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Photo of Rory Kerins

Rory Kerins

#6 · Centre · Calgary Flames

Born Apr 12, 2002 in Caledon, Ontario, CAN (age 24) · 5'10", 175 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 174th overall in 2020 by CGY (round 6)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2024-25. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Jimmy Snuggerud STL · 4 P in 7 GP Oliver Moore CHI · 4 P in 9 GP Arthur Kaliyev NYR · 4 P in 14 GP Ivan Miroshnichenko WSH · 4 P in 18 GP Juha Jaaska CAR · 4 P in 18 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

012342024-25: 4 points424-252025-26: 0 points025-26

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2024-25 CGY 5 0 4 4 3 0 3 4 0.80 $847K
2025-26 CGY 4 0 0 0 -1 2 1 3 0.00 $775K
2 seasons Career 9 0 4 4 2 2 4 7 0.44

2024-25 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
5 0 4 4 3 0 3 4 0.80 0.0 12:14

Contract

$847KCap hitends in 2025, then RFA
$212KCap dollars per point4 points in 5 games
$6.303MCap dollars per goal above replacement0.1 goals above replacement

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up.

The contract

Signed by the Calgary Flames on Mar 1, 2022, as an entry-level contract: 3 years and $2.54M, beginning in 2022-23. It runs through 2024-25, so this is its last season, after which he is a restricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2022-23 $847K $750K $80K $830K
2023-24 $847K $775K $80K $855K
2024-25 $847K $775K $80K $855K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Jun 25, 2026 Calgary Flames Extension 2026-27 to 2026-27 1 $850K $850K
2025-26 to 2025-26 $775K
Mar 1, 2022 Calgary Flames Entry-level 2022-23 to 2024-25 3 $2.54M $847K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2024-25 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2024-25 analytics

Rating

+0.1Goals above replacementsix goals are worth about one win
+0.0Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
0.0Goals above averagethe five parts below added up
Even-strength offence+0.0Even-strength defence-0.1Power play-0.1Penalty kill+0.0Penalties+0.2

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance. He has played fewer than 20 games, too few to be ranked.

-1-0.500.512024-252025-26Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

45.9Corsi for %51 attempts for, 60 against
-4.7CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
42.5Expected goals for %1.8 expected for, 2.4 against
-3.7xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
44.4Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
80.0Goals for %4 for, 1 against
114.9PDO19.0% shooting + 95.8% saves
8Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Yegor Sharangovich · Jakob Pelletier · Rory Kerins330:1260.356.34-0
Yegor Sharangovich · Rory Kerins · Andrei Kuzmenko213:1020.017.10-1
Nazem Kadri · Jonathan Huberdeau · Rory Kerins11:3350.093.20-0
Clark Bishop · Ryan Lomberg · Rory Kerins11:2166.7100.00-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

0Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.4Expected goalsfrom 8 unblocked attempts
-0.4Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.38 expected goals per 60 minutes3rd
Shot quality 4.8% chance per attempt1st
Finishing -0.4 goals above expected49thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 428 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Expected 0.4Goals 0

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Jan 23, 2025 vs BUF W 5-2 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 06:57
Jan 18, 2025 @ WPG W 3-1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 11:48
Jan 16, 2025 @ STL L 1-4 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 15:45
Jan 14, 2025 @ STL L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11:41
Jan 13, 2025 @ CHI W 5-2 0 2 2 3 0 2 0 14:57