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Nolan Patrick

#41 · Centre · Vegas Golden Knights

Born Sep 19, 1998 in Winnipeg, Manitoba, CAN · 6'2", 201 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 2nd overall in 2017 by PHI (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2021-22. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Gabriel Vilardi LAK · 7 P in 25 GP Gregory Hofmann CBJ · 7 P in 24 GP Tyler Johnson CHI · 7 P in 26 GP Paul Byron MTL · 7 P in 27 GP Tommy Novak NSH · 7 P in 27 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

01020302017-18: 30 points3017-182018-19: 31 points3118-192020-21: 9 points920-212021-22: 7 points721-22

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2017-18 PHI 73 13 17 30 1 30 127 48 0.41 $925K
2018-19 PHI 72 13 18 31 -8 27 115 72 0.43 $925K
2020-21 PHI 52 4 5 9 -30 20 49 45 0.17 $874K
2021-22 VGK 25 2 5 7 1 6 34 26 0.28 $1.2M
4 seasons Career 222 32 45 77 -36 83 325 191 0.35

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2017-18 PHI 6 1 1 2 -5 0 16 6 0.33
1 season Playoffs 6 1 1 2 -5 0 16 6 0.33

2021-22 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
25 2 5 7 1 6 34 26 0.28 5.9 11:30

Contract

$1.2MCap hitends in 2023, then RFA
$171KCap dollars per point7 points in 25 games
$829KCap dollars per goal above replacement1.4 goals above replacement
$1.7MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$543KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 716 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Who signed him to it, and when, are not on record. It runs through 2022-23, with 1 season left after this one, and he is then a restricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2021-22 $1.2M
2022-23 $1.2M

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
2021-22 to 2022-23 $1.2M
2020-21 to 2020-21 $874K
2018-19 to 2019-20 $925K
2017-18 to 2017-18 $925K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2021-22 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2021-22 analytics

Rating

+1.4Goals above replacement413th of 723 skaters, 285th of 481 forwards
+0.2Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+0.7Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 481 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-0.4 48th percentileEven-strength defence+0.9 67th percentilePower play-0.3 33rd percentilePenalty kill+0.0 42nd percentilePenalties+0.5 60th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. Provisional: under 40 games it is more chance than player. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

0123452017-182018-192020-212021-22Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

54.4Corsi for %237 attempts for, 199 against
+2.8CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
53.4Expected goals for %10.8 expected for, 9.4 against
+2.1xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
55.2Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
52.9Goals for %9 for, 8 against
99.5PDO7.3% shooting + 92.2% saves
42Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Evgenii Dadonov · Keegan Kolesar · Nolan Patrick633:4866.171.13-2
Michael Amadio · Brett Howden · Nolan Patrick529:5470.056.50-1
Max Pacioretty · Mark Stone · Nolan Patrick220:5646.351.71-0
William Carrier · Brett Howden · Nolan Patrick417:2136.026.52-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

2Goalsnot counting empty-netters
4.5Expected goalsfrom 43 unblocked attempts
-2.5Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.94 expected goals per 60 minutes70th
Shot quality 10.5% chance per attempt96th
Finishing -2.5 goals above expected28thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 451 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

01234Game 20Expected 4.5Goals 2

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Mar 24, 2022 vs NSH W 6-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01:37
Mar 22, 2022 @ WPG L 0-4 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 13:15
Mar 21, 2022 @ MIN L 0-3 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 09:45
Mar 19, 2022 vs LAK W 5-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 10:26
Mar 17, 2022 vs FLA W 5-3 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 13:09
Mar 15, 2022 @ WPG L 3-7 0 1 1 -1 0 2 1 12:18
Mar 13, 2022 @ CBJ L 4-6 0 0 0 -1 2 0 3 11:06
Feb 16, 2022 vs COL L 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00:14
Feb 9, 2022 @ CGY L 0-6 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 13:22
Feb 1, 2022 vs BUF W 5-2 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 16:00
Jan 29, 2022 @ TBL W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 14:00
Jan 27, 2022 @ FLA L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10:35
Jan 25, 2022 @ CAR L 3-4 (OT) 1 1 2 2 0 1 0 12:18
Jan 24, 2022 @ WSH W 1-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 10:48
Jan 20, 2022 vs MTL W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 10:26
Jan 17, 2022 vs PIT L 3-5 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 10:05
Jan 8, 2022 vs CHI L 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 11:49
Jan 6, 2022 vs NYR W 5-1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 14:26
Jan 4, 2022 vs NSH L 2-3 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 11:12
Jan 2, 2022 vs WPG L 4-5 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 10:46
Dec 31, 2021 vs ANA W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14:10
Oct 22, 2021 vs EDM L 3-5 1 0 1 1 0 5 2 12:56
Oct 20, 2021 vs STL L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11:54
Oct 14, 2021 @ LAK L 2-6 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 17:27
Oct 12, 2021 vs SEA W 4-3 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 13:36