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Photo of Samuel Ersson

Samuel Ersson

#30 · Goalie · Ottawa Senators

Born Oct 20, 1999 in Falun, SWE (age 26) · 6'3", 194 lb · Catches left · Drafted 143rd overall in 2018 by PHI (round 5)

Compare with a similar player

The goalies closest to him in games played in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Anthony Stolarz TOR · 2 GP, 0.904 Dan Vladar PHI · 2 GP, 0.863 Darcy Kuemper LAK · 2 GP, 0.825 Dustin Wolf CGY · 2 GP, 0.797 Ilya Sorokin NYI · 2 GP, 0.968

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

020402022-23: 12 games1222-232023-24: 51 games5123-242024-25: 47 games4724-252025-26: 33 games3325-262026-27: 2 games226-27

Games played by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP Shots against Saves Goals against Save % Cap hit
2022-23 PHI 12 327 294 33 0.899 $859K
2023-24 PHI 51 1204 1072 132 0.890 $859K
2024-25 PHI 47 1162 1026 136 0.883 $1.45M
2025-26 PHI 33 744 647 97 0.870 $1.45M
2026-27 OTT 2 44 39 5 0.886 $2.2M
5 seasons Career 145 3481 3078 403 0.884

2026-27 season totals

GP Shots against Saves Goals against Save % Goals against per game
2 44 39 5 0.886 2.50

Contract

$2.2MCap hitends in 2028, then UFA
-$1.2MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$3.4MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over the whole season: the games played so far, plus the games left at the rate of the last three seasons and this one. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 64 ranked goalies whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Ottawa Senators on Jul 1, 2026, as a new contract: 2 years and $4.4M, beginning in 2026-27. It runs through 2027-28, with 1 season left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2026-27 $2.2M
2027-28 $2.2M

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jul 1, 2026 Ottawa Senators New contract 2026-27 to 2027-28 2 $4.4M $2.2M
Aug 5, 2023 Philadelphia Flyers Extension 2024-25 to 2025-26 2 $2.9M $1.45M
Jun 3, 2021 Philadelphia Flyers Entry-level 2021-22 to 2023-24 3 $2.775M $859K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 2 games (-0.3 goals above replacement), plus the 41 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

-6.8Goals above replacement63rd of 64 goalies
-1.1Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-17.5Goals above averagehis goals saved above expected

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 64 ranked goalies: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. Goals above average is coloured as it is under Shots faced below, where it is taken per 60 minutes.

The goals he saved for his team, compared with a spare-part goalie facing the same shots. A goalie's season is about one-third the goalie and two-thirds chance, so read one year lightly.

-15-10-505102022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

Shots faced

Expected goals adds up how likely each shot he faced was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. A goalie who lets in fewer than that has saved goals above expected. Only shots taken while he was in net count, and the league's goalies as a whole come out at zero. What these numbers mean

-0.7Goals saved above expectedexpected goals minus goals against
4.3Expected goals againstfrom 59 unblocked attempts
5Goals againstwhile he was in net
0.886Save %0.903 expected from his shots
Goals saved -0.58 above expected per 60 minutes1st
Shot difficulty 7.2% chance per attempt faced1stA higher bar means his team gives up more dangerous shots.

Each bar shows the share of goalies he is ahead of, among the 0 who played at least a quarter as much as the busiest this season.

012345Allowed 5Expected 4.3

The goals he was expected to let in and the goals he did, as the season went on. When the allowed line runs below the expected line, he is saving more than his shots were worth.

Where he was shot at

Every unblocked attempt he faced this season, with his net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result Shots against Saves Goals against Save % TOI
Oct 6, 2026 @ DET L 3-5 35 31 4 0.886 57:56
Oct 5, 2026 @ BOS W 4-1 9 8 1 0.889 20:00