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Matt Coronato

#27 · Right wing · Calgary Flames

Born Nov 14, 2002 in Greenlawn, New York, USA (age 23) · 5'10", 183 lb · Shoots right · Drafted 13th overall in 2021 by CGY (round 1)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2026-27. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

A.J. Greer ANA · 1 P in 3 GP Alex Killorn ANA · 1 P in 3 GP Alex Newhook MTL · 1 P in 3 GP Alex Ovechkin WSH · 1 P in 3 GP Alex Turcotte LAK · 1 P in 3 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

0102030402022-23: 0 points022-232023-24: 9 points923-242024-25: 47 points4724-252025-26: 45 points4525-262026-27: 1 points126-27

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2022-23 CGY 1 0 0 0 1 2 4 1 0.00 $925K
2023-24 CGY 34 3 6 9 -15 4 58 7 0.26 $925K
2024-25 CGY 77 24 23 47 6 25 180 36 0.61 $925K
2025-26 CGY 80 18 27 45 -29 32 197 23 0.56 $6.5M
2026-27 CGY 3 1 0 1 -6 0 7 0 0.33 $6.5M
5 seasons Career 195 46 56 102 -43 63 446 67 0.52

2026-27 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
3 1 0 1 -6 0 7 0 0.33 14.3 17:28

Contract

$6.5MCap hitends in 2032, then UFA
$6.5MCap dollars per point1 points in 3 games
$3.728MCap dollars per goal above replacement1.7 goals above replacement, projected
$2.5MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
-$4MValueworth less cap hit

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. The season is still being played, so each rating is projected over all of it: what the player has done so far, plus the games left at a rate taken from his last three seasons and this one. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 647 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Calgary Flames on May 3, 2025, as an extension of the contract he was on: 7 years and $45.5M, beginning in 2025-26. It runs through 2031-32, with 5 seasons left after this one, and he is then an unrestricted free agent.

Season Cap hit
2025-26 $6.5M
2026-27 $6.5M
2027-28 $6.5M
2028-29 $6.5M
2029-30 $6.5M
2030-31 $6.5M
2031-32 $6.5M

Each season left on the contract. Only its cap hit and its end are known: how the pay is split by season, and any signing bonus, are not.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
May 3, 2025 Calgary Flames Extension 2025-26 to 2031-32 7 $45.5M $6.5M
Mar 26, 2023 Calgary Flames Entry-level 2022-23 to 2024-25 3 $4.475M $925K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2026-27 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2026-27 analytics

Rating, projected over the full season

2026-27 is still being played, so these are a projection of his whole season, not a count so far: what he has done in 3 games (+0.1 goals above replacement), plus the 71 more he is taken to play, going by how much of his team's games he has played before, at a rate set by his last three seasons and this one. The more he plays, the more this season counts, and by the last game it is simply his season.

+1.7Goals above replacement369th of 647 skaters, 265th of 422 forwards
+0.3Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-1.6Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 422 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-0.7 34th percentileEven-strength defence-2.2 11th percentilePower play+0.5 80th percentilePenalty kill+0.0 59th percentilePenalties+0.8 72nd percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

-202462022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

60.5Corsi for %69 attempts for, 45 against
+7.0CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
45.0Expected goals for %1.9 expected for, 2.3 against
+1.9xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
58.9Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
0.0Goals for %0 for, 4 against
82.6PDO0.0% shooting + 82.6% saves
17Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

These are left plain: he has not been on the ice enough to be ranked. That takes at least 200 shot attempts with him out there, about six or seven games, and a quarter of what the busiest skater has. Over a game or two these numbers are mostly chance.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Morgan Frost · Matt Coronato · Matvei Gridin221:0360.052.20-3
Morgan Frost · Yegor Sharangovich · Matt Coronato113:1564.537.00-0
Mikael Backlund · Joel Farabee · Matt Coronato12:0787.5100.00-0
Mikael Backlund · Yegor Sharangovich · Matt Coronato11:0950.023.70-0

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

1Goalsnot counting empty-netters
0.5Expected goalsfrom 13 unblocked attempts
+0.5Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.53 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 3.6% chance per attempt1st
Finishing +0.5 goals above expected1stOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 0 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

00.20.40.60.81Goals 1Expected 0.5

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Oct 4, 2026 @ SEA L 1-6 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 22:02
Oct 3, 2026 @ VAN L 1-4 1 0 1 -4 0 1 0 16:48
Oct 1, 2026 vs SEA L 1-6 0 0 0 -2 0 1 0 13:34