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Nikita Grebenkin

#29 · Right wing · Philadelphia Flyers

Born May 2, 2003 in Serov, RUS (age 23) · 6'2", 210 lb · Shoots left · Drafted 135th overall in 2022 by TOR (round 5)

Compare with a similar player

The forwards closest to him in points in 2025-26. Pick one to see the two side by side, or choose someone else.

Miles Wood CBJ · 14 P in 54 GP Vladislav Namestnikov WPG · 14 P in 60 GP Alex Turcotte LAK · 14 P in 62 GP Ross Johnston ANA · 14 P in 62 GP Michael Rasmussen DET · 14 P in 64 GP

Career

Regular season games only. Pick a season to see its game log below. Cap hit is what he counted against the salary cap that season, where it is known.

05102024-25: 0 points024-252025-26: 14 points1425-26

Points by season. The darker bar is the season shown below.

Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Cap hit
2024-25 TOR 7 0 0 0 -3 2 2 13 0.00 $875K
2025-26 PHI 55 4 10 14 -7 46 32 86 0.25 $875K
2 seasons Career 62 4 10 14 -10 48 34 99 0.23

2025-26 season totals

GP G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits P/GP Shooting % Avg TOI
55 4 10 14 -7 46 32 86 0.25 12.5 11:17

Contract

$875KCap hitends in 2026, then RFA
$63KCap dollars per point14 points in 55 games
$834KCap dollars per goal above replacement1.0 goals above replacement
$1.7MWorth at the going ratewhat teams paid for a season like his
+$789KValueworth minus cap hit; below zero is overpaid

His cap hit for the whole season, set against what he did in the regular season. Lower is better value. In a season still being played the cost per point starts high and falls as the games add up. Value is coloured by where it ranks among the 715 ranked skaters whose contract is known. How value is worked out.

The contract

Signed by the Toronto Maple Leafs on Apr 29, 2024, as an entry-level contract: 3 years and $2.625M, beginning in 2023-24. It runs through 2025-26, so this is its last season, after which he is a restricted free agent.

Season Cap hit Base salary Signing bonus Performance bonuses Paid in all Clause
2023-24 $875K $788K $88K $875K
2024-25 $875K $788K $88K $875K
2025-26 $875K $788K $88K $875K

Each season of the contract, with this one marked. The cap hit is the same every year; what he is paid is not. The pay is as written when the contract was recorded in October 2024, so a later change, such as the rise in the lowest salary for 2026-27, is not shown.

Contracts he has signed

Signed Signed by Kind Seasons Years In all Cap hit
Aug 6, 2026 Philadelphia Flyers New contract 2026-27 to 2027-28 2 $2.2M $1.1M
Apr 29, 2024 Toronto Maple Leafs Entry-level 2023-24 to 2025-26 3 $2.625M $875K

Every contract on record for him, newest first, with the team that signed him to it and the day it was signed. The one covering 2025-26 is marked. An extension is signed while the contract before it is still running, often a year ahead. A row with no team or date is a contract known only by its cap hit, most often one signed since October 2024.

2025-26 analytics

Rating

+1.0Goals above replacement449th of 715 skaters, 322nd of 476 forwards
+0.2Wins above replacementgoals above replacement divided by six
-0.7Goals above averagethe five parts below added up

Each number is coloured by where it ranks among the 476 ranked forwards: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile.

Even-strength offence-2.1 22nd percentileEven-strength defence+0.8 62nd percentilePower play-0.2 34th percentilePenalty kill+0.0 48th percentilePenalties+0.9 72nd percentile

The goals he added to his team's goal difference, compared with a spare-part player given the same ice time. Each part is measured against the league, so zero is an average skater, and the rank beside it is among forwards. A full season is about two-thirds the player and one-third chance.

-1-0.500.511.52024-252025-262026-27Goals above replacementGoals above replacement, by season

On the ice

What happened at five-on-five while he was on the ice. What these numbers mean

47.3Corsi for %488 attempts for, 544 against
+0.6CF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
49.2Expected goals for %22.5 expected for, 23.3 against
-1.0xGF% relative to teamagainst the team without him
47.5Fenwick for %unblocked attempts
43.2Goals for %19 for, 25 against
97.6PDO8.3% shooting + 89.2% saves
68Attempts takenhis own shot attempts

Each share is coloured by where it ranks among the 615 skaters who played enough to be ranked: green is in the top fifth and red the bottom fifth, with paler shades in between and amber for the middle. Hover over a tile for its percentile. PDO and attempts taken are left plain, since neither is good or bad on its own.

Who he played with

Forward lineGPTimeCF%xGF%Goals
Garnet Hathaway · Rodrigo Abols · Nikita Grebenkin1373:1748.244.10-3
Christian Dvorak · Travis Konecny · Nikita Grebenkin1558:0233.933.54-7
Noah Cates · Bobby Brink · Nikita Grebenkin1656:3646.248.02-1
Rodrigo Abols · Carl Grundstrom · Nikita Grebenkin950:1744.145.84-2

The lines he spent the most time in at five-on-five, with the team's share of the shot attempts and expected goals, and the goals for and against, while they were out. The two shares are coloured as above, against the league's lines that played a fair amount together. Hover over one for its percentile.

Chances and finishing

Expected goals adds up how likely each of his shots was to go in, judged by where it came from, what kind of shot it was and whether it was a rebound. All situations, leaving out shots at an empty net.

3Goalsnot counting empty-netters
3.6Expected goalsfrom 44 unblocked attempts
-0.6Goals above expectedgoals minus expected goals
Chances created 0.35 expected goals per 60 minutes1st
Shot quality 8.3% chance per attempt48th
Finishing -0.6 goals above expected55thOne season of finishing is mostly luck.

Each bar shows the share of forwards he is ahead of, among the 444 who played 300 minutes or more this season.

0123Game 20Game 40Expected 3.6Goals 3

His goals and his expected goals as the season went on. When the goals line pulls away above, he is scoring more than his chances were worth; below, less.

Where he shot from

Every attempt he took this season, in all situations, attacking the net on the right. There is a dot for each attempt, bigger for a better chance. "Show as heat map" shades the ice by where the attempts came from. Click a goal for its details.

Game log

Date Opponent Result G A P +/- PIM Shots Hits TOI
Mar 21, 2026 @ SJS W 4-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 08:55
Mar 19, 2026 @ LAK W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 10:44
Mar 18, 2026 @ ANA W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 08:47
Mar 14, 2026 vs CBJ L 1-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 11:55
Mar 12, 2026 @ MIN W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 12:50
Mar 11, 2026 vs WSH W 4-1 0 0 0 0 6 1 1 14:44
Mar 9, 2026 vs NYR L 2-6 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 11:40
Mar 7, 2026 @ PIT W 4-3 (SO) 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 10:30
Mar 5, 2026 vs UTA L 0-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 12:27
Mar 2, 2026 @ TOR W 3-2 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 08:44
Feb 28, 2026 vs BOS W 3-1 0 0 0 -1 0 1 5 11:37
Feb 26, 2026 @ NYR W 3-2 (OT) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 2 12:08
Feb 25, 2026 @ WSH L 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 09:13
Feb 5, 2026 vs OTT L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 10:38
Feb 3, 2026 vs WSH W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 13:18
Jan 31, 2026 vs LAK L 2-3 (OT) 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 13:07
Jan 29, 2026 @ BOS L 3-6 1 0 1 -1 0 5 1 13:43
Jan 28, 2026 @ CBJ L 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10:16
Jan 26, 2026 vs NYI L 0-4 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 11:45
Jan 21, 2026 @ UTA L 4-5 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 11:54
Jan 17, 2026 vs NYR L 3-6 0 0 0 -1 2 0 2 13:53
Jan 15, 2026 @ PIT L 3-6 0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 15:41
Jan 14, 2026 @ BUF L 2-5 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 13:50
Jan 12, 2026 vs TBL L 1-5 0 0 0 0 17 0 1 10:50
Jan 10, 2026 vs TBL L 2-7 0 0 0 -2 0 1 5 15:40
Jan 8, 2026 vs TOR L 1-2 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 13:06
Jan 6, 2026 vs ANA W 5-2 1 1 2 2 0 3 2 11:49
Dec 31, 2025 @ CGY L 1-5 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 10:49
Dec 30, 2025 @ VAN W 6-3 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 10:52
Dec 28, 2025 @ SEA L 1-4 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 12:25
Dec 23, 2025 @ CHI W 3-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 11:03
Dec 22, 2025 vs VAN W 5-2 1 1 2 2 0 2 1 12:16
Dec 20, 2025 @ NYR L 4-5 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 2 1 11:27
Dec 14, 2025 @ CAR L 2-3 (SO) 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 06:48
Dec 13, 2025 vs CAR L 3-4 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 0 1 4 13:29
Dec 11, 2025 vs VGK L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 12:20
Dec 9, 2025 vs SJS W 4-1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 10:46
Dec 7, 2025 vs COL L 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14:53
Dec 3, 2025 vs BUF W 5-2 0 1 1 1 0 0 5 12:02
Dec 1, 2025 vs PIT L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 12:40
Nov 29, 2025 @ NJD W 5-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 09:25
Nov 28, 2025 @ NYI W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 -2 0 0 2 09:45
Nov 26, 2025 @ FLA W 4-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10:59
Nov 15, 2025 @ DAL L 1-5 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 12:24
Nov 8, 2025 vs OTT L 2-3 (OT) 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 08:27
Nov 6, 2025 @ NSH W 3-1 0 0 0 -1 0 1 1 08:26
Nov 4, 2025 @ MTL W 5-4 (SO) 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 09:41
Nov 2, 2025 vs CGY L 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 12:06
Nov 1, 2025 vs TOR L 2-5 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 10:44
Oct 25, 2025 vs NYI W 4-3 (SO) 0 0 0 -1 2 0 3 07:35
Oct 23, 2025 @ OTT L 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 07:12
Oct 20, 2025 vs SEA W 5-2 0 0 0 0 17 0 0 07:38
Oct 16, 2025 vs WPG L 2-5 0 0 0 -2 0 0 2 11:37
Oct 13, 2025 vs FLA W 5-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 10:37
Oct 11, 2025 @ CAR L 3-4 (OT) 0 1 1 -1 0 0 1 08:36