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Alex DeBrincat

#93 · Right wing · Detroit Red Wings

Born Dec 18, 1997 in Farmington Hills, Michigan, USA (age 28) · 5'8", 177 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 39th overall in 2016 by CHI (round 2)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Bo Horvat NYI · 5 P in 4 GP Mikael Granlund ANA · 5 P in 4 GP Parker Kelly COL · 5 P in 4 GP Tom Wilson WSH · 5 P in 4 GP Victor Olofsson VGK · 5 P in 4 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0204060802017-18: 52 points5217-182018-19: 76 points7618-192019-20: 45 points4519-202020-21: 56 points5620-212021-22: 78 points7821-222022-23: 66 points6622-232023-24: 67 points6723-242024-25: 70 points7024-252025-26: 85 points8525-262026-27: 5 points526-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2017-18 CHI 82 28 24 52 6 6 181 40 0.63 $778K
2018-19 CHI 82 41 35 76 0 15 220 35 0.93 $778K
2019-20 CHI 70 18 27 45 -10 15 207 58 0.64 $778K
2020-21 CHI 52 32 24 56 3 12 155 70 1.08 $6.4M
2021-22 CHI 82 41 37 78 -13 19 270 101 0.95 $6.4M
2022-23 OTT 82 27 39 66 -31 45 263 109 0.80 $6.4M
2023-24 DET 82 27 40 67 1 34 237 66 0.82 $7.875M
2024-25 DET 82 39 31 70 -13 29 244 33 0.85 $7.875M
2025-26 DET 82 41 44 85 8 19 287 38 1.04 $7.875M
2026-27 DET 4 2 3 5 2 4 11 5 1.25 $7.875M
10 seasons Career 700 296 304 600 -47 198 2075 555 0.86

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2019-20 CHI 9 2 4 6 4 9 27 13 0.67
1 season Playoffs 9 2 4 6 4 9 27 13 0.67

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
4 2 3 5 2 4 11 5 1.25 18.2 19:26

Contract

$7.875MCap hitends in 2027, then UFA
$1.575MCap dollars per point5 points in 4 games
$585KCap dollars per goal above replacement13.5 goals above replacement, projected
$13.6MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$5.8MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over the whole season: the games played so far, plus the games left at the rate of the last three seasons and this one. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 649 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Detroit Red Wings on Jul 9, 2023, as a new contract: 4 years and $31.5M, beginning in 2023-24. It runs through 2026-27, so this is its last season, after which he is an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2023-24 $7.875M $8.25M $0 $8.25M
2024-25 $7.875M $8.25M $0 $8.25M M-NTC
2025-26 $7.875M $8.25M $0 $8.25M M-NTC
2026-27 $7.875M $6.75M $0 $6.75M M-NTC

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 9, 2023 Detroit Red Wings New contract 2023-24 to 2026-27 4 $31.5M $7.875M
Oct 3, 2019 Chicago Blackhawks Extension 2020-21 to 2022-23 3 $19.2M $6.4M
Nov 7, 2016 Chicago Blackhawks Entry-level 2017-18 to 2019-20 signed for 2016-17, slid 3 $2.775M $778K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 4 games (+0.4 goals above replacement), plus the 80 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+13.5Goals above replacement23rd of 649 skaters, 15th of 423 forwards
+2.2Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+9.2Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 423 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+5.9 93rd percentileEven-strength defence-0.2 41st percentilePower play+1.8 92nd percentilePenalty kill+0.0 64th percentilePenalties+1.6 90th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

0510152017-182019-202021-222023-242025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

55.9Corsi for %52 attempts for, 41 against
-3.3CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
55.5Expected goals for %2.4 expected for, 1.9 against
-6.1xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
50.0Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
75.0Goals for %3 for, 1 against
108.7PDO13.0% shooting + 95.7% saves
17Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Alex DeBrincat · Emmitt Finnie · Michael Brandsegg-Nygård322:4861.059.61-1
Andrew Copp · Alex DeBrincat · Lucas Raymond221:5750.037.60-0
Alex DeBrincat · Carter Mazur · Nate Danielson21:49100.0100.01-0
J.T. Compher · Viktor Arvidsson · Alex DeBrincat10:440.00.00-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

1Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.8Expected goalsfrom 14 unblocked attempts
+0.2Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.62 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 5.8% chance per attempt1st
Finishing +0.2 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Goals 1Expected 0.8

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 9, 2026 vs SEA L 3-6 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 16:01
Oct 6, 2026 vs OTT W 5-3 2 1 3 2 4 3 0 18:45
Oct 4, 2026 vs WPG L 2-3 0 1 1 1 0 4 0 23:16
Oct 2, 2026 vs NYR L 0-2 0 0 0 -1 0 1 4 19:43