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Colten Ellis

#92 · Goalie · Buffalo Sabres

Born Oct 5, 2000 in Whycocomagh, Nova Scotia, CAN (age 26) · 6'1", 194 lb · Catches left · Drafted 93rd overall in 2019 by STL (round 3)

Compare with a similar player

The goalies closest to him in games played in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Adin Hill VGK · 2 GP, 0.886 Anthony Stolarz TOR · 2 GP, 0.904 Arvid Soderblom CHI · 2 GP, 0.820 Clay Stevenson WPG · 2 GP, 0.875 Daniil Tarasov DET · 2 GP, 0.975

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0510152025-26: 16 games1625-262026-27: 2 games226-27

Games played by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP WLOTLSO Shots against Saves Goals against GAA Save % Cap hit
2025-26 BUF 16 8421 455 411 44 2.90 0.903 $775K
2026-27 BUF 2 1100 50 44 6 2.91 0.880 $850K
2 seasons Career 18 9521 505 455 50 2.90 0.901

2026-27 season totals

GP Starts WLOTLSO Shots against Saves Goals against GAA Save %
2 1 1100 50 44 6 2.91 0.880

Contract

$850KCap hitends in 2027
$166KCap dollars per goal above replacement5.1 goals above replacement, projected

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over the whole season: the games played so far, plus the games left at the rate of the last three seasons and this one.

The contract

Signed by the St. Louis Blues on Mar 6, 2025, as an extension of the contract he was on: 2 years and $1.625M, beginning in 2025-26. It runs through 2026-27, so this is its last season.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2025-26 $775K $775K $0 $775K
2026-27 $850K $775K $0 $775K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Mar 6, 2025 St. Louis Blues Extension 2025-26 to 2026-27 2 $1.625M $775K
Jun 11, 2024 St. Louis Blues Extension 2024-25 to 2024-25 1 $775K $775K
Mar 1, 2021 St. Louis Blues Entry-level 2021-22 to 2023-24 3 $2.775M $851K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 2 games (+0.8 goals above replacement), plus the 17 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+5.1Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
+0.9Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
+0.5Goals above averagehis goals saved above expected

The goals he saved for his team, compared with a spare-part goalie facing the same shots. A goalie's season is about one-third the goalie and two-thirds chance, so read one year lightly. His projection rests on fewer than 20 games, counting the last three seasons, too few to be ranked.

02462025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

Shots faced

Expected goals adds up how likely each shot he faced was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. A goalie who lets in fewer than that has saved goals above expected. Only shots taken while he was in net count, and the league's goalies as a whole come out at zero. What these numbers mean

+0.2Goals saved above expectedexpected goals minus goals against
6.2Expected goals againstfrom 86 unblocked attempts
6Goals againstwhile he was in net
0.880Save %0.876 expected from his shots
Goals saved +0.09 above expected per 60 minutes1st
Shot difficulty 7.2% chance per attempt faced99thA higher bar means his team gives up more dangerous shots.

Each bar shows the share of goalies he is ahead of, among the 2 who played at least a quarter as much as the busiest this season.

0246Expected 6.2Allowed 6

The goals he was expected to let in and the goals he did, as the season went on. When the allowed line runs below the expected line, he is saving more than his shots were worth.

Where he was shot at

Every unblocked attempt he faced this season, with his net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result Decision Shots against Saves Goals against Save % TOI
Oct 10, 2026 vs UTA L 1-4 L 30 26 4 0.867 59:28
Oct 6, 2026 vs MIN W 3-2 (OT) W 20 18 2 0.900 64:22