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Rasmus Dahlin

#26 · Defence · Buffalo Sabres

Born Apr 13, 2000 in Lidkoping, SWE (age 26) · 6'3", 206 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 1st overall in 2018 by BUF (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Alexandre Carrier MTL · 2 P in 3 GP Brandt Clarke LAK · 2 P in 3 GP Brent Burns COL · 2 P in 3 GP Cole Hutson WSH · 2 P in 3 GP Devon Toews COL · 2 P in 3 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

02040602018-19: 44 points4418-192019-20: 40 points4019-202020-21: 23 points2320-212021-22: 53 points5321-222022-23: 73 points7322-232023-24: 59 points5923-242024-25: 68 points6824-252025-26: 74 points7425-262026-27: 2 points226-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2018-19 BUF 82 9 35 44 -13 34 177 97 0.54 $925K
2019-20 BUF 59 4 36 40 -7 38 90 72 0.68 $925K
2020-21 BUF 56 5 18 23 -36 26 115 80 0.41 $925K
2021-22 BUF 80 13 40 53 -22 68 170 121 0.66 $6M
2022-23 BUF 78 15 58 73 12 92 204 105 0.94 $6M
2023-24 BUF 81 20 39 59 -3 66 235 195 0.73 $6M
2024-25 BUF 73 17 51 68 11 54 200 101 0.93 $11M
2025-26 BUF 77 19 55 74 18 76 194 67 0.96 $11M
2026-27 BUF 3 1 1 2 1 2 10 7 0.67 $11M
9 seasons Career 589 103 333 436 -39 456 1395 845 0.74

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2025-26 BUF 13 4 10 14 4 20 46 15 1.08
1 season Playoffs 13 4 10 14 4 20 46 15 1.08

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
3 1 1 2 1 2 10 7 0.67 10.0 26:52

Contract

$11MCap hitends in 2032, then UFA
$5.5MCap dollars per point2 points in 3 games
$726KCap dollars per goal above replacement15.2 goals above replacement, projected
$15.3MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$4.3MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over the whole season: the games played so far, plus the games left at the rate of the last three seasons and this one. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 647 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Buffalo Sabres on Oct 9, 2023, as an extension of the contract he was on: 8 years and $88M, beginning in 2024-25. It runs through 2031-32, with 5 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2024-25 $11M $8M $5M $13M
2025-26 $11M $12M $0 $12M NMC
2026-27 $11M $11M $0 $11M NMC
2027-28 $11M $11M $0 $11M NMC
2028-29 $11M $11M $0 $11M NMC
2029-30 $11M $10M $0 $10M NMC
2030-31 $11M $10M $0 $10M NMC
2031-32 $11M $10M $0 $10M NMC

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Oct 9, 2023 Buffalo Sabres Extension 2024-25 to 2031-32 8 $88M $11M
Sep 22, 2021 Buffalo Sabres New contract 2021-22 to 2023-24 3 $18M $6M
Jul 9, 2018 Buffalo Sabres Entry-level 2018-19 to 2020-21 3 $11.325M $925K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 3 games (+0.2 goals above replacement), plus the 76 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+15.2Goals above replacement16th of 647 skaters, 7th of 225 defencemen
+2.5Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+8.7Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 225 ranked defencemen: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence+7.6 97th percentileEven-strength defence+2.1 84th percentilePower play-0.3 24th percentilePenalty kill+0.1 62nd percentilePenalties-0.8 36th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among defencemen. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

051015202018-192020-212022-232024-252026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

59.8Corsi for %61 attempts for, 41 against
+2.8CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
58.7Expected goals for %2.7 expected for, 1.9 against
-4.8xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
58.9Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
60.0Goals for %3 for, 2 against
100.7PDO12.5% shooting + 88.2% saves
15Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Mattias Samuelsson · Rasmus Dahlin340:1960.958.91-1
Rasmus Dahlin · Owen Power315:1458.665.82-0
Rasmus Dahlin · Louis Crevier24:1066.737.70-1
Rasmus Dahlin · Olen Zellweger23:1550.06.30-0

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

1Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.5Expected goalsfrom 10 unblocked attempts
+0.5Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.38 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 5.1% chance per attempt1st
Finishing +0.5 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Goals 1Expected 0.5

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 6, 2026 vs MIN W 3-2 (OT) 0 1 1 1 2 3 1 29:15
Oct 3, 2026 vs CHI W 4-3 1 0 1 1 0 3 4 25:23
Oct 1, 2026 @ CBJ L 3-6 0 0 0 -1 0 4 2 25:58