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Photo of Kieffer Bellows

Kieffer Bellows

#26 · Left wing · Free agent, last with the Nashville Predators

Born Jun 10, 1998 in Edina, Minnesota, USA · 6'1", 195 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 19th overall in 2016 by NYI (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2022-23. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Patric Hornqvist FLA · 3 P in 22 GP Ryan Carpenter NYR · 3 P in 22 GP Dryden Hunt TOR · 3 P in 37 GP Grigori Denisenko FLA · 3 P in 18 GP Zachary Sanford NSH · 3 P in 16 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0510152019-20: 3 points319-202020-21: 3 points320-212021-22: 19 points1921-222022-23: 3 points322-232024-25: 4 points424-25

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2019-20 NYI 8 2 1 3 3 2 11 12 0.38 $894K
2020-21 NYI 14 3 0 3 0 4 19 36 0.21 $894K
2021-22 NYI 45 6 13 19 -1 19 79 103 0.42 $750K
2022-23 NYI 1 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 0.00 $1.2M
2022-23 PHI 27 3 0 3 -7 6 32 45 0.11
2024-25 NSH 19 2 2 4 -6 6 28 35 0.21 $775K
5 seasons Career 114 16 16 32 -12 37 169 234 0.28

2022-23 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
28 3 0 3 -8 6 32 48 0.11 9.4 9:41

Contract

$1.2MCap hitends in 2023
$400KCap dollars per point3 points in 28 games
$426KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$774KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 695 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the New York Islanders on Aug 22, 2022, as a new contract: 1 year and $1.2M, beginning in 2022-23. It runs through 2022-23, so this is its last season.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2022-23 $1.2M $1.2M $0 $1.2M

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2025-26 to 2025-26 $775K
Jul 3, 2024 Nashville Predators New contract (two-way) 2024-25 to 2024-25 1 $775K $775K
Aug 22, 2022 New York Islanders New contract 2022-23 to 2022-23 1 $1.2M $1.2M
Oct 12, 2021 New York Islanders New contract 2021-22 to 2021-22 1 $750K $750K
Sep 22, 2017 New York Islanders Entry-level 2018-19 to 2020-21 signed for 2017-18, slid 3 $3.413M $894K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2022-23 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2022-23 analytics

Rating

-0.4Goals above replacement544th of 696 skaters, 373rd of 461 forwards
-0.1Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-1.2Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 461 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-1.8 27th percentileEven-strength defence+0.6 56th percentilePower play-0.3 36th percentilePenalty kill0.0 36th percentilePenalties+0.4 51st percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

-0.500.512019-202020-212021-222022-232024-25Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

43.6Corsi for %210 attempts for, 272 against
-5.1CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
43.3Expected goals for %8.0 expected for, 10.4 against
-1.5xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
47.3Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
30.0Goals for %6 for, 14 against
93.2PDO5.4% shooting + 87.8% saves
60Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Nicolas Deslauriers · Patrick Brown · Kieffer Bellows826:3427.919.81-2
Nicolas Deslauriers · Lukas Sedlak · Kieffer Bellows623:3855.163.00-0
Kieffer Bellows · Zack MacEwen · Morgan Frost521:3436.134.40-1
Kieffer Bellows · Owen Tippett · Morgan Frost419:4251.756.41-1

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

3Goalsnot counting empty-netters
1.9Expected goalsfrom 41 unblocked attempts
+1.1Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.43 expected goals per 60 minutes3rd
Shot quality 4.7% chance per attempt1st
Finishing +1.1 goals above expected67thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 446 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

0123Game 20Goals 3Expected 1.9

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 9, 2023 vs BOS L 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 02:16
Apr 2, 2023 @ PIT L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 04:45
Mar 30, 2023 @ OTT L 4-5 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 09:18
Mar 28, 2023 vs MTL W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 11:11
Mar 25, 2023 vs DET W 3-0 1 0 1 1 0 1 2 07:47
Mar 23, 2023 vs MIN W 5-4 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 07:54
Mar 14, 2023 vs VGK L 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 07:37
Mar 11, 2023 @ PIT L 1-5 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 07:00
Mar 9, 2023 @ CAR L 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 07:38
Feb 25, 2023 @ NJD L 0-7 0 0 0 -3 0 2 1 10:49
Feb 21, 2023 @ EDM L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 07:29
Feb 16, 2023 @ SEA L 2-6 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 11:57
Feb 9, 2023 vs EDM W 2-1 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 06:28
Feb 6, 2023 vs NYI L 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 06:18
Jan 28, 2023 @ WPG W 4-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 1 13:17
Dec 17, 2022 vs NYR L 3-6 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 10:09
Nov 29, 2022 vs NYI W 3-1 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 11:54
Nov 26, 2022 @ NYI L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 15:31
Nov 25, 2022 vs PIT L 1-4 0 0 0 -2 0 3 5 19:12
Nov 23, 2022 @ WSH L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 10:15
Nov 21, 2022 vs CGY L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 07:53
Nov 19, 2022 @ MTL L 4-5 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 2 0 1 07:07
Nov 15, 2022 @ CBJ L 4-5 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 09:23
Nov 13, 2022 vs DAL L 1-5 0 0 0 0 2 1 5 12:43
Nov 2, 2022 @ TOR L 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 14:26
Nov 1, 2022 @ NYR L 0-1 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11:57
Oct 29, 2022 vs CAR L 3-4 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 11:50
Oct 13, 2022 vs FLA L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 0 0 3 07:16