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Nathan Bastian

#11 · Right wing · Florida Panthers

Born Dec 6, 1997 in Kitchener, Ontario, CAN (age 28) · 6'4", 217 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 41st overall in 2016 by NJD (round 2)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2025-26. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Taylor Ward LAK · 7 P in 36 GP John Beecher CGY · 7 P in 35 GP Stefan Noesen NJD · 7 P in 38 GP Ville Koivunen PIT · 7 P in 39 GP Cole Schwindt FLA · 7 P in 29 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0510152018-19: 3 points318-192020-21: 10 points1020-212021-22: 18 points1821-222022-23: 15 points1522-232023-24: 12 points1223-242024-25: 10 points1024-252025-26: 7 points725-26

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2018-19 NJD 7 3 0 3 0 10 13 24 0.43 $714K
2020-21 NJD 41 3 7 10 0 21 46 136 0.24 $714K
2021-22 SEA 12 1 1 2 -1 31 10 16 0.17 $825K
2021-22 NJD 60 11 5 16 -11 34 87 194 0.27
2022-23 NJD 43 6 9 15 7 31 62 99 0.35 $825K
2023-24 NJD 54 5 7 12 -10 32 57 143 0.22 $1.35M
2024-25 NJD 59 4 6 10 -4 31 44 138 0.17 $1.35M
2025-26 DAL 36 6 1 7 4 21 25 85 0.19 $775K
7 seasons Career 312 39 36 75 -15 211 344 835 0.24

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2022-23 NJD 12 1 1 2 -1 16 13 26 0.17
2024-25 NJD 5 0 0 0 1 0 6 15 0.00
2 seasons Playoffs 17 1 1 2 0 16 19 41 0.12

2025-26 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
36 6 1 7 4 21 25 85 0.19 24.0 8:39

Contract

$775KCap hitends in 2026
$111KCap dollars per point7 points in 36 games
$70KWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$705KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 715 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Dallas Stars on Aug 9, 2025, as a new contract: 1 year and $775K, beginning in 2025-26. It runs through 2025-26, so this is its last season.

Season Cap hit
2025-26 $775K

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Sep 27, 2026 Florida Panthers New contract 2026-27 to 2026-27 1 $850K $850K
Aug 9, 2025 Dallas Stars New contract 2025-26 to 2025-26 1 $775K $775K
Jul 1, 2023 New Jersey Devils New contract 2023-24 to 2024-25 2 $2.7M $1.35M
Jun 15, 2021 New Jersey Devils New contract 2021-22 to 2022-23 2 $1.65M $825K
Oct 19, 2016 New Jersey Devils Entry-level 2018-19 to 2020-21 signed for 2016-17, slid 3 $2.9M $714K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2025-26 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2025-26 analytics

Rating

-0.8Goals above replacement588th of 715 skaters, 410th of 476 forwards
-0.1Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-1.7Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 476 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-0.7 41st percentileEven-strength defence-0.4 38th percentilePower play0.0 61st percentilePenalty kill0.0 34th percentilePenalties-0.6 16th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player.

-2-1012342018-192020-212021-222022-232023-242024-252025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

45.5Corsi for %226 attempts for, 271 against
-2.8CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
48.7Expected goals for %11.6 expected for, 12.2 against
-5.5xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
49.0Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
60.0Goals for %12 for, 8 against
104.1PDO10.6% shooting + 93.4% saves
43Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Colin Blackwell · Radek Faksa · Nathan Bastian1161:4646.551.74-4
Nathan Bastian · Oskar Bäck · Arttu Hyry850:2555.661.11-0
Radek Faksa · Nathan Bastian · Oskar Bäck527:1442.137.31-0
Radek Faksa · Adam Erne · Nathan Bastian826:1143.245.11-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

6Goalsnot counting empty-netters
4.2Expected goalsfrom 36 unblocked attempts
+1.8Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.80 expected goals per 60 minutes51st
Shot quality 11.6% chance per attempt99th
Finishing +1.8 goals above expected77thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 444 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

0246Game 20Goals 6Expected 4.2

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Mar 28, 2026 @ PIT W 6-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 04:02
Mar 26, 2026 @ NYI L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 08:32
Mar 22, 2026 vs VGK L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 08:43
Mar 21, 2026 @ MIN L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 09:16
Mar 18, 2026 @ COL W 2-1 (SO) 0 1 1 1 0 0 5 09:14
Mar 14, 2026 vs DET W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 07:33
Mar 8, 2026 vs CHI W 4-3 (OT) 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 11:32
Mar 6, 2026 vs COL L 4-5 (SO) 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 08:16
Mar 3, 2026 @ CGY W 6-1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 11:33
Mar 2, 2026 @ VAN W 6-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 13:50
Feb 28, 2026 vs NSH W 3-2 (OT) 1 0 1 1 0 3 4 08:33
Feb 25, 2026 vs SEA W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 09:29
Jan 22, 2026 @ CBJ L 0-1 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 07:37
Jan 20, 2026 vs BOS W 6-2 0 0 0 -1 5 0 2 09:27
Jan 12, 2026 @ LAK W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 09:11
Jan 7, 2026 @ WSH W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 08:35
Dec 27, 2025 vs CHI L 3-4 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 08:59
Dec 5, 2025 vs SJS W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 08:10
Dec 3, 2025 @ NJD W 3-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 10:50
Nov 26, 2025 @ SEA W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 06:32
Nov 25, 2025 @ EDM W 8-3 2 0 2 1 2 3 3 13:17
Nov 15, 2025 vs PHI W 5-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 12:47
Nov 13, 2025 @ MTL W 7-0 0 0 0 3 4 0 2 09:44
Nov 4, 2025 vs EDM W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 06:12
Nov 1, 2025 @ FLA L 3-4 (SO) 0 0 0 0 2 0 4 11:04
Oct 30, 2025 @ TBL L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 07:12
Oct 28, 2025 vs WSH W 1-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 08:04
Oct 26, 2025 @ NSH W 3-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 08:10
Oct 25, 2025 vs CAR W 3-2 0 0 0 -1 2 1 0 06:24
Oct 23, 2025 vs LAK L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 03:39
Oct 21, 2025 vs CBJ L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 08:33
Oct 18, 2025 @ STL L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 06:54
Oct 16, 2025 vs VAN L 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 07:49
Oct 14, 2025 vs MIN W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 06:39
Oct 11, 2025 @ COL W 5-4 (SO) 1 0 1 -1 0 2 3 07:04
Oct 9, 2025 @ WPG W 5-4 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 07:46