected for, 43.7 against
+4.6xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
51.7Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
52.4Goals for %55 for, 50 against
100.7PDO10.9% shooting + 89.8% saves
267Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 616 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Dylan Larkin · Alex DeBrincat · Lucas Raymond43304:4453.352.623-16
David Perron · Dylan Larkin · Lucas Raymond29203:5749.144.77-12
Patrick Kane · Dylan Larkin · Alex DeBrincat27150:1251.952.514-6
Dylan Larkin · Joseph Veleno · Lucas Raymond948:3150.044.21-3

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

31Goalsnot counting empty-netters
24.8Expected goalsfrom 309 unblocked attempts
+6.2Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 1.08 expected goals per 60 minutes89th
Shot quality 8.0% chance per attempt61st
Finishing +6.2 goals above expected92ndOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 438 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

0102030Game 20Game 40Game 60Goals 31Expected 24.8

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. Darker red means more attempts from that spot, and each dot is a goal. "Show every shot" switches to a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 16, 2024 @ MTL W 5-4 (SO) 0 1 1 1 0 5 1 22:58
Apr 15, 2024 vs MTL W 5-4 (OT) 0 1 1 3 0 4 0 23:29
Apr 13, 2024 @ TOR W 5-4 (OT) 1 1 2 0 0 5 1 24:51
Apr 11, 2024 @ PIT L 5-6 (OT) 1 2 3 1 0 3 3 22:41
Apr 9, 2024 vs WSH L 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 5 1 23:40
Apr 7, 2024 vs BUF W 3-1 1 0 1 1 0 3 0 20:53
Apr 5, 2024 vs NYR L 3-4 1 0 1 0 0 6 0 24:22
Apr 1, 2024 @ TBL W 4-2 0 2 2 2 0 7 0 20:31
Mar 30, 2024 @ FLA L 2-3 (SO) 1 0 1 -1 0 1 2 18:30
Mar 28, 2024 @ CAR L 0-4 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 20:04
Mar 26, 2024 @ WSH L 3-4 (OT) 0 1 1 -2 0 6 1 20:47
Mar 23, 2024 @ NSH L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 20:09
Mar 21, 2024 vs NYI W 6-3 2 0 2 2 0 3 2 16:32
Mar 2, 2024 vs FLA L 0-4 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 17:36
Feb 29, 2024 vs NYI L 3-5 0 1 1 -1 0 2 1 21:15
Feb 27, 2024 vs WSH W 8-3 1 1 2 3 0 2 0 18:29
Feb 25, 2024 @ CHI W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 19:51
Feb 24, 2024 vs STL W 6-1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 19:04
Feb 22, 2024 vs COL W 2-1 (OT) 1 1 2 1 0 2 0 21:46
Feb 19, 2024 @ SEA W 4-3 (OT) 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 19:34
Feb 17, 2024 @ CGY W 5-0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 18:27
Feb 15, 2024 @ VAN L 1-4 0 0 0 -3 0 3 0 20:55
Feb 13, 2024 @ EDM L 4-8 0 0 0 -3 0 2 2 16:39
Feb 10, 2024 vs VAN W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 4 0 1 18:04
Jan 31, 2024 vs OTT L 2-3 (OT) 1 0 1 1 0 3 0 20:08
Jan 27, 2024 vs VGK W 5-2 2 0 2 1 0 3 1 20:07
Jan 25, 2024 vs PHI W 3-0 1 0 1 2 0 3 0 19:45
Jan 23, 2024 vs DAL L 4-5 1 1 2 0 0 1 0 20:34
Jan 21, 2024 vs TBL W 2-1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 19:26
Jan 19, 2024 @ CAR L 2-4 0 1 1 -2 0 2 1 16:57
Jan 17, 2024 @ FLA W 3-2 (OT) 1 0 1 -2 0 4 0 21:49
Jan 14, 2024 @ TOR W 4-2 1 1 2 0 0 5 0 21:38
Jan 13, 2024 vs LAK W 5-3 2 0 2 1 0 4 0 19:42
Jan 11, 2024 vs EDM L 2-3 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 0 1 0 23:55
Jan 7, 2024 @ ANA W 3-2 1 0 1 -1 0 5 0 17:53
Jan 4, 2024 @ LAK W 4-3 (SO) 0 1 1 0 0 4 1 25:58
Jan 2, 2024 @ SJS W 5-3 0 0 0 1 2 3 0 20:17
Dec 31, 2023 vs BOS L 3-5 0 1 1 -4 0 4 0 20:03
Dec 29, 2023 vs NSH W 5-4 (OT) 1 0 1 -1 0 3 0 22:22
Dec 27, 2023 @ MIN L 3-6 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 20:21
Dec 23, 2023 @ NJD L 2-3 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 22:44
Dec 22, 2023 vs PHI W 7-6 (SO) 1 1 2 1 0 5 0 21:38
Dec 20, 2023 @ WPG L 2-5 0 1 1 -2 0 4 0 18:37
Dec 18, 2023 vs ANA L 3-4 0 1 1 -2 0 3 0 21:13
Dec 9, 2023 vs OTT L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 05:26
Dec 7, 2023 vs SJS L 5-6 (OT) 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 22:10
Dec 5, 2023 @ BUF W 5-3 2 0 2 2 0 4 1 16:30
Dec 2, 2023 @ MTL W 5-4 (OT) 0 1 1 0 2 4 0 21:41
Nov 26, 2023 vs MIN W 4-1 1 1 2 2 0 4 0 20:14
Nov 24, 2023 @ BOS W 5-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 1 21:45
Nov 22, 2023 vs NJD W 4-0 1 0 1 1 2 5 0 20:17
Nov 17, 2023 vs TOR L 2-3 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 19:33
Nov 16, 2023 @ OTT L 4-5 (OT) 0 0 0 -2 0 3 1 20:27
Nov 11, 2023 vs CBJ W 5-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 19:23
Nov 9, 2023 vs MTL L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 2 5 1 20:41
Nov 7, 2023 @ NYR L 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 19:19
Nov 4, 2023 vs BOS W 5-4 1 1 2 1 10 6 2 21:47
Nov 2, 2023 vs FLA L 0-2 0 0 0 -1 2 1 2 21:29
Oct 30, 2023 @ NYI W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 20:23
Oct 28, 2023 @ BOS L 1-4 0 0 0 -1 2 2 2 20:06
Oct 26, 2023 vs WPG L 1-4 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 20:34
Oct 24, 2023 vs SEA L 4-5 (OT) 1 2 3 0 2 3 1 21:52
Oct 22, 2023 vs CGY W 6-2 1 1 2 4 0 2 1 17:31
Oct 21, 2023 @ OTT W 5-2 1 2 3 0 2 3 1 19:41
Oct 18, 2023 vs PIT W 6-3 0 3 3 -1 7 4 1 16:47
Oct 16, 2023 @ CBJ W 4-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 0 19:53
Oct 14, 2023 vs TBL W 6-4 0 1 1 3 0 7 1 19:00
Oct 12, 2023 @ NJD L 3-4 0 1 1 -1 0 6 1 19:01