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Photo of Noah Cates

Noah Cates

#27 · Left wing · Philadelphia Flyers

Born Feb 5, 1999 in Stillwater, Minnesota, USA (age 27) · 6'2", 194 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 137th overall in 2017 by PHI (round 5)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2021-22. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Matty Beniers SEA · 9 P in 10 GP Mathieu Perreault MTL · 9 P in 25 GP Anton Blidh BOS · 9 P in 32 GP Aliaksei Protas WSH · 9 P in 33 GP Scott Reedy SJS · 9 P in 35 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0102030402021-22: 9 points921-222022-23: 38 points3822-232023-24: 18 points1823-242024-25: 37 points3724-252025-26: 47 points4725-262026-27: 0 points026-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2021-22 PHI 16 5 4 9 4 4 23 21 0.56 $925K
2022-23 PHI 82 13 25 38 3 12 107 86 0.46 $925K
2023-24 PHI 59 6 12 18 -8 0 78 52 0.31 $2.625M
2024-25 PHI 78 16 21 37 3 14 110 87 0.47 $2.625M
2025-26 PHI 82 18 29 47 26 44 132 102 0.57 $4M
2026-27 PHI 7 0 0 0 -4 0 7 5 0.00 $4M
6 seasons Career 324 58 91 149 24 74 457 353 0.46

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2025-26 PHI 8 1 3 4 -2 0 11 19 0.50
1 season Playoffs 8 1 3 4 -2 0 11 19 0.50

2021-22 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
16 5 4 9 4 4 23 21 0.56 21.7 13:15

Contract

$925KCap hitends in 2023
$103KCap dollars per point9 points in 16 games
$274KCap dollars per goal above replacement3.4 goals above replacement

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up.

The contract

Signed by the Philadelphia Flyers on Mar 27, 2022, as an entry-level contract: 2 years and $2.275M, beginning in 2021-22. It runs through 2022-23, with 1 season left after this one.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2021-22 $925K $833K $93K $925K
2022-23 $925K $833K $93K $425K $925K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jun 3, 2025 Philadelphia Flyers Extension 2025-26 to 2028-29 4 $16M $4M
Jul 10, 2023 Philadelphia Flyers New contract 2023-24 to 2024-25 2 $5.25M $2.625M
Mar 27, 2022 Philadelphia Flyers Entry-level 2021-22 to 2022-23 2 $2.275M $925K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2021-22 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2021-22 analytics

Rating

+3.4Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
+0.6Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+2.8Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence+1.5Even-strength defence+0.9Power play+0.2Penalty kill+0.0Penalties+0.0

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. He has played fewer than 20 games, too few to be ranked. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

02468102021-222022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

51.4Corsi for %185 attempts for, 175 against
+5.3CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
56.2Expected goals for %9.6 expected for, 7.5 against
+9.9xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
52.6Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
58.8Goals for %10 for, 7 against
101.7PDO9.3% shooting + 92.3% saves
42Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Owen Tippett · Morgan Frost · Noah Cates944:4255.466.13-1
Kevin Hayes · Travis Konecny · Noah Cates622:1942.948.13-2
Kevin Hayes · Owen Tippett · Noah Cates522:0258.554.63-0
Cam Atkinson · Noah Cates · Joel Farabee316:0861.576.80-1

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net. Before 2023-24 the NHL timed events less exactly, and differently from rink to rink, so expected goals for this season are rougher than for recent ones.

5Goalsnot counting empty-netters
3.6Expected goalsfrom 32 unblocked attempts
+1.4Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 1.01 expected goals per 60 minutes78th
Shot quality 11.2% chance per attempt98th
Finishing +1.4 goals above expected69thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 451 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

012345Goals 5Expected 3.6

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 29, 2022 vs OTT L 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14:28
Apr 27, 2022 @ WPG L 0-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 13:06
Apr 25, 2022 @ CHI L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10:11
Apr 24, 2022 vs PIT W 4-1 2 1 3 2 0 6 1 11:17
Apr 21, 2022 @ MTL W 6-3 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 11:48
Apr 19, 2022 @ TOR L 2-5 0 0 0 -1 0 1 3 14:26
Apr 17, 2022 vs BUF L 3-5 1 1 2 2 0 1 1 14:55
Apr 16, 2022 @ BUF L 3-4 0 1 1 1 2 0 3 10:03
Apr 13, 2022 vs NYR L 0-4 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 13:17
Apr 12, 2022 @ WSH L 2-9 0 0 0 -2 0 1 2 14:19
Apr 9, 2022 vs ANA L 3-5 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 15:03
Apr 7, 2022 @ CBJ W 4-1 1 0 1 3 0 3 0 13:44
Apr 5, 2022 vs CBJ L 2-4 1 0 1 1 0 1 2 12:32
Apr 3, 2022 @ NYR W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11:41
Apr 2, 2022 vs TOR L 3-6 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 16:14
Mar 29, 2022 @ MIN L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 14:52