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Jake Lucchini

#21 · Centre · Nashville Predators

Born May 9, 1995 in Trail, British Columbia, CAN (age 31) · 6'0", 180 lb · Shoots left

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2023-24. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Reese Johnson CHI · 5 P in 42 GP Nick Bonino NYR · 5 P in 45 GP Brendan Lemieux CAR · 5 P in 32 GP Matthew Phillips WSH · 5 P in 31 GP Axel Jonsson-Fjallby WPG · 5 P in 26 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0123452022-23: 1 points122-232023-24: 5 points523-242024-25: 0 points024-25

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2022-23 OTT 11 1 0 1 -2 0 14 16 0.09 $750K
2023-24 MIN 40 2 3 5 -3 23 22 22 0.13 $775K
2024-25 NSH 3 0 0 0 -2 2 2 2 0.00 $775K
3 seasons Career 54 3 3 6 -7 25 38 40 0.11

2023-24 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
40 2 3 5 -3 23 22 22 0.13 9.1 9:36

Contract

$775KCap hitends in 2024, then UFA
$155KCap dollars per point5 points in 40 games
-$1.3MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$2.1MValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. He rated at or below a spare-part player, so there is no cost per goal to show. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 718 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Minnesota Wild on Jul 1, 2023, as a new contract: 1 year and $775K, beginning in 2023-24. It runs through 2023-24, so this is its last season, after which he is an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2023-24 $775K $775K $0 $775K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Feb 23, 2026 Nashville Predators Extension 2026-27 to 2026-27 1 $850K $850K
Jul 1, 2024 Nashville Predators New contract 2024-25 to 2025-26 2 $1.55M $775K
Jul 1, 2023 Minnesota Wild New contract 2023-24 to 2023-24 1 $775K $775K
Jul 13, 2022 Ottawa Senators New contract 2022-23 to 2022-23 1 $750K $750K
Sep 28, 2020 Montreal Canadiens Extension 2020-21 to 2020-21 1 $700K $700K
Mar 11, 2019 Pittsburgh Penguins Entry-level 2019-20 to 2019-20 1 $925K $793K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2023-24 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2023-24 analytics

Rating

-2.8Goals above replacement669th of 721 skaters, 441st of 469 forwards
-0.5Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-3.8Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 469 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-2.6 19th percentileEven-strength defence-0.3 37th percentilePower play0.0 66th percentilePenalty kill-0.3 14th percentilePenalties-0.6 15th percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

-3-2-1012022-232023-242024-25Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

43.4Corsi for %282 attempts for, 368 against
-7.6CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
44.2Expected goals for %10.6 expected for, 13.4 against
-8.9xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
42.8Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
43.5Goals for %10 for, 13 against
101.3PDO8.0% shooting + 93.3% saves
49Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Vinni Lettieri · Mason Shaw · Jake Lucchini1373:0243.447.73-2
Vinni Lettieri · Jake Lucchini · Marco Rossi830:1144.852.71-1
Mason Shaw · Jake Lucchini · Adam Beckman427:1237.731.71-1
Vinni Lettieri · Connor Dewar · Jake Lucchini415:2541.450.51-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

2Goalsnot counting empty-netters
2.5Expected goalsfrom 37 unblocked attempts
-0.5Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.39 expected goals per 60 minutes3rd
Shot quality 6.7% chance per attempt17th
Finishing -0.5 goals above expected46thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 438 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.511.52Game 20Game 40Expected 2.5Goals 2

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Apr 18, 2024 vs SEA L 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 07:06
Apr 15, 2024 @ LAK W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12:54
Apr 13, 2024 @ SJS W 6-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10:23
Apr 12, 2024 @ VGK L 2-7 0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 12:25
Apr 7, 2024 @ CHI W 4-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 10:05
Apr 6, 2024 vs WPG L 2-4 0 0 0 -1 0 2 0 10:35
Apr 4, 2024 vs COL L 2-5 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 09:12
Apr 2, 2024 vs OTT W 3-2 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 11:31
Mar 30, 2024 vs VGK L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 10:07
Mar 28, 2024 vs SJS W 3-1 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 10:53
Mar 23, 2024 vs STL L 4-5 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11:34
Mar 20, 2024 @ LAK L 0-6 0 0 0 -1 10 0 0 10:35
Mar 19, 2024 @ ANA W 4-0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 11:23
Mar 16, 2024 @ STL L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 08:21
Mar 14, 2024 vs ANA W 2-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12:34
Mar 12, 2024 vs ARI W 4-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 09:49
Mar 10, 2024 vs NSH W 4-3 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 09:27
Mar 8, 2024 @ COL L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 09:19
Mar 7, 2024 @ ARI W 5-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 09:16
Mar 3, 2024 vs SJS W 4-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 09:56
Mar 2, 2024 @ STL L 1-3 0 0 0 -1 2 0 2 07:48
Feb 29, 2024 @ NSH L 1-6 0 0 0 -2 2 1 2 11:09
Feb 27, 2024 vs CAR L 2-3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 08:01
Feb 24, 2024 @ SEA W 5-2 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 08:32
Feb 23, 2024 @ EDM W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 12:32
Feb 20, 2024 @ WPG L 3-6 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 10:46
Feb 19, 2024 vs VAN W 10-7 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 08:19
Feb 17, 2024 vs BUF L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 11:11
Feb 14, 2024 @ ARI W 3-1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 07:38
Feb 12, 2024 @ VGK W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 08:13
Feb 9, 2024 vs PIT W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 06:42
Feb 7, 2024 @ CHI W 2-1 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 08:46
Jan 27, 2024 vs ANA L 2-3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 04:10
Jan 25, 2024 vs NSH L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 05:58
Jan 23, 2024 vs WSH W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 07:32
Jan 21, 2024 @ CAR W 5-2 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 07:35
Jan 4, 2024 vs TBL L 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10:40
Jan 2, 2024 vs CGY L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10:41
Dec 31, 2023 vs WPG L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10:12
Dec 23, 2023 vs BOS W 3-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 10:05