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Nils Lundkvist

#5 · Defence · Dallas Stars

Born Jul 27, 2000 in Pitea, SWE (age 26) · 6'1", 194 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 28th overall in 2018 by NYR (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The defencemen closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Charle-Edouard D'Astous TBL · 1 P in 4 GP Colton Parayko STL · 1 P in 4 GP Darnell Nurse SJS · 1 P in 4 GP Dmitry Kulikov FLA · 1 P in 4 GP Erik Cernak TBL · 1 P in 4 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0510152021-22: 4 points421-222022-23: 16 points1622-232023-24: 19 points1923-242024-25: 5 points524-252025-26: 11 points1125-262026-27: 1 points126-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2021-22 NYR 25 1 3 4 4 0 32 15 0.16 $925K
2022-23 DAL 60 6 10 16 -5 26 94 49 0.27 $925K
2023-24 DAL 59 2 17 19 13 16 73 44 0.32 $925K
2024-25 DAL 39 0 5 5 4 20 52 23 0.13 $1.25M
2025-26 DAL 52 3 8 11 12 16 46 26 0.21 $1.25M
2026-27 DAL 4 0 1 1 2 2 5 1 0.25 $1.75M
6 seasons Career 239 12 44 56 30 80 302 158 0.23

Playoffs

Playoff games only. Pick a season to see that year's bracket.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP
2023-24 DAL 12 0 1 1 0 2 4 6 0.08
2025-26 DAL 4 0 2 2 1 2 2 2 0.50
2 seasons Playoffs 16 0 3 3 1 4 6 8 0.19

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
4 0 1 1 2 2 5 1 0.25 0.0 17:28

Contract

$1.75MCap hitends in 2028, then UFA
$1.75MCap dollars per point1 points in 4 games
$7.472MCap dollars per goal above replacement0.2 goals above replacement, projected
$1MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$714KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over the whole season: the games played so far, plus the games left at the rate of the last three seasons and this one. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 648 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Dallas Stars on Apr 17, 2026, as an extension of the contract he was on: 2 years and $3.5M, beginning in 2026-27. It runs through 2027-28, with 1 season left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2026-27 $1.75M
2027-28 $1.75M

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Apr 17, 2026 Dallas Stars Extension 2026-27 to 2027-28 2 $3.5M $1.75M
2025-26 to 2025-26 $1.25M
Jul 1, 2024 Dallas Stars New contract 2024-25 to 2024-25 1 $1.25M $1.25M
Jun 3, 2021 New York Rangers Entry-level 2021-22 to 2023-24 3 $5.325M $925K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 4 games (+0.3 goals above replacement), plus the 51 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+0.2Goals above replacement476th of 648 skaters, 146th of 225 defencemen
+0.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-2.6Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 225 ranked defencemen: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-0.8 54th percentileEven-strength defence-0.6 39th percentilePower play-0.2 30th percentilePenalty kill+0.2 68th percentilePenalties-1.1 27th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among defencemen. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

-2-1012021-222022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

56.7Corsi for %72 attempts for, 55 against
+9.6CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
54.8Expected goals for %2.7 expected for, 2.2 against
+4.7xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
59.8Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
80.0Goals for %4 for, 1 against
107.2PDO12.5% shooting + 94.7% saves
15Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Defence pairGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Nils Lundkvist · Thomas Harley444:0058.160.44-1
Esa Lindell · Nils Lundkvist417:1558.646.70-0
Nils Lundkvist · Lian Bichsel32:2014.30.00-0
Miro Heiskanen · Nils Lundkvist20:420.00.00-0

The pairs he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's pairs that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.2Expected goalsfrom 9 unblocked attempts
-0.2Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.15 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 2.0% chance per attempt1st
Finishing -0.2 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of defencemen he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.2Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 8, 2026 @ BUF W 4-0 0 1 1 2 2 0 1 18:08
Oct 5, 2026 vs SJS W 5-0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 17:22
Oct 3, 2026 @ NSH L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 19:01
Oct 2, 2026 vs STL L 0-4 0 0 0 -2 0 2 0 15:22